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So the race is somewhere between a tie and double-digit Trump. I buy that.

That LaRose is making this an issue when it never has been before (despite late conventions) is partisan hackery masqueraded as having his hands tied and being forced to follow some arbitrary and archaic law. Unfortunately, it was entirely predictable that Republicans would try this after hackish Democrats set the precedent by ruling Trump ineligible in Colorado and Maine. Some of us on here warned about the consequences of those disastrous rulings when they happened, and now we are seeing said consequences not just in Ohio, but in other states like Alabama which are attempting the same thing.

I don't think this is a given

It's close to where I believe the race stands at this point. However, Qpac hasn't the best reputation.

I find they’ve either been Biden’s best or worst poll this cycle. Rare to get a “normal” result like this from them.

When have they been his worst? It either seems like they normal or outlier good for Biden.

Joe Biden (I) will be on the ballot

Yup. I've said it before. The incumbent president will not be missing from the ballot in any state. Last time that happened was in 1964 in Alabama, I think? Not a good look.

A question; will the ‘purdah’ rules which mean that the Government can’t act politically during a GE mean that deportation flights to Rwanda can’t happen?

There’s a very good argument they’re a political act in theory

My understanding is that the flights could go ahead as that is the existing law and policy of the government - but also that you are unlikely to see the Home Office boasting about it on social media (because government communications are limited) and that if there are legal challenges then the caretaker government (which is the Civil Service; and Ministers in post that can act is very limited ways) aren't going to make any active changes to policies. I could be wrong - I believe the official pre-election period starts tomorrow (probably de jure as of 5pm but in reality everyone in the Civil Service was watching the speech and went home or to the pub afterwards) and will go on until it is clear who the government will be; but I am not 100% sure.

I'll be called a hack but Pinson only winning by 10 is a good result IMO for Barrow/Dems.

Nothing was spent on this race - Barrow barely spent over $1M. People say they got mailers for Pinson but nothing from Barrow. Yes, Barrow pushed abortion rights, but it seems that only the most tuned in folks actually saw that. Almost everyone else was either swayed by name rec (Barrows old district) or incumbency on the ballot, with an incumbent who doesn't seem to have any scandals.

The fact that Barrow was able to still get 45% of the vote despite all of that actually tells me that his message was able to break through to some folks. I imagine 80% of voters did not know the details of this race or who was who, and just went with incumbent. But the fact that Barrow still got through to 45% of voters while spending $1M against a normal incumbent in a nonpartisan race is not bad at all imo.

yes you are a hack and I can clearly smell your fear for November. how can you call it a good result for a state that is clearly trending left and losing it by 10?

anyway, the real reason probably why Barrow lost is that he is a one trick pony, just like Mark Udall in 2014 CO-Sen.

[DONALD JOHN TRUMP.]

Italians and Hispanics love

DONALD JOHN TRUMP. And it isn't even close.

Thank you Bronx!

It's close to where I believe the race stands at this point. However, Qpac hasn't the best reputation.

I find they’ve either been Biden’s best or worst poll this cycle. Rare to get a “normal” result like this from them.

I've already totally written him off.