"Folks, we're having another political realignment."
Elections with incumbents aren’t realignments. 2016, 2008, and 2000 were realignments. 2020, 2012, and 2004 were not. If you look at trend maps for the former 3, you see stronger regional and statewide shifts than in the latter 3.
So I take it that 1980 wasn't a realignment, right?
For the record I'm not even predicting Biden will lose here, just what pundits will likely be saying after the results of this election. People going into 2016 would have laughed at anybody who predicted that election would be a realignment, same thing with 2008. The term "realignment" is a joke and is as overused by pundits in much the same way the term "progressive" is. And in any case, you say you need "stronger regional and statewide shifts" but you don't even define what is the benchmark for that.
Thanks for taking the bait though.