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May 19, 2024, 01:45:49 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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 1 
 on: Today at 01:45:34 PM 
Started by Burke Bro - Last post by GeorgiaModerate
He could serve a third term, but not be elected a third time.

There is a theory he (or Obama, Clinton, GW Bush) could be elected VP and have a sock puppet at the top of the ticket who immediately resigns.

This language in the 12th Amendment seems quite clear:

Quote
But no person constitutionally ineligible to the office of President shall be eligible to that of Vice-President of the United States.

It's an extreme stretch to suggest that this would let someone get around the 22nd Amendment using that scheme.  I can't see the Supreme Court (even the current one) allowing it after the inevitable challenge.

 2 
 on: Today at 01:45:33 PM 
Started by heatcharger - Last post by Mr. Smith
Trump had a wonderful time in San Jose, CA back in 2016.

Hillary had some good times in North Carolina and Arizona, since the Blue Wall was holding and the tipping point state of note was safely in her court.


 3 
 on: Today at 01:45:07 PM 
Started by heatcharger - Last post by heatcharger
I think it should be more concerning Trump has opened up very few campaign offices even in the main swing states.

Campaign offices aren’t part of the TRUMP campaign priorities. Campaign offices are a Bill Clinton-era holdover, aka something consultants have convinced campaign managers are necessary without much proof of their usefulness at the presidential level.

TRUMP is dominating earned media, meeting voters where they are. And that’s social media for young people and cable news for old people. Biden is hoping his pre-internet campaign can squeeze out enough college-educated women, but again, he’s relying on old campaign tactics.

 4 
 on: Today at 01:43:57 PM 
Started by heatcharger - Last post by ProgressiveModerate
Look like trump definitely playing on his quite natural Memeness and trying to make Joe biden look like a complete idiot which honestly is kind of working on me
And i remember Republicans said they were now focusing on Minnesota and Virginia since they felt that the swing states were either pretty safe for the Rs or naturally leaning towards them So i got a feeling that trump is going to try to flip those 2 states.

A lot of people are congratulating me on calling Virginia as a battleground. Tremendous golf courses. Tremendous wine. We love our contractors and consultants.

I am willing to bet real money with you Biden will win VA by at least 5% margin.


Biden opened a Hampton Roads office, a clear sign of weakness with the Blacks. If Virginia is in play, what does that say about his standing in NC and GA?

Campaigns often open up campaign offices in likely/safe states for a variety of reasons - not necessarily because the state in any immediate danger of flipping. In this case, it could be in part to do well enough in that region of VA to help flip VA-02. Also I'm assuming you mean Hampton and not Hampton Roads - Hampton Roads is just the body of water separating Hampton and Norfolk.

If Biden started spawning up like 20+ Virginia campaign offices across the state then it'd start to indicate they think they have real problems there.

I think it should be more concerning Trump has opened up very few campaign offices even in the main swing states.
Biden is a drag on downballot, so if helping downballot is his goal then he should stay out of the states.

Campaign office could help try and increase base turnout amongst straight ticket D voters in that region of Virginia which would benefit both Biden and Cotter-Smasal.

 5 
 on: Today at 01:43:43 PM 
Started by Sir Mohamed - Last post by The Economy is Getting Worse
Trump +3 to 4. I expect mostly stable polling at around Trump +1 until the conventions, where Biden takes a lead, then Trump wins late deciders big time.

 6 
 on: Today at 01:43:17 PM 
Started by AncestralDemocrat. - Last post by Oregon Eagle Politics
Biden is uniquely toxic to younger and working-class voters. These voters have no qualms with voting for younger, charismatic candidates like Gallego. Biden should drop out to save American democracy.

 7 
 on: Today at 01:42:57 PM 
Started by heatcharger - Last post by The Economy is Getting Worse
Minnesota due to the twin metro area, as well as the fact that it was closer in 2020. Trump is gaining a lot in urban areas due to the housing situation (also why he leads in NE02), while Biden seems to be holding up in rural areas. The current WI and MN polling are not too far apart.

 8 
 on: Today at 01:42:24 PM 
Started by Open Source Intelligence - Last post by Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
2 real responses to this, really? This pandemic killed 7 million people globally. Meanwhile there are 37 responses of some piece of sh*t Rep calling another piece of sh*t Rep a beach blonde butch bitch



Republicans love to misread events to follow the narratives that make them feel good, and they're not amenable to reasonable argument (if they were, they would not be Republicans); and not everyone likes playing chess with pigeons.  The first two paragraphs of your linked article address most of what I'm seeing in the thread so far:

Quote
Federal health officials Wednesday suspended funding to a U.S. research organization linked to investigations about the novel coronavirus’s origins, saying the move is “necessary to protect the public interest” given the organization’s failure to monitor virus experiments in a Chinese lab before the pandemic.

Federal officials also are seeking to block future funding to EcoHealth Alliance, which worked with the Wuhan Institute of Virology in China, citing new evidence about EcoHealth’s actions that emerged ahead of a contentious congressional hearing this month.

There's more and better evidence linking Donald Trump to Russian intelligence than there is linking EcoHealth to the COVID pandemic, but the same crowd scream to cislunar orbit if you suggest taking any action based on that evidence. And this is the same pandemic which, by the way, Republicans have spent years telling me wasn't all that dangerous and is just an excuse for government overreach.

Republicans liking for this decisions is completely independent of any merits it may have; they like solely because it makes them feel good. If deliberately sparking a pandemic made them feel good, they'd do that, too.

 9 
 on: Today at 01:41:05 PM 
Started by AncestralDemocrat. - Last post by Oregon Eagle Politics
This follows the trend of Biden being toxic and downballot Dems doing okay. Biden needs to drop out, then we’ll have a blue wave.
You are pretty lucky that Kari Lake is such a weak Candidate. Let's be serious here: Rep. Ruben Gallego is a totally, leftist, progressive radical, former Member of the Democratic Progressive House Caucus and if Republicans had fielded a decent Candidate like Kimberly Yee or Mark Brnovich Gallego would be toast. He is too the left of Senator Mark Kelly and given Arizonas Status as "Maverick State" where the share of the Independent Electorate has expotentially grown over the last Decade I thought he would be a bridge too far for the State. Only Lake makes this possible that he can win.

But I can tell you this: If he doesn't moderate his Positions when in the Senate next year he will have this Seat only for the "Rent of 6 years" and will be badly beaten in 2030.
Bold of you to assume Republicans will nominate a sane candidate in 2030.

 10 
 on: Today at 01:40:50 PM 
Started by heatcharger - Last post by The Economy is Getting Worse
Look like trump definitely playing on his quite natural Memeness and trying to make Joe biden look like a complete idiot which honestly is kind of working on me
And i remember Republicans said they were now focusing on Minnesota and Virginia since they felt that the swing states were either pretty safe for the Rs or naturally leaning towards them So i got a feeling that trump is going to try to flip those 2 states.

A lot of people are congratulating me on calling Virginia as a battleground. Tremendous golf courses. Tremendous wine. We love our contractors and consultants.

I am willing to bet real money with you Biden will win VA by at least 5% margin.


Biden opened a Hampton Roads office, a clear sign of weakness with the Blacks. If Virginia is in play, what does that say about his standing in NC and GA?

Campaigns often open up campaign offices in likely/safe states for a variety of reasons - not necessarily because the state in any immediate danger of flipping. In this case, it could be in part to do well enough in that region of VA to help flip VA-02. Also I'm assuming you mean Hampton and not Hampton Roads - Hampton Roads is just the body of water separating Hampton and Norfolk.

If Biden started spawning up like 20+ Virginia campaign offices across the state then it'd start to indicate they think they have real problems there.

I think it should be more concerning Trump has opened up very few campaign offices even in the main swing states.
Biden is a drag on downballot, so if helping downballot is his goal then he should stay out of the states.

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