COVID-19 Megathread 6: Return of the Omicron
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Author Topic: COVID-19 Megathread 6: Return of the Omicron  (Read 540542 times)
Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #2500 on: February 04, 2021, 09:18:01 AM »
The deaths are dropping now. The peak of the 7-day average was Jan. 26 when it was 3405. Now it's already down to 3124.
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #2501 on: February 04, 2021, 09:47:44 AM »
Quote from: Bandit3 the Worker on February 04, 2021, 09:18:01 AM
The deaths are dropping now. The peak of the 7-day average was Jan. 26 when it was 3405. Now it's already down to 3124.
That is because cases started to drop a week or two ago. Less cases=less deaths. We will probably be down to 2,000 deaths per day in about a month or two, though the new variants may change things for the worse.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #2502 on: February 04, 2021, 10:24:44 AM »
Quote from: Arch on February 04, 2021, 09:14:07 AM
Quote from: MATTROSE94 on February 04, 2021, 08:25:04 AM
Quote from: Arch on February 04, 2021, 02:06:37 AM
Even as the number of new cases has been on a steady and sometimes sharp decline over the last couple of weeks, the mortality number has been surprisingly stubborn in declining consistently; even if it is a lagging indicator, it seems to be breaking off from previous trends and remaining at or around its peak numbers.

Does anyone knows what's going on? Are cases being under reported? Are new strains of COVID more deadly?
Deaths usually lag about 3-6 weeks behind initial diagnosis with COVID.

I already recognize this in my post. The case rate has been dropping considerably for three weeks already.

Some Southern mid-sized states like Alabama, South Carolina, Tennessee and even yesterday North Carolina have been dropping some ridiculously spiking numbers of late.  Alabama alone reported over 500 total new deaths the last two days but said none were actually from February--all from Dec and Jan.
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #2503 on: February 04, 2021, 10:30:42 AM »
According to worldometers, average cases peaked on Jan. 11 and average deaths peaked on Jan. 26. This 2-week gap is more or less what we would expect.

It is true that since their respective peaks, cases have fallen faster than deaths.  But I don't think this is something to be too concerned about yet given that (a) there will be much more variance in the time between infection and death than the time between infection and case identification, so all trends in deaths may be flattened relative to trends in cases; and (b) it's only been a week since the death peak, so we just don't have much of a sample size yet.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2504 on: February 04, 2021, 11:16:36 AM »
Interesting read from 538: How COVID-19 Ended Flu Season Before It Started
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Inmate Trump
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« Reply #2505 on: February 04, 2021, 12:37:47 PM »
Just got home from getting my second shot of the Moderna vaccine.  No issues yet.
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #2506 on: February 04, 2021, 12:51:47 PM »
According to data in Israel, the Pfizer vaccine is just as effective against the UK strain as the original strain.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #2507 on: February 04, 2021, 01:02:08 PM »
Iowa’s House speaker said he can’t make lawmakers wear masks — but he did enforce a ban on jeans

https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2021/02/04/iowa-mask-jeans-house-speaker/

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Iowa House Speaker Pat Grassley (R) has repeatedly pushed back against imposing a mask mandate inside the legislature, saying that he cannot force lawmakers to cover their faces — just as he cannot stop someone from voting on the House floor in their bathing suit.

But when one Democratic lawmaker attempted to speak during a floor debate on Tuesday — not in a bikini or one-piece but in jeans — Grassley called her out for violating the chamber’s dress code.

“You will not be recognized to speak for debate,” he told state Rep. Beth Wessel-Kroeschell (D), according to the Des Moines Register. “You can continue to vote from the floor.”
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Inmate Trump
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« Reply #2508 on: February 04, 2021, 01:08:28 PM »
Quote from: Fmr. Gov. NickG on February 04, 2021, 12:51:47 PM
According to data in Israel, the Pfizer vaccine is just as effective against the UK strain as the original strain.




Great news! Hope it holds true, and hope the other vaccines are the same.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2509 on: February 04, 2021, 02:44:00 PM »
Senate Budget Vote-o-Rama is beginning!

First: Wicker/Sinema amendment establishing grants to bars/restaurants.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2510 on: February 04, 2021, 03:13:29 PM »


Now: Scott (SC) Amendment to reduce money for states with underreported nursing home deaths.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2511 on: February 04, 2021, 03:39:39 PM »


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riceowl
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« Reply #2512 on: February 04, 2021, 03:50:05 PM »
So all these amendments are being put up by R's but they...probably still won't vote for the bill?
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2513 on: February 04, 2021, 04:00:22 PM »
Quote from: riceowl on February 04, 2021, 03:50:05 PM
So all these amendments are being put up by R's but they...probably still won't vote for the bill?

Correct. But under the Senate budget rules, Democrats are powerless to stop them from coming up.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2514 on: February 04, 2021, 04:04:26 PM »

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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2515 on: February 04, 2021, 04:39:33 PM »


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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2516 on: February 04, 2021, 05:04:46 PM »


Next: Manchin Amendment prohibiting Stimulus checks for rich people
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2517 on: February 04, 2021, 05:33:12 PM »


Next: Toomey Amendment on Sanctuary Cities
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
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« Reply #2518 on: February 04, 2021, 06:11:04 PM »
Quote from: Lincoln Councillor Dwarven Dragon on February 04, 2021, 05:33:12 PM


Next: Toomey Amendment on Sanctuary Cities

Who’s the 1, Schumer for procedural reasons?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2519 on: February 04, 2021, 06:17:34 PM »

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politicallefty
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« Reply #2520 on: February 04, 2021, 06:18:13 PM »
Quote from: Lincoln Councillor Dwarven Dragon on February 04, 2021, 05:04:46 PM


If this means what I think it means, I'm very disappointed in some Democrats.

I admit I'm not entirely informed as to the reconciliation process, but I assume some of these amendments can be stripped out when dealing with the House, right?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2521 on: February 04, 2021, 06:19:06 PM »
Quote from: Unbeatable Titan Luis Arce on February 04, 2021, 06:11:04 PM
Quote from: Lincoln Councillor Dwarven Dragon on February 04, 2021, 05:33:12 PM

Next: Toomey Amendment on Sanctuary Cities

Who’s the 1, Schumer for procedural reasons?

Rand Paul, apparently.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2522 on: February 04, 2021, 06:19:54 PM »


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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2523 on: February 04, 2021, 06:22:25 PM »
Quote from: politicallefty on February 04, 2021, 06:18:13 PM
Quote from: Lincoln Councillor Dwarven Dragon on February 04, 2021, 05:04:46 PM


If this means what I think it means, I'm very disappointed in some Democrats.

I admit I'm not entirely informed as to the reconciliation process, but I assume some of these amendments can be stripped out when dealing with the House, right?

The House Rules Committee could strip it out when the budget goes back to the House this weekend, but the Senate would have to approve that change. Once an identical budget has passed both chambers however, the eventual actual relief bill does have to comply with the budget's terms.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2524 on: February 04, 2021, 06:40:45 PM »

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