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February 25, 2021, 04:34:59 PM

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  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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  Libyan General Elections - 2019
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Author Topic: Libyan General Elections - 2019  (Read 525 times)
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Palestinian Territory, Occupied

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« on: February 14, 2019, 06:01:39 PM »
« edited: February 14, 2019, 06:15:02 PM by #TheShadowyAbyss »

Apparently there was an agreement between the three major factions to hold elections this year, there are two  main competing parties for the Presidency atm.

The two competing parties are:

Al-Jeb7a Al-Sha3beyah Tahreer Libya - Popular Front for the Liberation of Libya - this party believes the U.S and NATO led intervention was a scam designed to destabilize Libya who they believe wanted radical Islamists to destabilize the country to steal Libya's oil wealth In terms of ideology, it's considered a very left wing party who want to fight radical Islam, provide a social safety net for the people, nationalize Libya's oil, provide a more secular Libya, and reduce ties with the West. The Presidential candidate is Saif Al-Islam Gaddafi -  The former would-be successor to Muammar Gaddafi.

I7ya Libya - Reviving Libya - This is considered a centrist to center right party led by its presidential candidate - Islamic Scholar - Arif Ali Nayed who seeks to implement 4 pillars to revive Libya:

Rule of Law

Economic Reform and development

Human Rights development and growth

Government and public sector reform.

There are other potential candidates such as Khalifa Haftar who is currently in charge of the military

Libya is a very tribal society, so in terms of support, the Tripoli area and the SW is more likely to vote and support Saif al-Islam Gaddafi's candidacy and party, while Benghazi, the South should be firmly in Nayed's camp, the central coastal area could be a battle ground as it's home to both Gaddafi's tribe and those that were fiercely opposed to Gaddafi's regime in the civil war. The Amazigh being persecuted and Arabized under Gaddafi's regime, I can't see them voting for the Gaddafi ticket, I'd expect them to go to Nayed.

There's not a lot of English related material about the parties and candidacies, but I can translate the Arabic articles if anyone is interested


In terms of Parliamentary elections, they will be held concurrently with the Presidential election, there are going to be 200 seats up for grabs, you need 101 for a majority, during the last election had 170 seats won by liberals and nationalists and 30 by Islamists. The Islamists were pissed so staged a violent coup against the government that led to the 2nd civil war Libya currently faces.
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« Reply #1 on: February 15, 2019, 08:57:58 AM »

Are there any indications of Saif Al Gaddafi's chances?

Also, Haftar will probably run.
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