2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The message by voters they don't like Trump but they don't want to go socialist

[The Legend]

Michigan has almost no absentees in. They are going to be big for biden.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

What is going on in Michigan.
Are numbers from the big cities not in yet?

No, Michigan has said that they may not get the full results in for at least several more days.  That's another thing: don't be surprised to see some states hang up in a weird configuration. 

[Splash]

This seems a little like 2018 on steroids.

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1323805527890141190

[Gren]

I know some of you are saying Biden won't win NC, but I think he could. Although Dem-friendly urban areas have reported more votes, he's improving quite a lot there over Clinton. Also, vote-rich GOP strongholds such as Gaston, Iredell, Rowan, Randolph and Davidson are equally reporting at a higher rate than the state as a whole.

[QAnonKelly]

Gwinnett and Fulton coming in in GA

[lfromnj]

Prediction from Tender:

Biden might actually lose this election.

No, he's almost certainly going to improve over Hillary well enough to win. Miami is not the pattern but the exception.

Hispanics seem like they're swinging pretty hard to Trump, which puts the entire sunbelt out of play. Trump also seems like he's overperforming in rural counties.

Biden only needs WI + MI + PA and with the rural white swings he's very likely to get them, and it looks like overall whites swinging to Biden will swamp minorities swinging to Trump.

Rural whites have not swung D, stop trying to gaslight this forum
Looking through the 98% counted Indiana counties it just seems in most of them the 3rd party has split 50/50 with some counties swinging a point or 2 D and some swinging R. However due to increased turnout this is a pretty big net gain for Trump. However white suburban areas have zoomed left even past 2018 levels and this is why Biden is still favored in the critical 3.
 

Biden was polling better with non college-educated whites than either Hillary's 2016 polling or result, and this is clearly being seen in counties across the map (just look at Ohio).

Lmao Ohio counties aren't fully in, look at the counties in Indiana across the border that are fully in.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Galloway and Myers got destroyed lmao

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

What is going on in Michigan.
Are numbers from the big cities not in yet?

Doesn’t Michigan count election day votes before early votes?

[Crumpets]

Did I time travel back to 2004?

Lol, the current popular vote count is 50.4% Trump, 48.3% Biden. The 2004 election was 50.7% Bush, 48.3% Kerry. So, yes.

[It's Perro Sanxe wot won it]

This map would be hilarious

 

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

DeSantis has a 60 percent approval rating thats why Trump won FL

[ProudModerate2]

What is going on in Michigan.
Are numbers from the big cities not in yet?

No, Michigan has said that they may not get the full results in for at least several more days.  That's another thing: don't be surprised to see some states hang up in a weird configuration. 

OK.
I will try not to let it get to me.
But this initial trump lead is (was) concerning.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

https://twitter.com/MarcACaputo/status/1323795907960254465

Maybe Democrats will distance from BLM on some of their issues.....

Democrats always need some scapegoat.

[DPKdebator]

The swing towards Trump in Hispanic-heavy areas so far is insane. So far, Miami-Dade County, Florida has swung 22% to the right (Clinton+30 --> Biden+8) with 93% in, and Starr County, Texas has swung 52% to the right (Clinton+60 --> Biden+8).

[Storr]

I know some of you are saying Biden won't win NC, but I think he could. Although Dem-friendly urban areas have reported more votes, he's improving quite a lot there over Clinton. Also, vote-rich GOP strongholds such as Gaston, Iredell, Rowan, Randolph and Davidson are requally reporting at a higher rate than the state as a whole.

I am cautiously optimistic about NC. Being >51% with 74% of the vote in is never a bad thing, and there isn't a panhandle like in Florida waiting to dump 200k Trump votes.

Edit: it's up to 74%.

[JerryArkansas]

What is going on in Michigan.
Are numbers from the big cities not in yet?

Doesn’t Michigan count election day votes before early votes?

This.  This is the red mirage that was talked about.  Unless you all think Trump is going to win Wayne.

[Mr. Morden]

Texas exit poll toplines (from averaging men and women):

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-elections/texas-president-results

Trump 51%
Biden 48%

[forsythvoter]

Biden's Midwest firewall still seems to beholding. The swings in the Midwest are actually pretty good to him, especially in the urban and suburban areas. If those are election day only numbers for MI, then MI is looking good for Biden. If they are replicated in OH, OH will be pretty close.

The Rust Belt strategy might have been the right one after all. Not inconceivable, that he gets his trio but loses NV.

[Splash]

Lehigh County has to be a mistake right? NYT is saying 98% in with Biden ahead 81-19

[Non Swing Voter]

New Mexico was a poll closing time win for Biden.

[GP270watch]

New Mexico called for Biden by NY Times.

[Kuumo]

New Mexico called for Biden on NYT at polls closing.

[Pyro]

Beto must be kicking himself for investing in a non-starter presidential campaign.

https://twitter.com/MSNBC/status/1323805209894768641

[Splash]

Texas exit poll toplines (from averaging men and women):

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-elections/texas-president-results

Trump 51%
Biden 48%

That actually looks pretty accurate based on what's outstanding.