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If he were to win in 2024 and term limits only applied to consecutive terms, any of the potential Democratic candidates like Whitmer, Moore, Warnock or Beshear would clobber him in the landslide we thought 2020 would be.

If Ds lose this Eday they deserve a 3 term Trump but 20 wasn't a landslide because Biden scandal came out on sex abuse and Hunter

He might get bigger swings with some states' blacks than others. The thing to look for is where the AAs in a state are more non-college and low income, I'm not sure yet if there's an urban/rural difference. The Democratic vote is so high with them everywhere but perhaps in some states there is more vote to lose than in others.

I suspect this would be states with larger proportions of rural Afro-Americans and states with a worse educational system than others and institutional racism in its history, which would typically be the south.

Georgia, Mississippi, South Carolina, North Carolina, Louisiana, Alabama, Florida, maybe Virginia (?)

Way back in 2016, when all polling, prognostics by pundits and overall political climate point out to a Clinton blowout, I already knew she was in trouble early in the night when the margins in rural Kentucky and Indiana where lopsided for Trump. That was all confirned when Ohio was called before states in the west coast closed at 11PM EST and the margin was almost 10% when just the day before a columbus dispatch (gold standard for Ohio) showed a 1% Clinton edge.

This^ if the numbers in Indiana look closer to 2016 than 2020, while not definitive, that probably indicates bad news for Biden.

I mean this isn't talking about one county, or 1-2% but if Biden is consistently doing 3-4% worse across the board, and, say IN-01 is going R or is TCTC that is a good sign for Trump.

I know the judge said he doesn't want deliberations being disrupted by the long weekend, so if the defense rests their case either today or tomorrow, will court be recessed for the rest of the week?

God joe you really are trying to lose to trump
but well at least he didn't damage relations with israel any further so that good but he just destroyed his progressive and probably african and youth vote even further so yeah.

If Labour were to beat the SNP by that big a margin in the popular vote I’m
Guessing they’d win the vast majority of seats in Scotland

Louisiana, Mississippi, Maryland and Georgia.

Out of swing states:
1. Georgia
2. North Carolina
3. Virginia
4. Florida
5. Michigan
Texas/Pennsylvania/Nevada

Shame on you, Genocide Joe.

This is why voters dislike Biden, he constantly flip-flops rather than committing to an issue, managing to piss off both sides.

Makes sense as Biden's base is high propensity voters.

Also confirms the latest trend of an increasing division between education. We're also seeing this pattern in other Western countries. Right-wing populists tend to do better with lesser educated voters, while liberal and left-wing parties are strong with high educated people. My dad even once said that to vote left of center out of conviction requires some intellect (although I would argue there are numerous conservative intellectuals, but they're not really welcome in today's Republican Party).

I'm not sure that what you support is actually left of center, both in USA and Germany.

Imagine thinking Biden isn't left of center.

I don't think he is.

Perhaps for the USA he is, but that tells you a lot about the USA.