2020 Poll Hype Thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 191540 times)
wbrocks67
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« Reply #2400 on: November 02, 2020, 10:44:26 AM »
Well I guess at this rate we may get ABC/Wapo tomorrow AM? Or tonight at midnight?

It would truly be shocking if we got absolutely nothing nationally out of CBS, ABC/Wapo, Q-pac, and Monmouth before the election.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #2401 on: November 02, 2020, 10:54:11 AM »


Outliers will be outliers I guess.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2402 on: November 02, 2020, 10:56:29 AM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on November 02, 2020, 10:54:11 AM


Outliers will be outliers I guess.

What's so odd is that the previous Selzer polls were showing the same thing. Close races for Senate and Prez. It's almost like something got really mucked up with this last sample.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2403 on: November 02, 2020, 02:23:30 PM »
For the "pollster X got it wrong in 2016, therefore I don't believe their polls in 2020" crowd...pollsters adjust.  An example:
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Yank2133
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« Reply #2404 on: November 02, 2020, 02:26:44 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 02, 2020, 02:23:30 PM
For the "pollster X got it wrong in 2016, therefore I don't believe their polls in 2020" crowd...pollsters adjust.  An example:



Yup. If anything pollsters have been over correcting from 2016.
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redjohn
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« Reply #2405 on: November 02, 2020, 02:36:56 PM »
New Quinnipiac polls are literally disastrous for Republicans.
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Non Swing Voter
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« Reply #2406 on: November 02, 2020, 02:37:09 PM »
Hey bedwetters:
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Donald Trump’s Toupée
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« Reply #2407 on: November 02, 2020, 02:56:23 PM »
Trump is now in command IMO. I told you that as Election Day approaches, the polls would shift towards Trump. I’d be very concerned if I were a Biden supporter.
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EJ24
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« Reply #2408 on: November 02, 2020, 02:57:33 PM »
Quote from: Donald Trump’s Toupée on November 02, 2020, 02:56:23 PM
Trump is now in command IMO. I told you that as Election Day approaches, the polls would shift towards Trump. I’d be very concerned if I were a Biden supporter.

LOL
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redjohn
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« Reply #2409 on: November 02, 2020, 02:59:13 PM »
Quote from: Donald Trump’s Toupée on November 02, 2020, 02:56:23 PM
Trump is now in command IMO. I told you that as Election Day approaches, the polls would shift towards Trump. I’d be very concerned if I were a Biden supporter.

The takes are just unhinged at this point
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #2410 on: November 02, 2020, 02:59:17 PM »
Quote from: Donald Trump’s Toupée on November 02, 2020, 02:56:23 PM
Trump is now in command IMO. I told you that as Election Day approaches, the polls would shift towards Trump. I’d be very concerned if I were a Biden supporter.
You a troll?
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It's Perro Sanxe wot won it
Mimoha
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« Reply #2411 on: November 02, 2020, 03:01:59 PM »
Quote from: Donald Trump’s Toupée on November 02, 2020, 02:56:23 PM
Trump is now in command IMO. I told you that as Election Day approaches, the polls would shift towards Trump. I’d be very concerned if I were a Biden supporter.

Oh, dear. You don’t know it yet, but you WILL submit yourself to the will of President Joseph R. Biden Jr., or else... you will be ABOLISHED. You cannot change fate.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #2412 on: November 02, 2020, 04:07:53 PM »
Quote from: Donald Trump’s Toupée on November 02, 2020, 02:56:23 PM
Trump is now in command IMO. I told you that as Election Day approaches, the polls would shift towards Trump. I’d be very concerned if I were a Biden supporter.

The national polls have shifted *maybe* half a point, and that's probably just due to herding. The state polls have not meaningfully shifted at all.

But you're a troll and there is no point wasting my time with you.
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Flabuckeye
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« Reply #2413 on: November 02, 2020, 04:45:23 PM »
I honestly believe all the major pollsters have adjusted weighting for non-college educated folks to fix 2016 and the learning for 2020 will be that they overshot it bc that cohort is declining...... and thus undercutting Biden's margins.
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WD
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« Reply #2414 on: November 02, 2020, 04:48:11 PM »
Quote from: Donald Trump’s Toupée on November 02, 2020, 02:56:23 PM
Trump is now in command IMO. I told you that as Election Day approaches, the polls would shift towards Trump. I’d be very concerned if I were a Biden supporter.


luv 2 be down 8-9 points on the eve of an election. Such command.
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swf541
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« Reply #2415 on: November 02, 2020, 04:48:32 PM »
Quote from: Flabuckeye on November 02, 2020, 04:45:23 PM
I honestly believe all the major pollsters have adjusted weighting for non-college educated folks to fix 2016 and the learning for 2020 will be that they overshot it bc that cohort is declining...... and thus undercutting Biden's margins.

Yea I've been thinking about this a lot tbh
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Buzz
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« Reply #2416 on: November 02, 2020, 04:52:20 PM »
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #2417 on: November 02, 2020, 04:53:41 PM »
Quote from: Buzz on November 02, 2020, 04:52:20 PM

uhh what?
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #2418 on: November 02, 2020, 04:54:44 PM »
Quote from: Optimistic Democrat on November 02, 2020, 03:01:59 PM
Quote from: Donald Trump’s Toupée on November 02, 2020, 02:56:23 PM
Trump is now in command IMO. I told you that as Election Day approaches, the polls would shift towards Trump. I’d be very concerned if I were a Biden supporter.

Oh, dear. You don’t know it yet, but you WILL submit yourself to the will of President Joseph R. Biden Jr., or else... you will be ABOLISHED. You cannot change fate.

He will be cancelled.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #2419 on: November 02, 2020, 04:58:16 PM »
Quote from: Bootes Void on November 02, 2020, 04:53:41 PM
Quote from: Buzz on November 02, 2020, 04:52:20 PM

uhh what?

Pretty normal Biden campaign language. It might be closer than what public polling is telling us, but I think it has more to do with voters getting complicit and not voting.
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swf541
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« Reply #2420 on: November 02, 2020, 04:59:22 PM »
Quote from: BudgieForce on November 02, 2020, 04:58:16 PM
Quote from: Bootes Void on November 02, 2020, 04:53:41 PM
Quote from: Buzz on November 02, 2020, 04:52:20 PM

uhh what?

Pretty normal Biden campaign language. It might be closer than what public polling is telling us, but I think it has more to do with voters getting complicit and not voting.

Pretty normal for a campaign, your not going to boast your dominating a day before the election, you want to project some confidence and some urgency in your voting base to make sure they vote.
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It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
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« Reply #2421 on: November 02, 2020, 05:00:07 PM »
Quote from: Donald Trump’s Toupée on November 02, 2020, 02:56:23 PM
Trump is now in command IMO. I told you that as Election Day approaches, the polls would shift towards Trump. I’d be very concerned if I were a Biden supporter.
I hate that you are right.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #2422 on: November 02, 2020, 05:01:07 PM »
Quote from: Buzz on November 02, 2020, 04:52:20 PM


Sure, if California magically voted for Trump, then Trump would probably win.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2423 on: November 02, 2020, 05:01:13 PM »
In the bio of the person who posted the tweet: "White House Correspondent for Breitbart News".
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #2424 on: November 02, 2020, 05:09:50 PM »
Quote from: Buzz on November 02, 2020, 04:52:20 PM


Hot take (is this even a hot take): The Biden campaign is pretending this race is closer than it is simply to guard against complacency.
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