Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I change my mind on FL, NC and OH, D's can certainly win. Those states, even in this Environment, Nikki Fried, Grayson and Ryan and Beasley whom aren't for Crt packing BB it for DC and PR statehood and Reparations

Never underestimate Manchin, Casey, Fetterman, Brown and Ryan whom all of them never lost a GE before

IA and TX stays R for the foreseeable future, Josh Mandel and Vance aren't Rob Portman

40% Blks, Arabs and Latinos especially 40% Latino in FL and D's aren't gonna underperform I'miami and MAHONEY COUNTY

Trump won then prior to Insurrectionists that he improved on Minority voters


Josh Mandel and JD Vance are the worst for OH, and Rs love to support Larry Elder, he doesn't support Reparations, only for slave owners

Carry a Trump card, plse 45.00, throw that away

George Vomovich and Mike DeWine were Moderates not Trump Rs

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

D's are plus 7 on Generic ballot 45/38 since Rs want to keep saying Biden is below 50 that's why the Rs are getting crushed in 2021 Election

It's gonna be nearly impossible without a scandal or a Major third party candidate, for Rs during a Pandemic to I replicate the TRIFECTA in 2016, and that's EVER, if D's net the Trifecta with 52 votes, Crt packing won't be done but Statehood and Reparations, Tester said let's get DC Statehood done, and will be in one of the tie breaker a in 2022

[Gracile]

Remington polled Biden's approval in seven competitive US House districts:

https://punchbowl.news/wp-content/uploads/AAN-September-Polling-Memo.pdf

CA-10 (Harder) - 44% approve/51% disapprove
FL-07 (Murphy) - 46%/49%
IA-03 (Axne) - 43%/51%
MI-08 (Slotkin) - 42%/54%
MI-11 (Stevens) - 45%/51%
VA-02 (Luria) - 46%/50%
WA-08 (Schrier) - 46%/50%
Average - 44% approve/51% disapprove

[wbrocks67]

FWIW, Rasmussen up to 47/52 this morning.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah if the Election were held today we would be in trouble

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

Yeah if the Election were held today we would be in trouble

however it's 500 days to election

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah and the Rs replacement of Toomry, Portman and Burr are a downgrade from the incumbents that's why Nate Silver maps with his voice have every Senate race but MO competetive even Rubio in FL, on you tube

Vance or Mandel aren't Rob Portman they are worse

Abortion and Planned Parenthood and the Final insurrection report will lift D's next Election

[DaleCooper]

My prediction is that Biden's approval will remain low until we start finding a reasonable approach to the COVID situation, then it will increase again, possibly to where it hovered for a while up until recently.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden Approvals won't stay low if we make peace with Taliban and no domestic Terroritorists attack just like what happened in Afghanistan


D's still lead 45/38 on Congressional ballot

[MR DARK BRANDON]

IDP;

44-43
47-45 (RV)

RMG

42-52

Rass

47-52

[GeorgiaModerate]

IBD/TIPP (monthly), Sep. 1-3, 1305 adults including 1044 RV

Adults:

Approve 44 (-8)
Disapprove 43 (+9)

RV:

Approve 47 (-10)
Disapprove 45 (+11)

[MR DARK BRANDON]

When’s morning consult come out?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Can't wait til Biden Approvals get back to 50% Again, Roe being reversed is gonna have a devestating effect, Collins is the real loser, she is GONE IN 2026 DEFINITELY

[wbrocks67]

When’s morning consult come out?

https://twitter.com/cameron_easley/status/1435327750492106759

[President Johnson]

85-12% among Democrats is a bit unrealistic, isn't it? Who are these 12%? Progressives disappointed not more legislation is already passed? I fully understand that and wish more would already be in the books, but come on, there's not much Joe Biden can do than he's already.

Independets are kinda weird, as they voted for him by twelve points. Seems like (white) indies are pretty anti-incumbent regardless of party. Trump's numbers amon them were always in the tank and even Obama lost them in 2012.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

So what, we have the 304 blue wall otherwise D's would be losing Cali or VA, we need wave insurance to secure the H to pass DC statehood for a tough 2024 Senate race

We know it's a 304 map because every H and S Delegation except for WVA, KT and OH have partisan trends

[MR DARK BRANDON]

When’s morning consult come out?

https://twitter.com/cameron_easley/status/1435327750492106759

Thanks.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

All this tells you is that Biden can lose the H and keep the Senate like Trump did in 2018 with similar Approvals


Don't waste your monies until the Polls get better on Act blue candidats like Charles Booker or Tim Ryan or Beasley or Grayson, you know how polls overpredicted in 2020 and it was a 304 map, but DeSantis only up 3 does show some good news


It's all Simema fault she said on View that she will never get rid of the Filibuster, and so is Collins whom lives in MW not IA or NC

Wasting monies on Act blue isn't the way to do things unless it's to give to CCM, Hassan or WARNOCK


Biden stop UBI payments that's partly his problem and D's want you to donate to their wave insurance seats, it's different to root for D's but give monies, No

[MR DARK BRANDON]

All this tells you is that Biden can lose the H and keep the Senate like Trump did in 2018 with similar Approvals


Don't waste your monies until the Polls get better on Act blue candidats like Charles Booker or Tim Ryan or Beasley or Grayson, you know how polls overpredicted in 2020 and it was a 304 map, but DeSantis only up 3 does show some good news


It's all Simema fault she said on View that she will never get rid of the Filibuster, and so is Collins whom lives in MW not IA or NC

Wasting monies on Act blue isn't the way to do things unless it's to give to CCM, Hassan or WARNOCK


Biden stop UBI payments that's partly his problem and D's want you to donate to their wave insurance seats, it's different to root for D's but give monies, No

Actually lower polls show more of a reason to donate to said candidates and polls for Dems in 2022 are not at all bad

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Pittsburgh and others are promoting Charles Booker, whom is Doomed

Anyways, D's are being outraided in FL, 4M to 1/2 M to r Fried and Crist, if they're getting all the donations why do they keep asking for monies and Pelosi is being outraided in the H, she too is begging

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Pittsburgh and others are promoting Charles Booker, whom is Doomed

Anyways, D's are being outraided in FL, 4M to 1/2 M to r Fried and Crist, if they're getting all the donations why do they keep asking for monies and Pelosi is being outraided in the H, she too is begging

GOP do the same thing. It’s called fundraising welcome to politics.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Orange County is ground zero for Redistricting and Southern Cali doesn't like Pelosi, that's why Newsoim is getting recalled which he will win

If D's don't get 6 Rs out of the H Cali, along with 3 each from NY and IL, D's are DOOMED IN REDISTRICTING

ITS STILL EARLY BUT Pelosi is very bad in Southern Cali and Harris won't go near LA with it's Homeless problem SKID ROW she stays in Bay Area, LIKE PELOSI AND Feinstein

I am simply stating a fact to be disappointed on Election night if we get an RH and DS like we were disappointed in. 2019 when we didn't win MS Gov and the many special elections that we lost

[pbrower2a]

When’s morning consult come out?

https://twitter.com/cameron_easley/status/1435327750492106759

Thanks.

Underwater but still near 50. Not bad for followwing a bad event not of his doing.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a 304 EC map, Biden isn't getting any higher than what he gotten on Election night due to stoppage of UBI payments and letting Taliban, which they're bragging about in Afghanistan

[MR DARK BRANDON]

It's a 304 EC map, Biden isn't getting any higher than what he gotten on Election night due to stoppage of UBI payments and letting Taliban, which they're bragging about in Afghanistan

Ohio isn’t going D