2020 Poll Hype Thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 191492 times)
wbrocks67
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« Reply #850 on: July 21, 2020, 11:37:22 AM »
I would assume, based on timing, there should be a CNN poll coming out this week sometime
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #851 on: July 21, 2020, 12:33:18 PM »
Election Twitter's GFM fundraising effort for ME and GA is not going well anymore ...

After raising 15.000$ for a high-quality KS poll, only 929$ has come in for the ME poll so far - while 7.000$ are needed.
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SaneDemocrat
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« Reply #852 on: July 21, 2020, 12:48:04 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on July 21, 2020, 11:37:22 AM
I would assume, based on timing, there should be a CNN poll coming out this week sometime
Or maybe they are skipping this month,
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Storr
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« Reply #853 on: July 21, 2020, 12:51:05 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on July 21, 2020, 12:33:18 PM
Election Twitter's GFM fundraising effort for ME and GA is not going well anymore ...

After raising 15.000$ for a high-quality KS poll, only 929$ has come in for the ME poll so far - while 7.000$ are needed.
Election Twitter is left leaning, it makes sense they'd be more interested in polling a red state possible flip, than a blue state.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #854 on: July 21, 2020, 12:51:31 PM »
Quote from: SaneDemocrat on July 21, 2020, 12:48:04 PM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on July 21, 2020, 11:37:22 AM
I would assume, based on timing, there should be a CNN poll coming out this week sometime
Or maybe they are skipping this month,

IDK, it would make sense for them to do one now and then do another one a month from now when the conventions are done, you'd think?
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SaneDemocrat
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« Reply #855 on: July 21, 2020, 01:15:28 PM »
I could see like early to mid August
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #856 on: July 21, 2020, 04:08:40 PM »
Did Optimus Prime stop polling?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #857 on: July 21, 2020, 04:24:02 PM »

I haven't seen anything from them in a while.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #858 on: July 21, 2020, 05:19:23 PM »
« Edited: July 21, 2020, 10:57:47 PM by Monstro »
Quote from: Storr on July 21, 2020, 12:51:05 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on July 21, 2020, 12:33:18 PM
Election Twitter's GFM fundraising effort for ME and GA is not going well anymore ...

After raising 15.000$ for a high-quality KS poll, only 929$ has come in for the ME poll so far - while 7.000$ are needed.
Election Twitter is left leaning, it makes sense they'd be more interested in polling a red state possible flip, than a blue state.

I love this talk of Election Twitter as this monolithic Borglike-being, traversing the Twitter Quadrant and avoiding the likes of Rose Twitter and BLM Twitter
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #859 on: July 22, 2020, 10:06:09 AM »
Texas Quinnipiac poll at 2pm est.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #860 on: July 22, 2020, 10:48:50 AM »

Exciting!

Their last poll (June 3):

Trump 44/ Biden 43
Biden fav: 38/45
Trump fav: 42/50
Abbott approval: 56/32 (56/36 on virus)
Trump approval: 45/50 (47/51 on virus)
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #861 on: July 22, 2020, 11:18:16 AM »

45% Biden
45% Trump
  2% Jorgensen (on the ballot in TX)
  1% Hawkins (on the ballot in TX)
  7% Undecided

Not sure if they polled Jorgensen and Hawkins, but it would be time as they are both confirmed now.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #862 on: July 22, 2020, 02:08:42 PM »
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #863 on: July 22, 2020, 02:13:51 PM »
Tenderˋs educated predictions for Gravis:

WI: Biden+11
MI: Biden+12
PA: Biden+10
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #864 on: July 22, 2020, 02:20:14 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on July 22, 2020, 02:08:42 PM


Question is whether they're finishing them up to send to OANN or not...
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #865 on: July 22, 2020, 02:25:00 PM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on July 22, 2020, 02:20:14 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on July 22, 2020, 02:08:42 PM


Question is whether they're finishing them up to send to OANN or not...

No.

They previously posted that the 3 polls are paid by themselves, not by OANN.
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Rep Jessica
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« Reply #866 on: July 22, 2020, 02:25:07 PM »
predictions for Gravis:

WI: Biden+4
MI: Biden+5
PA: Biden+6
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #867 on: July 22, 2020, 06:01:14 PM »
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #868 on: July 22, 2020, 06:08:40 PM »
I'm picking MA Dem primary because it's the only race without a certain outcome
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Beet
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« Reply #869 on: July 22, 2020, 10:01:03 PM »
The only reason people can be into polls now is because there is nothing else to do. Between now and the election there is:

-- A likely drastic change in the Covid situation
-- A VP pick
-- Two conventions
-- Three Debates
-- However many October surprises

It's 2020. Where a week feels like a year, a month feels like a century. Have a drink.
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G_Master
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« Reply #870 on: July 23, 2020, 10:06:23 AM »
Has anybody noticed that Biden’s polls have been down lately? His polling average hasn’t been this low since early June. Yeah I know he’s still up but it has been dropping steadily since then.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #871 on: July 23, 2020, 10:07:33 AM »
« Edited: July 23, 2020, 12:03:21 PM by Gass3268 »
Quinnipiac releasing a Florida poll, obviously not their best state.
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SaneDemocrat
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« Reply #872 on: July 23, 2020, 10:12:02 AM »
Quote from: G_Master on July 23, 2020, 10:06:23 AM
Has anybody noticed that Biden’s polls have been down lately? His polling average hasn’t been this low since early June. Yeah I know he’s still up but it has been dropping steadily since then.

Yea. I think messing up the protests were worth about 1.5 points and that has faded. Trump messing up the virus is worth 4 points in the polls. Biden is likely up 3-4 in a normal environment.
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Senator Spark
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« Reply #873 on: July 23, 2020, 10:12:27 AM »
Quote from: Beet on July 22, 2020, 10:01:03 PM
The only reason people can be into polls now is because there is nothing else to do. Between now and the election there is:

-- A likely drastic change in the Covid situation
-- A VP pick
-- Two conventions
-- Three Debates
-- However many October surprises

It's 2020. Where a week feels like a year, a month feels like a century. Have a drink.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #874 on: July 23, 2020, 10:14:16 AM »
Quote from: G_Master on July 23, 2020, 10:06:23 AM
Has anybody noticed that Biden’s polls have been down lately? His polling average hasn’t been this low since early June. Yeah I know he’s still up but it has been dropping steadily since then.

RCP is steady at +8.7

538 has been screwed over by the Rasmussen poll and nothing but internet polls this week. Somehow, despite Q-pac (+15), NBC (+11), and Wapo (+15), they don't seem to have much weight, while the internet polls seem to be dragging it down.
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