Florida 2022 Megathread

[2016]

Once we start getting early vote numbers instead of polls I will talk, but clearly Emerson is showing an R bias and Impact is showing a D bias I won't concede this race until we get actual results not polls it's a 303 map anyways this is wave insurance is

Don't say Rs have the advantage in Early vote we won Red state AK and NY 19 Molinaro came back on Ryan in same day vote not early votes

I am not saying that Republicans have an early Vote Advantage, Democrats will have that Advantage there is no question about that.

However I will say this: The D's Advantage will not as big as it was in 2020. The D's will not win the VBM Vote by 70-30 or 80-20 we saw in the Pandemic Election in 2020.
Coronavirus is over, no one talks about it. It's at the Bottom of every Poll.

New York & Alaska were Special Elections where Turnout was considerably lower and when it comes to Alaska that Race was all about Sarah Palin as much as anything else. The R-D Split in Alaska was 60-40 in Republicans favour. Nick Begich would have won the Race very convincingly.

Also, you cannot compare Alaska & New York to Florida.
Florida also has 9 Days of early In-Person Voting starting Oct. 29 which will cancel out some of the VBM Vote.

[2016]

https://twitter.com/ChrisMZiegler/status/1571921658411384833

And a powerful ad
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iIpzXBneDFQ

[S019]

https://twitter.com/MiamiHerald/status/1571983634692710401

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://twitter.com/MiamiHerald/status/1571983634692710401

Play stupid games...

[2016]

Nothing will come out of this!

[S019]

Nothing will come out of this!

I don't think anyone asked you.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

https://twitter.com/ChrisMZiegler/status/1571921658411384833
And a powerful ad
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iIpzXBneDFQ

It says 17,197 three times on the page.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We're gonna win FLORIDA

[UWS]

We're gonna win FLORIDA

Last year you have said repeatedly that Terry McCauliffe was going to win in Virginia. You have been wrong.

[2016]

We're gonna win FLORIDA

Last year you have said repeatedly that Terry McCauliffe was going to win in Virginia. You have been wrong.

LOL, they are not going to win Florida unless DeSantis gets charged or the FBI are coming for him which I doubt.

DeSantis is very smart. He brought the Issue of Border Crisis/Illegal Immigration back to the forefront.

[UWS]

https://twitter.com/GovRonDeSantis/status/1571926622776745984?ref_src=twsrc%5Ego...https://twitter.com/DeSantisWarRoom/status/1572351250296983552?cxt=HHwWgMC-gbXIj...

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We're gonna win FLORIDA

Last year you have said repeatedly that Terry McCauliffe was going to win in Virginia. You have been wrong.
[/quote
You guys lost AK and NY 19 since then stop talking about VA

[UWS]

https://twitter.com/DeSantisWarRoom/status/1572376424937394176?cxt=HHwWgMC82eKBm...

In addition of mourning Fidel Castro when he died, Karla Marx opposed moving the embassy to Jerusalem. That is really not a win for Crist among FL's Jewish voters.

She promoted a tweet criticizing the 2018 decision to relocate the U.S. embassy in Israel to Jerusalem, a move widely seen as a watershed moment for America's pro-Israel community. The tweet was from Leah Daughtry and it reads : "All these folks saying that moving the Embassy is biblical. I'm pretty familiar with the Bible. Can't say i recall any mention of the US, an embassy, or moving of said Embassy. I am going to need a citation, with chapter & verse."

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Impact did polls on this race and it was 50/48 Rubio  and DeSantis 5o/47 not DeSantis plus 10/15 so it's not over until all the polls close

[2016]

Impact did polls on this race and it was 50/48 Rubio  and DeSantis 5o/47 not DeSantis plus 10/15 so it's not over until all the polls close

LOL, new Poll from USAToday/Suffolk (who has been a much more friendlier Dem Pollster) has DeSantis up 7 Points, 48/41.

There hasn't been a single Poll in over 3 months that has Crist up. 538, Cook, Sabato, Insight Elections has FL-GOV likely R.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

They had NY 19 and AK Safe R too I am not saying we're gonna sweep everything but the polls have been 5 pts or less who cares about ratings it's a blank map


Yeah ratings were so accurate they had VA Gov Likely D in 2021 and D's net gaining seats in 2020 we lost seats here are the ratings in 2020 Cook said himself he is going by the 303 map but there can be upsets in OH, NC and on MTP

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

FL Rubio +2, NC Beasley +1 and OH Vance +1 one wave insurañce

[2016]

FL Rubio +2, NC Beasley +1 and OH Vance +1 one wave insurañce

There is no Democratic Wave. It will more likely be a neutral year at worst.

DeSantis is outrunning Rubio by a lot. That's why this FL-GOV Race is Likely Republican.

Ron DeSantis is an absolute GENIUS with good Political Instincts. He brought the Border Issue back to the forefront of the 2022 Campaign and Crist/Demings are being hit by it + National Democrats.

@General McArthur was right.

[2016]

https://twitter.com/FLVoiceNews/status/1572661943353180160

When even Democrats endorsing DeSantis things are bad for Crist!

[Senator Incitatus]

DeSantis will probably get significant cross-over support, which is becoming rare. Shaping up more and more like a Chris Christie type (not really a pure compliment).

[2016]

NEW FLORIDA VOTER REGISTRATION NUMBERS

REPUBLICANS 5,233,366

DEMOCRATS 4,963,722

MINOR PARTIES 258,804

INDEPENDENTS 3,939,389

TOTAL ACTIVE REGISTERED VOTERS IN FL 14,395,281

REPUBLICANS lead by 269,644

Source: Florida Divisions of Elections as of Aug 31

https://www.dos.myflorida.com/elections/data-statistics/voter-registration-statistics/voter-registration-reports/voter-registration-by-county-and-party/

Republicans gained another 30K Voters since July 31 when we had the last Update.

My guess Republicans could have a 290-300K lead by the time we get to the Book Closing on October 11th, which is the last Day you can register to vote in FL.

Good Luck to Crist trying to erase that deficit.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Skeptical that this means as much as some want it to mean. Isn't a good chunk of this just churn in places like Dixie County? These people weren't voting Democratic already...

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

DeSantis will probably get significant cross-over support, which is becoming rare. Shaping up more and more like a Chris Christie type (not really a pure compliment).

impact/AARP had this race 50/48 Rubio and DeSantis 50/47 Trump won FL by 3 and that's all DeSantis is gonna win by if he wins

[2016]

DeSantis will probably get significant cross-over support, which is becoming rare. Shaping up more and more like a Chris Christie type (not really a pure compliment).

impact/AARP had this race 50/48 Rubio and DeSantis 50/47 Trump won FL by 3 and that's all DeSantis is gonna win by if he wins

Impact is GARBARGE for the upteeth time. Stop quoting Impact/AARP Polls. All other Independent Polls have DeSantis up by 5-7 Points.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

DeSantis will probably get significant cross-over support, which is becoming rare. Shaping up more and more like a Chris Christie type (not really a pure compliment).

impact/AARP had this race 50/48 Rubio and DeSantis 50/47 Trump won FL by 3 and that's all DeSantis is gonna win by if he wins

Impact is GARBARGE for the upteeth time. Stop quoting Impact/AARP Polls. All other Independent Polls have DeSantis up by 5-7 Points.

Just remember we haven't voted yet until we do DeSantis hasn't been reelected , and you should stop declaring Premature victory until we vote it's gonna be closer than 7 I'd Rubio is only up by 2 Trump only won FL by 3 ots