Early Voting thread.

[soundchaser]

The point of the Clark firewall is its percentage, not necessarily its raw numbers. We can't judge that after 2 whole days, one of which had an enormous dust storm. ESPECIALLY if Dems are crushing it in the mail vote rather than in-person.

[axiomsofdominion]

According to national hero @gtryan, the GeorgiaVotes guy:

15 counties registered in-person early votes yesterday:
Baldwin, Bibb, Chatham, Cherokee, Clarke, Clayton, DeKalb, Dougherty, Floyd, Fulton, Gwinnett, Lamar, Lowndes, Muscogee and Rockdale

[wbrocks67]

Democratic turnout at 10.1% in AZ, GOP at 7.8%, in terms of mail ballots returned.

Still unclear if this is enthusiasm gap or just GOP waiting until election day.

https://twitter.com/sfalmy/status/1584568981771337733

[philly09]

https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1584553818246758400

[2016]

Florida Early In-Person Vote: Republicans lead 52-32 with 57,000+ Cast.

[axiomsofdominion]

Some speculation that Georgia will crack 1 million votes today.

[BenjiG98]

Early in-person voting begins today in Idaho.

[Minnesota Mike]

Florida Early In-Person Vote: Republicans lead 52-32 with 57,000+ Cast.

57,000 votes is not very many even if not all the counties are open for in person voting. In 2020 day one IPV was over 300K.

[soundchaser]

Louisiana early voting begins tomorrow. (We don't have anything exciting on the ballot, so don't look into the tea leaves too much.)

[wbrocks67]

The point of the Clark firewall is its percentage, not necessarily its raw numbers. We can't judge that after 2 whole days, one of which had an enormous dust storm. ESPECIALLY if Dems are crushing it in the mail vote rather than in-person.

*clark freiwall

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1584622990465019905

[axiomsofdominion]

Maybe things will not go amazing but I can't help but be hyped for this weekend MV drop. So many people here and on PredictIt and similar places were roasting the mail ballot results and it looks like they could have been counting their chickens a little too early.

[Brittain33]

The point of the Clark firewall is its percentage, not necessarily its raw numbers. We can't judge that after 2 whole days, one of which had an enormous dust storm. ESPECIALLY if Dems are crushing it in the mail vote rather than in-person.

*clark freiwall

Excuse me, it’s freiwal

[2016]

1st Day of Early In-Person in FL 3pm Update (37 of 67 Counties opened EIPV today) The other 30 will join on Saturday. Keep in mind that these are generally considered more blueish Counties

Republicans - 42,016 (52.72%)
Democrats - 25,126 (31.52%)
Independents - 12,562 (15.76%)

Democrats are down by 17K.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Has Florida reported any mail-in votes yet?

[MikeIrvine]

Has Florida reported any mail-in votes yet?

According to the Elections Project...about 1.16million. Split 42D, 38R, 10 I, Other, None

[bilaps]

Has Florida reported any mail-in votes yet?

FL has over 1,1m mail ballots already and Dems have 47k among them. It's going to be bloodbath in FL for them, their mail ballots lead at this point won't be enough to offset early in person lead, not to mention election day vote

In 2020 Dems had 250k between in person and mail lead and they lost easily

[MikeIrvine]

Has Florida reported any mail-in votes yet?

FL has over 1,1m mail ballots already and Dems have 47k among them. It's going to be bloodbath in FL for them, their mail ballots lead at this point won't be enough to offset early in person lead, not to mention election day vote

In 2020 Dems had 250k between in person and mail lead and they lost easily

Interesting note is the Dem buffer is smaller than 2020 but larger than 2018, which was a squeaker

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1584686969967108101

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

So....when are we getting the next update from Nevada?

[axiomsofdominion]

We'll get a new ballot dump tomorrow morning I think. The question, which Ralston has no clarified is whether more than 39000 were received but haven't been counted, it seems like no?

I'm not sure how much confusion there can be. Why couldn't Jon simply ask *how many ballots were sent in*? Either way doing a great job of shredding his credibility.

[wbrocks67]

So....when are we getting the next update from Nevada?

The update this morning came at like 4AM EST, so I guess around then? But it looks like there may be another early vote in person update later tonight

[wbrocks67]

Nevermind, it looks like Ralston was wrong and that ~40K figure was all of the mail ballots that had been counted thru the weekend?

https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/the-early-voting-blog-2022

[Brittain33]

I deleted a few posts. Please keep it civil.

[Brittain33]

I deleted a few posts. Please keep it civil.

Would have preferred if you had deleted the post above rather than just editing it, but you can't have everything in life I guess.

Do I get points for modding a personal attack post in real time, at least?