2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[MIKESOWELL]

So is no one else concerned about those voters Trump GAINED in Guam?

It's possibly incumbency bias

[Hassan 2022]

Exit poll of IA: What should be priority?
Rebuilding economy: 45%
Containing COVID: 49%

Good for Biden and Greenfield.

[BudgieForce]

Fox releasing their exit polls now.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Alright, I'm going to go eat my traditional election night pizza. Yall enjoy overanalyzing things here.

[Hammy]

48% says covid is handled well, wtf???

I cannot get over this number.

That number should be 0%

We handled coronavirus worse than nearly every nation on EARTH.

lol you can't look at our covid deaths & japan covid deaths .etc and seriously try and claim any policy or mask accounts for the difference. Our death metrics don't make sense in contrast with literally any other country in the world regardless of how you account for them.

And this is because we are aggressively marking our deaths with comobidity more than any other country on earth. Carry on.

Actually yes, you can extrapolate exactly that from the data. Japan is among the best healthcare systems in the world, we're among the worst. Japan has more hospital beds per population of any country. And yes, having 90% of the population wearing masks absolutely will reduce the number of deaths and cases compared to somewhere half the country not only thinks the pandemic is fake, but actively goes around spreading it.

[Orwell]

It's not a proper exit poll unless David Dimbleby reveals it after a build up of tension and music and then totally contradicts everyone's expectations

Big Ben has hit 10' and we now project a Hung Parliament with Labour being the largest party

[wbrocks67]

IOWA exit poll

52% women, 48% men

Coronavirus: 50% Biden, 47% Trump
Economy: 52% Trump, 44% Biden

Party ID: 34% Rep, 28% Dem, 38% Other

In 2018, it was D37, R33, I30

So these also seem very off. Sounds again like they got too many election day voters

[Clarko95 📚💰📈]

I need to move to Broward County or Dixville Notch because I like when people pay attention to me.

[cp]

It's not a proper exit poll unless David Dimbleby reveals it after a build up of tension and music and then totally contradicts everyone's expectations

Big Ben has hit 10' and we now project a Hung Parliament with Labour being the largest party

If only ...

[BudgieForce]

Yeah, CNN seriously over sampled election day voters. 61% of those sampled voted on election day.

[musicblind]

Great. That cuck Van Jones whining on air now.

Can you not use words like that when criticizing an opponent. Criticize away, but don't use alt-right slurs.

[Crumpets]

It's not a proper exit poll unless David Dimbleby reveals it after a build up of tension and music and then totally contradicts everyone's expectations

Us Americans who have heard of David and Jonathan Dimbleby only know them as "Gummo Dimbleby's less embarrassing brothers" since we get Peep Show but not Question Time or Any Questions?.

[Orwell]

Biden Official says FLORIDA IS A TOUGH LIFT?

Doesn't square up with the data we're seeing, so I'm guessing it's to lower expectations

I think they just want to lull the Trumper's into a false sense of security, if there was a real problem we wouldn't have heard about it.

[Splash]

I am just posting this to show that you can't deduce anything meaningful from the initial exit polls:

https://twitter.com/existentialfish/status/1323752032000450570

[Bootes Void]

I am just posting this to show that you can't deduce anything meaningful from the initial exit polls:

https://twitter.com/existentialfish/status/1323752032000450570

Seems favourable for Dems, but no idea on how good exits are

[wbrocks67]

Yeah, CNN seriously over sampled election day voters. 61% of those sampled voted on election day.

omg what in the world. Even if 160M vote, that's 100M early and 60M on election day. That's insanely lopsided.

[RI]

Yeah, CNN seriously over sampled election day voters. 61% of those sampled voted on election day.

You're assuming they didn't weight the responses.

[It’s so Joever]

Anyways the exit polls don’t matter.
We get real results in 30 minutes.

[JerryArkansas]

Yeah, CNN seriously over sampled election day voters. 61% of those sampled voted on election day.

Jesus Christ either that or they are weighing the damn early vote so much that any strange results i.e. Selzer it gets amplified substantially. 

[kireev]

Look at this about the Edison Research exit poll =In-person interviews on Election Day were conducted at a random sample of 115 polling locations nationwide among 7,774 Election Day voters. The results also include 4,919 interviews with early and absentee voters conducted by phone=

They have way more Election Day voters than Early voters! But should be be the other way around! How can the possible make such an easily avoidable error? We know that more than 100 million people voted early. Did they expect a 250 million turnout or something?

[Bootes Void]

Yeah, CNN seriously over sampled election day voters. 61% of those sampled voted on election day.

You're assuming they didn't weight the responses.

Did they weight it? It doesn't anywhere that they did

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

Great. That cuck Van Jones whining on air now.

Can you not use words like that when criticizing an opponent. Criticize away, but don't use alt-right slurs.

He's just sweating like a mad dog because Trump isn't doing well.

[Roronoa D. Law]

I am just posting this to show that you can't deduce anything meaningful from the initial exit polls:

https://twitter.com/existentialfish/status/1323752032000450570

Nothing new, the Republican policies are deeply unpopular among the broader public. That's why the so intent on packing the courts so they won't have to vote on such unpopular issues.

[kireev]

Yeah, CNN seriously over sampled election day voters. 61% of those sampled voted on election day.

Beat you by a second
You're assuming they didn't weight the responses.

Did they weight it? It doesn't anywhere that they did

[Non Swing Voter]

Biden Official says FLORIDA IS A TOUGH LIFT?

Doesn't square up with the data we're seeing, so I'm guessing it's to lower expectations

Hope so