Florida 2022 Megathread
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Author Topic: Florida 2022 Megathread  (Read 55283 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #900 on: September 27, 2022, 03:56:38 AM »

No big deal it's gonna hit FL not as a Car 3 storm but a Cat 1 by Wed it's gonna be 75 MPH
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #901 on: September 27, 2022, 02:19:24 PM »

No big deal it's gonna hit FL not as a Car 3 storm but a Cat 1 by Wed it's gonna be 75 MPH
Wrong, it'll possibly be a Cat 3 or 4 Storm.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #902 on: September 27, 2022, 02:21:18 PM »

And this by the Biden Administration is truly DISGRACEFUL



Godspeed Governor Ron DeSantis and your entire FL Administration during this difficult time Smiley
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #903 on: September 27, 2022, 03:38:52 PM »

And this by the Biden Administration is truly DISGRACEFUL



Godspeed Governor Ron DeSantis and your entire FL Administration during this difficult time Smiley

I wonder if DeSantis' response to Hurricane Ian might bolster his performance in November's general election. Rick Scott arguably received a electoral boost in 2018 thanks to his response to Hurricane Irma.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #904 on: September 27, 2022, 03:48:34 PM »

And this by the Biden Administration is truly DISGRACEFUL



Godspeed Governor Ron DeSantis and your entire FL Administration during this difficult time Smiley

I wonder if DeSantis' response to Hurricane Ian might bolster his performance in November's general election. Rick Scott arguably received a electoral boost in 2018 thanks to his response to Hurricane Irma.
I think he will get a bounce. Ian now a Cat 3 Hurricane 120 mph. Projected to be at 130 mph when he hits the Ft. Meyers, St. Pete, Tampa Region.

Biden playing Political Games. Democrats will do whatever they can to punt DeSantis. They are so afraid of him!

Ian will hit the entire I4-Corridor where usually FL Statewide Elections are decided. This will have an Electoral Impact I've no doubt about that. PINELLAS & HILLSBOROUGH Counties are massivly important Counties for the DeSantis/Crist Race as well as the Rubio/Demings Race. The I4 has also 3 crucial House Races: FL-7, FL-13, FL-15.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #905 on: September 28, 2022, 08:56:27 AM »

Olowakandi,
You once again misled us all. IAN is now an almost Cat 5 Hurricane with 155 mph sustained winds as it is about to hit FL.
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
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« Reply #906 on: September 28, 2022, 09:34:02 AM »

It’ll depend where the hurricane hits. If it hits Punta Gordy, then he’ll get a boost cause he’ll actually do something

If it hits closer to Tampa or any large minority area then he’ll sink cause he won’t do jack
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #907 on: September 28, 2022, 10:26:13 AM »
« Edited: September 28, 2022, 10:30:02 AM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

Rubio is up 51/46 today so they have gotten their bump it will go back to a dead heat in Oct 15th, after the Hurricane when we can file our Student Loans Discharge, it's 20K and single person vote not married vote is gonna look large because single person don't vote that often in Midterms

That poll is no different than the Suffolk poll that showed DeSantis leading 51/46, but the only poll showing D's ahead was a Listening poll Crist 53/46 but Crist isn't Winning by that much probably 51/48

This is wave insurance nor a sure win we don't need FL we need to add it to our Congress collection not EC map we only need WI, PA and MI
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
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« Reply #908 on: September 28, 2022, 11:12:27 AM »

And this by the Biden Administration is truly DISGRACEFUL


Godspeed Governor Ron DeSantis and your entire FL Administration during this difficult time Smiley

I wonder if DeSantis' response to Hurricane Ian might bolster his performance in November's general election. Rick Scott arguably received a electoral boost in 2018 thanks to his response to Hurricane Irma.

Why are we assuming he won't mismanage it.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #909 on: September 28, 2022, 11:14:43 AM »

And this by the Biden Administration is truly DISGRACEFUL


Godspeed Governor Ron DeSantis and your entire FL Administration during this difficult time Smiley

I wonder if DeSantis' response to Hurricane Ian might bolster his performance in November's general election. Rick Scott arguably received a electoral boost in 2018 thanks to his response to Hurricane Irma.

Why are we assuming he won't mismanage it.

If he did mismanage it, that would obviously help Crist. But from what I've seen thus far, DeSantis has been taking this hurricane seriously.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #910 on: September 28, 2022, 11:34:52 AM »

It’ll depend where the hurricane hits. If it hits Punta Gordy, then he’ll get a boost cause he’ll actually do something

If it hits closer to Tampa or any large minority area then he’ll sink cause he won’t do jack
First: You are massivly underestimating DeSantis Strength among Minorities. DeSantis got 14 % of the African-American Vote and 44 % of the Hispanic Vote in 2018.
https://edition.cnn.com/election/2018/exit-polls/florida

DeSantis will get a bump out of this no matter what Democrats claim. Floridians always stick with their Governor when a Hurricane of this Magnitude happens.

This sabre-rattling by Democrats against DeSantis will get them nowhere and literally shows how afraid they are that he could be the next POTUS.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #911 on: September 28, 2022, 11:38:30 AM »

And this by the Biden Administration is truly DISGRACEFUL


Godspeed Governor Ron DeSantis and your entire FL Administration during this difficult time Smiley

I wonder if DeSantis' response to Hurricane Ian might bolster his performance in November's general election. Rick Scott arguably received a electoral boost in 2018 thanks to his response to Hurricane Irma.

Why are we assuming he won't mismanage it.

If he did mismanage it, that would obviously help Crist. But from what I've seen thus far, DeSantis has been taking this hurricane seriously.
He has been taken IAN seriously since it was a tiny storm south of Jamaika.

Meanwhile the FEMA Clowns only took it seriously when IAN started battering Western Cuba.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #912 on: September 28, 2022, 06:34:11 PM »

It’ll depend where the hurricane hits. If it hits Punta Gordy, then he’ll get a boost cause he’ll actually do something

If it hits closer to Tampa or any large minority area then he’ll sink cause he won’t do jack
First: You are massivly underestimating DeSantis Strength among Minorities. DeSantis got 14 % of the African-American Vote and 44 % of the Hispanic Vote in 2018.
https://edition.cnn.com/election/2018/exit-polls/florida

DeSantis will get a bump out of this no matter what Democrats claim. Floridians always stick with their Governor when a Hurricane of this Magnitude happens.

This sabre-rattling by Democrats against DeSantis will get them nowhere and literally shows how afraid they are that he could be the next POTUS.

Looking at the precinct results, it seems very unlikely DeSantis got 14% of the black vote; heavily African American precicnts in places like Jacksonville and Miami rarely give him above 5 or 6% of the vote, and a good chunk of that 5-6% probably comes from the 10-20% of folks in the precinct who are on-black. Furthermore, the swing map indicates that african american communities swung right in Florida from Gov 2018 to Pres 2020 so unless you're arguing Trump got ~18-20% of the black vote in 2020 that really doesn't make much sense.

44% with Hispanics is a lot more believable though, though if I really had to guess that is slightly too high considering DeSantis near universally underperformed Trump with Hispanics and to a pretty big degree.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #913 on: September 28, 2022, 06:56:35 PM »

It’ll depend where the hurricane hits. If it hits Punta Gordy, then he’ll get a boost cause he’ll actually do something

If it hits closer to Tampa or any large minority area then he’ll sink cause he won’t do jack
First: You are massivly underestimating DeSantis Strength among Minorities. DeSantis got 14 % of the African-American Vote and 44 % of the Hispanic Vote in 2018.
https://edition.cnn.com/election/2018/exit-polls/florida

DeSantis will get a bump out of this no matter what Democrats claim. Floridians always stick with their Governor when a Hurricane of this Magnitude happens.

This sabre-rattling by Democrats against DeSantis will get them nowhere and literally shows how afraid they are that he could be the next POTUS.

Looking at the precinct results, it seems very unlikely DeSantis got 14% of the black vote; heavily African American precicnts in places like Jacksonville and Miami rarely give him above 5 or 6% of the vote, and a good chunk of that 5-6% probably comes from the 10-20% of folks in the precinct who are on-black. Furthermore, the swing map indicates that african american communities swung right in Florida from Gov 2018 to Pres 2020 so unless you're arguing Trump got ~18-20% of the black vote in 2020 that really doesn't make much sense.

44% with Hispanics is a lot more believable though, though if I really had to guess that is slightly too high considering DeSantis near universally underperformed Trump with Hispanics and to a pretty big degree.
Hey, it's not me that is saying it. It's the CNN Exit Polls from 2018. I don't quite understand why Democrats are so adament seeing DeSantis lose. Are they really this afraid of him?

HURRICANE IAN hit most of the Republican Bastions in SW FL, Collier County (Naples), Sarasota County (Ft. Meyers). If DeSantis' Race is tight it is probably because of many Republican Voters being displaced.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #914 on: September 28, 2022, 06:58:08 PM »

It’ll depend where the hurricane hits. If it hits Punta Gordy, then he’ll get a boost cause he’ll actually do something

If it hits closer to Tampa or any large minority area then he’ll sink cause he won’t do jack
First: You are massivly underestimating DeSantis Strength among Minorities. DeSantis got 14 % of the African-American Vote and 44 % of the Hispanic Vote in 2018.
https://edition.cnn.com/election/2018/exit-polls/florida

DeSantis will get a bump out of this no matter what Democrats claim. Floridians always stick with their Governor when a Hurricane of this Magnitude happens.

This sabre-rattling by Democrats against DeSantis will get them nowhere and literally shows how afraid they are that he could be the next POTUS.

Looking at the precinct results, it seems very unlikely DeSantis got 14% of the black vote; heavily African American precicnts in places like Jacksonville and Miami rarely give him above 5 or 6% of the vote, and a good chunk of that 5-6% probably comes from the 10-20% of folks in the precinct who are on-black. Furthermore, the swing map indicates that african american communities swung right in Florida from Gov 2018 to Pres 2020 so unless you're arguing Trump got ~18-20% of the black vote in 2020 that really doesn't make much sense.

44% with Hispanics is a lot more believable though, though if I really had to guess that is slightly too high considering DeSantis near universally underperformed Trump with Hispanics and to a pretty big degree.
Hey, it's not me that is saying it. It's the CNN Exit Polls from 2018. I don't quite understand why Democrats are so adament seeing DeSantis lose. Are they really this afraid of him?

HURRICANE IAN hit most of the Republican Bastions in SW FL, Collier County (Naples), Sarasota County (Ft. Meyers). If DeSantis' Race is tight it is probably because of many Republican Voters being displaced.

No I’m pretty sure he’ll win, but those numbers just don’t line up.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #915 on: September 28, 2022, 07:49:25 PM »

Yes the Hurricane may save DeSantis but he is losing to Biden anyways we are winning WI, PA and MI GOV races and Senate races he won't crack the Blue wall that's why Biden is beating him and he is losing to Trump anyways but NC and OH Senate races are pure Tossups because the Hurricane isn't gonna touch those state it's 46/46 Beasley and Ryan 46/43 or 47/42 the only polls that has NC and OH going R is TRAFALGAR and they underpolled Hobbs
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #916 on: September 29, 2022, 02:49:35 AM »

I don't quite understand why Democrats are so adament seeing DeSantis lose. Are they really this afraid of him?

We're not afraid of him, we despise him because he's an evil man who does not deserve to be in a position of power.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #917 on: September 29, 2022, 03:20:39 AM »

Because he beat a Socialist Afro Andrew Gillum not Gwen Graham by 0.18 not by 10/15 pts
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #918 on: September 29, 2022, 09:31:24 AM »
« Edited: September 29, 2022, 09:35:08 AM by 2016 »

Great Job Smiley Real Leadership from Ron, his Wife and all the Officials down there....

https://twitter.com/i/broadcasts/1eaKbrkEQlBKX

Meanwhile Sleepy Crappy Slowy Joe Biden went on to go to a Fundraising Event for the DGA the same time IAN hit FL.

People are way more important in these sort of circumstances then winning a Political Race to be quite frank.

I wouldn't be surprised if DeSantis takes at least the next week off the Campaign Trail.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #919 on: September 29, 2022, 09:36:34 AM »



I couldn't be prouder of these folks. As soon as they get the Green Light they will go to work and help whereever they can.
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Boobs
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« Reply #920 on: September 29, 2022, 11:28:16 AM »

I wouldn't be surprised if DeSantis takes at least the next week off the Campaign Trail.

I would be surprised if he takes the week off for anything but a bottomless buffet.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #921 on: September 29, 2022, 11:38:39 AM »

Great Job Smiley Real Leadership from Ron, his Wife and all the Officials down there....

https://twitter.com/i/broadcasts/1eaKbrkEQlBKX
Meanwhile Sleepy Crappy Slowy Joe Biden went on to go to a Fundraising Event for the DGA the same time IAN hit FL.

People are way more important in these sort of circumstances then winning a Political Race to be quite frank.

I wouldn't be surprised if DeSantis takes at least the next week off the Campaign Trail.

Nobody: What is your favorite Trump nickname?

2016: Yes.
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Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
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« Reply #922 on: September 29, 2022, 11:44:11 AM »

I wouldn't be surprised if DeSantis takes at least the next week off the Campaign Trail.

I would be surprised if he takes the week off for anything but a bottomless buffet.

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Perlen vor den Schweinen
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« Reply #923 on: September 29, 2022, 11:54:46 AM »

I wouldn't be surprised if DeSantis takes at least the next week off the Campaign Trail.

I would be surprised if he takes the week off for anything but a bottomless buffet.


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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #924 on: September 29, 2022, 11:59:38 AM »
« Edited: September 29, 2022, 12:07:09 PM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

Who cares he was favored anyways D's are tied or leading in OH and NC and WI is 5 pts but Pat Ryan came back from 8 pts in VBM in blue NY and PPP polled yesterday and had the race tied and Data 4 Progress have Laxalt +1 not 3

It's a 3o3 map with wave insurance but it helps Biden too if DeSantis runs against Biden in 24 he is already the underdog he won't beat Biden in leading Fema not DeSantis

They just polled this race yesterday Rubio is up 51/46 up by 5 that's where I expected the bump was gonna be anyways

Now instead of FL being the state to watch on EDay it's NC another poll has BEASLEY tied not behind and every poll except TRAFALGAR or Emerson has Ryan AHEAD

We don't need FL but 5 pts isn't enough for me to change FL back R that's still MOE, if you get down to it Beto now has a better chance he is now down 53)47 the same as Crist 51/46 so we can win TX instead of FL all MOE
.
That's why I have TX D it's 5 pts like FLORIDA
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