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Just our luck. We get some fairly reassuring polls where Biden is competitive tobleading Trump in pollsters he is usually found positively with, and then we get state polls like these...

It's inflation but by pretending that everyone is gonna get a stimulus check and they aren't doesn't help. They keep saying everyone on SSA is gonna get a stimulus check every first of the month they pay us the same

If Trump only flips GA, AZ, and NV, he gets to 268.
So, what about NE 2? Could he win that also?

Would be absolutely hilarious though if Trump tries the shadow VP candidate thing, wins, the elected president resigns, then he gets ruled ineligible and a Dem Speaker of the House becomes president.

In that scenario the SCOTUS would have to do it and by then 4 yrs would have gone by because the appeals process is a lengthy one


No question about it Trump indictments hasn't done anything to him like we thought it just made him more popular

Is this a parody thread?

move Michigan to toss-up and Florida to solid R then we have the current state of the race based on the polls.

It's crazy that they think ME is safer for Biden than OR. Personally I wouldn't have VA or especially CO at Lean D either.

This is actually pretty sad. Here you have a man that is very obviously mentally ill who was possibly in a sexual relationship with Paul Pelosi driven to the edge. I don't know what caused him to tick, but now being sentenced to 30 years I think is way over the edge. There are murderers who've gotten less time than that. I think this is a man who clearly needs serious psychiatric care and would be far better served in a mental health institution to remain indefinitely until he is no longer deemed a threat to public safety. That could be in a few months, or it could never happen.

Hard to guess, I’d say Trump wins it between 4-6%. Lesser than Kemp’s margin for sure.

Sure, if there's a wave—which seems quite unlikely at this point.

lol this Raisi guy can get f**ked

You may think this is a good or "fun" thing, but you and the other posters here reveal your true colors. You may fancy yourselves virtuous defenders of good in the world, but instead you're amoral hacks devoid of principles except to blindly follow Western geopolitical interests. This thread is a disgusting display of cheering and wishing for the death of a world leader who dared to defy your will and oppose your interests. Never mind that it is a flagrant violation of the TOS; if I said similar things about Zelensky or Biden I would be banned quickly. Of course  the forum authorities agree with you and will turn a blind eye towards your vile posts.

[Trump 272, Biden 225, toss-up 41]

These were published a while back but I didn't see them until now. Nonetheless, they seem to be the first major forecaster to have either candidate above the 270 EV threshold this cycle.

What are your thoughts on their preliminary electoral map for the 2024 presidential race?

Total EVs by candidate: Trump 272, Biden 225, toss-up 41

Safe Republican (188): Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arkansas (6), Idaho (4), Indiana (11), Iowa (6), Kansas (6), Kentucky (, Louisiana (, Mississippi (6), Missouri (10), Montana (4), Nebraska at-large (2), Nebraska's first Congressional District (1), Nebraska's third Congressional District (1), North Dakota (3), Ohio (17), Oklahoma (7), South Carolina (9), South Dakota (3), Tennessee (11), Texas (40), Utah (6), West Virginia (4), Wyoming (3)

Lean Republican (84): Florida (30), Georgia (16), Maine's second Congressional District (1), Michigan (15), Nevada (6), North Carolina (16)

Toss-up (41): Arizona (11), Nebraska's second Congressional District (1), Pennsylvania (19), Wisconsin (10)

Lean Democratic (50): Colorado (10), Minnesota (10), New Hampshire (4), New Mexico (5), Oregon (, Virginia (13)

Safe Democratic (175): California (54), Connecticut (7), Delaware (3), DC (3), Hawaii (4), Illinois (19), Maine at-large (2), Maine's first Congressional District (1), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (11), New Jersey (14), New York (28), Rhode Island (4), Vermont (3), Washington (12)

Analysis article here:

move Michigan to toss-up and Florida to solid R then we have the current state of the race based on the polls.