2020 Poll Hype Thread
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
May 20, 2024, 06:21:32 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  2020 Poll Hype Thread		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 86 87 88 89 90 [91] 92 93 94 95 96 ... 99
Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 191693 times)
BudgieForce
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,298


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2250 on: October 31, 2020, 05:48:15 PM »
Remember, we're getting the Selzer senate numbers at 7pm. We get the horse race at 7:30pm.
Logged
Malarkey Decider
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 374
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2251 on: October 31, 2020, 05:50:35 PM »
HYPE HYPE HYPE HYPE
Logged
Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 34,483


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2252 on: October 31, 2020, 06:08:54 PM »
So the Selzer Senate numbers were...not great. Any chance Biden is outpolling Greenfield here?
Logged
Malarkey Decider
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 374
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2253 on: October 31, 2020, 06:09:25 PM »
Anybody adjusting their predictions after the senate poll release?
Logged
BudgieForce
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,298


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2254 on: October 31, 2020, 06:10:10 PM »
Quote from: The scissors of false economy on October 31, 2020, 06:08:54 PM
So the Selzer Senate numbers were...not great. Any chance Biden is outpolling Greenfield here?

Hopefully. I imagine their wont be as many "undecideds" and "refused to say".
Logged
Zache
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 641


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2255 on: October 31, 2020, 06:10:28 PM »
With that Senate poll release I'm expecting Trump+4.
Logged
BudgieForce
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,298


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2256 on: October 31, 2020, 06:10:36 PM »
Quote from: Malarkey Decider on October 31, 2020, 06:09:25 PM
Anybody adjusting their predictions after the senate poll release?

We're getting a presidential poll in 20 minutes so i'd wait to adjust.
Logged
Splash
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,045
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2257 on: October 31, 2020, 06:13:39 PM »
Quote from: The scissors of false economy on October 31, 2020, 06:08:54 PM
So the Selzer Senate numbers were...not great. Any chance Biden is outpolling Greenfield here?

I mean, NYT/Siena showed split results when they last polled the state (Biden +3, Ernst +1) so it's possible.
Logged
TheLaRocca
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 499
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2258 on: October 31, 2020, 06:26:01 PM »
lol, i told everyone here many times Greenfield was DONE. and Iowa was TRUMP.

Yet according to everyone here, Greenfield was a slam dunk.

Why can people not see the re-alignment going on here? And in the midwest?
Logged
Ferguson97
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,240
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2259 on: October 31, 2020, 06:29:09 PM »
That Selzer result was soul crushing
Logged
swf541
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,916


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2260 on: October 31, 2020, 06:29:47 PM »

um, why lol
Logged
Ferguson97
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,240
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2261 on: October 31, 2020, 06:31:11 PM »

Ernst ahead by 4
Logged
ProgressiveModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,900


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2262 on: October 31, 2020, 06:35:44 PM »
Geez, seriously, why is everyone so obsessed with this Selzer poll?
Logged
Ferguson97
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,240
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2263 on: October 31, 2020, 06:36:20 PM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on October 31, 2020, 06:35:44 PM
Geez, seriously, why is everyone so obsessed with this Selzer poll?

They're gold standard
Logged
Buzz
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,186


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2264 on: October 31, 2020, 06:36:39 PM »
Freedom poll to finish Saturday!  Now time for Emerson to bring in Super Poll Sunday with a BANG!
Logged
ProgressiveModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,900


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2265 on: October 31, 2020, 06:38:59 PM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on October 31, 2020, 06:36:20 PM
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on October 31, 2020, 06:35:44 PM
Geez, seriously, why is everyone so obsessed with this Selzer poll?

They're gold standard

So literally every other poll we've gotten that indicates a Biden + 7/8/9/10/11/12 or even more PV win is useless?
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,923


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2266 on: October 31, 2020, 06:42:41 PM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on October 31, 2020, 06:38:59 PM
Quote from: Ferguson97 on October 31, 2020, 06:36:20 PM
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on October 31, 2020, 06:35:44 PM
Geez, seriously, why is everyone so obsessed with this Selzer poll?

They're gold standard

So literally every other poll we've gotten that indicates a Biden + 7/8/9/10/11/12 or even more PV win is useless?

Nate Cohn's comments:
Logged
Donald Trump’s Toupée
GOP_Represent
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,628


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2267 on: October 31, 2020, 06:49:38 PM »
Al Gore, John Kerry, Mitt Romney (to a lesser extent), and Hillary Clinton were all facing a weak and/or vulnerable opposing candidate, and all were expected to win the presidency. They did not. Make of that what you will.

Over the last two decades, the literally only predictable election was McCain/Obama in 2008. Four out of the last five elections have had some sort of surprises). That’s what I call a pattern. 2020 is unpredictable for a whole host of issues - there will be surprises on election night (and beyond).

What those surprises may be, and who they may benefit, I do not know.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,991


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2268 on: October 31, 2020, 07:21:42 PM »
My god... sounds like the Siena polls are going to be ugly too.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,923


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2269 on: October 31, 2020, 07:22:32 PM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on October 31, 2020, 07:21:42 PM
My god... sounds like the Siena polls are going to be ugly too.


I read it exactly the opposite -- Cohn is saying Biden is doing well in the upper Midwest.
Logged
Ferguson97
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,240
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2270 on: October 31, 2020, 07:28:52 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on October 31, 2020, 07:22:32 PM
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on October 31, 2020, 07:21:42 PM
My god... sounds like the Siena polls are going to be ugly too.

I read it exactly the opposite -- Cohn is saying Biden is doing well in the upper Midwest.

Yeah, I think the Iowa poll is ugly but I don't know how you read "bad news" from Cohn's tweet
Logged
LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2271 on: October 31, 2020, 07:30:19 PM »
*Updated NYT/Siena predictions*

WI: Biden +4
AZ: Biden +2
PA: Biden +1
FL: Trump +1
Logged
Horus
Sheliak5
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,926
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2272 on: October 31, 2020, 07:40:43 PM »
WI - Biden +3
AZ - Tied
FL - Trump +3
PA - Biden +1
Logged
Don Vito Corleone
bruhgmger2
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,268
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.32, S: -5.91

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2273 on: October 31, 2020, 07:41:06 PM »
Quote from: Donald Trump’s Toupée on October 31, 2020, 06:49:38 PM
Al Gore, John Kerry, Mitt Romney (to a lesser extent), and Hillary Clinton were all facing a weak and/or vulnerable opposing candidate, and all were expected to win the presidency. They did not. Make of that what you will.

Over the last two decades, the literally only predictable election was McCain/Obama in 2008. Four out of the last five elections have had some sort of surprises). That’s what I call a pattern. 2020 is unpredictable for a whole host of issues - there will be surprises on election night (and beyond).

What those surprises may be, and who they may benefit, I do not know.
Gore, Kerry, and Romney were all slight underdogs?
Logged
SunSt0rm
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 624
Netherlands


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2274 on: October 31, 2020, 07:43:58 PM »
WI: Biden +7
AZ: Biden +3
PA: Biden +5
FL: Biden +2
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 86 87 88 89 90 [91] 92 93 94 95 96 ... 99  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.047 seconds with 8 queries.