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May 19, 2024, 01:47:39 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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 1 
 on: Today at 01:46:49 PM 
Started by darklordoftech - Last post by Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
What would likely happen in the least extreme scenario is that gun-friendly banks and credit card companies would open to counter this.

 2 
 on: Today at 01:46:42 PM 
Started by EJ24 - Last post by Mechavada
"Folks, we're having another political realignment."

 3 
 on: Today at 01:46:22 PM 
Started by heatcharger - Last post by Oregon Eagle Politics
Analysts are starting to talk about Minnesota like a battleground state. Was Biden’s primary performance a sign of things to come?

Donald Trump had a weaker primary performance in MN than Biden did.
Joe Biden is the incumbent, not Trump. And Haley had far more $$$ than Biden’s challengers.

 4 
 on: Today at 01:45:34 PM 
Started by Burke Bro - Last post by GeorgiaModerate
He could serve a third term, but not be elected a third time.

There is a theory he (or Obama, Clinton, GW Bush) could be elected VP and have a sock puppet at the top of the ticket who immediately resigns.

This language in the 12th Amendment seems quite clear:

Quote
But no person constitutionally ineligible to the office of President shall be eligible to that of Vice-President of the United States.

It's an extreme stretch to suggest that this would let someone get around the 22nd Amendment using that scheme.  I can't see the Supreme Court (even the current one) allowing it after the inevitable challenge.

 5 
 on: Today at 01:45:33 PM 
Started by heatcharger - Last post by Mr. Smith
Trump had a wonderful time in San Jose, CA back in 2016.

Hillary had some good times in North Carolina and Arizona, since the Blue Wall was holding and the tipping point state of note was safely in her court.


 6 
 on: Today at 01:45:07 PM 
Started by heatcharger - Last post by heatcharger
I think it should be more concerning Trump has opened up very few campaign offices even in the main swing states.

Campaign offices aren’t part of the TRUMP campaign priorities. Campaign offices are a Bill Clinton-era holdover, aka something consultants have convinced campaign managers are necessary without much proof of their usefulness at the presidential level.

TRUMP is dominating earned media, meeting voters where they are. And that’s social media for young people and cable news for old people. Biden is hoping his pre-internet campaign can squeeze out enough college-educated women, but again, he’s relying on old campaign tactics.

 7 
 on: Today at 01:43:57 PM 
Started by heatcharger - Last post by ProgressiveModerate
Look like trump definitely playing on his quite natural Memeness and trying to make Joe biden look like a complete idiot which honestly is kind of working on me
And i remember Republicans said they were now focusing on Minnesota and Virginia since they felt that the swing states were either pretty safe for the Rs or naturally leaning towards them So i got a feeling that trump is going to try to flip those 2 states.

A lot of people are congratulating me on calling Virginia as a battleground. Tremendous golf courses. Tremendous wine. We love our contractors and consultants.

I am willing to bet real money with you Biden will win VA by at least 5% margin.


Biden opened a Hampton Roads office, a clear sign of weakness with the Blacks. If Virginia is in play, what does that say about his standing in NC and GA?

Campaigns often open up campaign offices in likely/safe states for a variety of reasons - not necessarily because the state in any immediate danger of flipping. In this case, it could be in part to do well enough in that region of VA to help flip VA-02. Also I'm assuming you mean Hampton and not Hampton Roads - Hampton Roads is just the body of water separating Hampton and Norfolk.

If Biden started spawning up like 20+ Virginia campaign offices across the state then it'd start to indicate they think they have real problems there.

I think it should be more concerning Trump has opened up very few campaign offices even in the main swing states.
Biden is a drag on downballot, so if helping downballot is his goal then he should stay out of the states.

Campaign office could help try and increase base turnout amongst straight ticket D voters in that region of Virginia which would benefit both Biden and Cotter-Smasal.

 8 
 on: Today at 01:43:43 PM 
Started by Sir Mohamed - Last post by The Economy is Getting Worse
Trump +3 to 4. I expect mostly stable polling at around Trump +1 until the conventions, where Biden takes a lead, then Trump wins late deciders big time.

 9 
 on: Today at 01:43:17 PM 
Started by AncestralDemocrat. - Last post by Oregon Eagle Politics
Biden is uniquely toxic to younger and working-class voters. These voters have no qualms with voting for younger, charismatic candidates like Gallego. Biden should drop out to save American democracy.

 10 
 on: Today at 01:42:57 PM 
Started by heatcharger - Last post by The Economy is Getting Worse
Minnesota due to the twin metro area, as well as the fact that it was closer in 2020. Trump is gaining a lot in urban areas due to the housing situation (also why he leads in NE02), while Biden seems to be holding up in rural areas. The current WI and MN polling are not too far apart.

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