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Author Topic: Spanish elections and politics  (Read 381036 times)
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CrabCake
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« Reply #600 on: December 22, 2015, 08:46:18 PM »

I find the one of the more interesting regional oddity is C's pathetic result in its home region.
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Tetro Kornbluth
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« Reply #601 on: December 22, 2015, 08:59:09 PM »

I find the one of the more interesting regional oddity is C's pathetic result in its home region.

C's vote in Catalonia is limited by the fact that they are the mostly openly anti-Catalan language party.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #602 on: December 22, 2015, 09:15:47 PM »

Podemos overtakes IU-UP in Marinaleda : all is lost for IU.

PCE: RIP HP
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SPQR
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« Reply #603 on: December 23, 2015, 03:24:24 AM »

It's more that PODEMOS are weakest in the Castillian heartland.
They do very well in the most autonomous of communities,which if I am not wrong are also those with an alternative official language.
Galicia,Catalunya,Pais Vasco,Communitat Valenciana,Baleares,Canarias...
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Iannis
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« Reply #604 on: December 23, 2015, 08:45:16 AM »

It looks curious, but the vote to Podemos in provinces seems positively correlated with the GDP per capita as I found in some infographic I made

http://www.termometropolitico.it/infografiche
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Zanas
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« Reply #605 on: December 23, 2015, 08:55:00 AM »

I think it is also positively correlated to air moisture, seeing the maps.
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warandwar
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« Reply #606 on: December 23, 2015, 10:52:52 AM »

I think it is also positively correlated to air moisture, seeing the maps.

Well known fact that moister air correlates to less strong hegemonic power structures.
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DL
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« Reply #607 on: December 23, 2015, 12:27:24 PM »

I find the one of the more interesting regional oddity is C's pathetic result in its home region.

C's vote in Catalonia is limited by the fact that they are the mostly openly anti-Catalan language party.

I didn't think that C's were against the use of the Catalan language, just against Catalonia becoming an independent country - there's a big difference!
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Donnie
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« Reply #608 on: December 23, 2015, 01:17:57 PM »
« Edited: December 23, 2015, 01:19:37 PM by Donnie »

final prediction:

Water            28%  final: 28.7%
Aubergines    21%  final: 20.7%
Strawberries  20%  final: 22%
Oranges         14% final: 13.9%
                            -----------------------------------------------------------
                                                                       avg. error: +/- 0.8 % - i can live with that Smiley
turnout: 67%
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #609 on: December 23, 2015, 05:41:44 PM »

PSOE barons are publicly dissatisfied with Sanchez, with Gonzalez and Rubalcaba urging Sanchez to allow a PP minority. Will they wield a knife?
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MaxQue
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« Reply #610 on: December 23, 2015, 06:24:21 PM »


If PSOE backs a PP government, PSOE is dead. The new PASOK.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #611 on: December 24, 2015, 03:44:39 AM »

God, senile third-way politicians are the worst.
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CrabCake
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« Reply #612 on: December 24, 2015, 04:33:14 AM »

Yes, Sanchez; definitely listed to Felipe "Corruption" González and incomptent failure Gonzales.
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Zinneke
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« Reply #613 on: December 24, 2015, 08:28:45 AM »

 I imagine Podemos struggled in Andalucia because they are painted by PSOE as a threat to the traditional  welfare state as facilitators to its federalisation. We have a similar thing with our socialist party in Wallonia. People who benefit from government aid (and European aid) do not want multi-level governance.

Not sure how C's bombed in Catalunya, considering how they scored really well in the regionals there. PP were last too...
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #614 on: December 25, 2015, 11:25:49 AM »

Now Diaz is warning Sanchez that pact decisions are made by the PSOE federal council, not him unilaterally.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #615 on: December 25, 2015, 05:56:45 PM »

I suspect it would have been better for PSOE if that bully had lost last regional elections.
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SATW
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« Reply #616 on: December 26, 2015, 07:55:50 AM »

1. can't believe I missed these elections Sad
2. amazing and hilarious results
3. i guess i hope PP stays in power but i wont cry if they dont. jose maria aznar was the last PM I liked.
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CrabCake
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« Reply #617 on: December 27, 2015, 06:02:15 PM »

Lmao CuP

http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-spain-catalonia-idUKKBN0UA0NQ20151227
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Tetro Kornbluth
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« Reply #618 on: December 27, 2015, 07:07:02 PM »

http://www.elconfidencialdigital.com/politica/Felipe-Gonzalez-PP-PSOE-Podemos_0_2624737511.html

Felipe Gonzales leaps further into senility and calls for a pact with the PP followed with electoral reform to a two round system a la France to make sure that PODEMOS never obtains power (because Marine Le Pen and PODEMOS are the same threat apparently)
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Nanwe
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« Reply #619 on: December 28, 2015, 10:14:04 AM »


Yes, the pròces has reached mathematic-defying proportions... It's ridiculous. It seems rather likely that Catalonia will have to have elections again. And the nationalists might take a huge beating.
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Velasco
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« Reply #620 on: December 28, 2015, 03:25:32 PM »
« Edited: December 28, 2015, 04:30:26 PM by Velasco »

Pedro Sánchez, who is under big pressure from all sides including his own party, faced PSOE barons this morning. "Territorial integrity of Spain is not up for debate":

http://elpais.com/elpais/2015/12/28/inenglish/1451310221_233637.html

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Meanwhile Pablo Iglesias met Mariano Rajoy at La Moncloa. Afterwards Iglesias told reporters that he is "massively dissapointed" with Pedro Sánchez. Mr Iglesias won't give up on the issue of the referendum in Catalonia -that is unacceptable for the socialists, especially for 'barons' like Susana Díaz- and demands that PSOE takes a position on a number of social measures that Podemos wants to implement.

http://elpais.com/elpais/2015/12/28/inenglish/1451308259_640441.html

On a side note, I find some demagoguery in the way that referendum proposal is depicted by naysayers. PP, PSOE and C's spokepersons say that Podemos aims to break Spain, even though Mr Iglesias stated he would campaign against independence in case the consultation was to take place. On the other hand it's likely that Pablo Iglesias aims a new election in which his party could grow at the expense of the Spanish socialists (and PP at the expense of C's), hence some people think that he says referendum is not negotiable because he kows it's a condition PSOE cannot accept. In any case Podemos could not give up without alienating regional allies, especially the Catalan and namely Barcelona Mayor Ada Colau.  

Mariano Rajoy met with Albert Rivera. The front man of Ciudadanos stated that his party will abstain in Rajoy's investiture and demands that socialists do the same, allowing PP leader to continue as PM in a second vote. Rivera would like  an entente PP-PSOE-C's in order to provide stability, enact some reforms and preserve the integrity of Spain. This option seems to be very popular in some media (yesterday I read Mario Vargas Llosa supporting it).
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Velasco
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« Reply #621 on: December 28, 2015, 04:28:25 PM »


Yes, the pròces has reached mathematic-defying proportions... It's ridiculous. It seems rather likely that Catalonia will have to have elections again. And the nationalists might take a huge beating.

Catalan separatists never disappoint me Grin
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #622 on: December 28, 2015, 07:24:27 PM »

God, senile third-way politicians are the worst.

These people aren't so much third way as generic small c conservatives.
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Zinneke
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« Reply #623 on: December 29, 2015, 07:37:17 PM »


Yes, the pròces has reached mathematic-defying proportions... It's ridiculous. It seems rather likely that Catalonia will have to have elections again. And the nationalists might take a huge beating.

Why would the nationalists take a beating? Especially in light of national (i.e Madrid-based) politics?
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Nanwe
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« Reply #624 on: January 03, 2016, 09:37:34 AM »


Yes, the pròces has reached mathematic-defying proportions... It's ridiculous. It seems rather likely that Catalonia will have to have elections again. And the nationalists might take a huge beating.

Why would the nationalists take a beating? Especially in light of national (i.e Madrid-based) politics?

Because they did in the general election and because the few polls there are seem to indicate so. I don't mean they'll crush but well...

Btw, elections will be held in March, the CUP just announced it will vote 5 for and 5 against, meaning, Mas doesn't have a majority or a plurality (for the second round) and since by next Sunday, the deadline will be met, new elections will be held automatically, in March. Fun times. CiU is about to be eclipsed by ERC as the main Catalanist party. And I venture to say that CDC will rid itself of Mas and might become (once again) a determining part of the Spanish process of government-formation.
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