Brazilian presidential and general elections 2022 (1st round: October 2nd, 2nd round: October 30th)

[icc]

mina gervais is close
lulua won by 6 in the first round
if bolso wins mina gervais, does he win? or still come short

I seem to remember that Minas Gerais flipped who was leading a couple of times in the first round and there’s only 10% in so far, so probably best not to draw too many conclusions about this state yet.

[Mike88]

Eduardo Leite seems poised to be reelected as governor of Rio Grande do Sul.

In São Paulo, Haddad is still well behind with almost 10% counted. It seems that Tarcísio will get this.

In Bahia, it's close, with ACM Neto ahead by just 1%, or so, but it seems trending for the PT candidate.

[win win]

I don't think its over yet.
Bolso winning Sao paolo by 16 right now although it's still early. That's the largest province in brazil. Bolso won by 6 in the first round.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Bolsonaro: 14,309,202 (51.30%)
Lula: 13,581,265 (48.70%)
23.75% REPORTING

Stick a fork in sh**thead von F@ckface he's done.

[Ferguson97]

Good luck to Brazil, I sincerely hope that Lula wins and that Bolsonaro does not try to steal the election for himself.

[KaiserDave]

The Federal District is almost entirely in

First Round was
Bolsonaro: 51.65
Lula: 36.85

Second Round right now:
Bolsonaro: 58.9
Lula: 41.1

Bolsonaro got 70% here in the second round in 2018.

Good enough jump for Lula.

[Duke of York]

Bolsonaro: 14,309,202 (51.30%)
Lula: 13,581,265 (48.70%)
23.75% REPORTING

Stick a fork in sh**thead von F@ckface he's done.

with so much out in the North apparently hard to see how he pulls it out if its this close so early.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

At what percentage in should Lula take the lead?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

The Federal District is almost entirely in

First Round was
Bolsonaro: 51.65
Lula: 36.85

Second Round right now:
Bolsonaro: 58.9
Lula: 41.1

Good enough jump for Lula.

A win is a win.

[buritobr]

In the precint I work, the result of the 1st round was

Lula 109
Jair Bolsonaro 75
Simone Tebet 18
Ciro Gomes 9
Felipe d'Ávila 1

I will know the result of the precint at 5pm. I will get more calm only if Lula keeps the 34 vote margin

This precint in the runoff
Lula 126
Bolsonaro 89

The difference was 34 in the 1st round and 37 in the runoff

[Red Velvet]

After all the big money spent, the State machine being used to abusive excesses for his re-election, the fake news, the physical threats violence people were scared about, if Lula wins this to any margin he’s already a major hero to me.

It would be the first time an incumbent is defeated after seeking re-election, it would be huge if it really happens. Whatever problem is next doesn’t matter, I will cry my heart out on the streets if Bozo really loses this. I know it will be close though.

[win win]

its looking like a lula +2 or +3 margin at the end

[icc]

This guy is projecting based on municipality. The Lula final percentage prediction has been coming down pretty quickly.

https://twitter.com/patrickjfl/status/1586825288700370945?s=46&t=tUkJWTbs5jS...

[KaiserDave]

After all the big money spent, the State machine being used to abusive excesses for his re-election, the fake news, the physical threats violence people were scared about, if Lula wins this to any margin he’s already a major hero to me.

It would be the first time an incumbent is defeated after seeking re-election, it would be huge if it really happens. Whatever problem is next doesn’t matter, I will cry my heart out on the streets if Bozo really loses this. I know it will be close though.

Thats beautiful, hopefully Lula brings it home.

[Mike88]

With the current trend it seems it will end like this: 52.5% Lula; 47.5% Bolsonaro. Exactly what Red Velvet predicted just after the 1st round.

[Duke of York]

With the current trend it seems it will end like this: 52.5% Lula; 47.5% Bolsonaro

as long as Lula wins I don't care.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

It's kind of weird to think that Rede Globo was on PT's side this time, isn't it?

[President Johnson]

With the current trend it seems it will end like this: 52.5% Lula; 47.5% Bolsonaro

I wonder whether that's enough for him to concede?

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Bolsonaro: 17,577,548 (51.06%)
Lula: 16,846,028 (48.94%)
29.33% REPORTING

I don't think its over yet.
Bolso winning Sao paolo by 16 right now although it's still early. That's the largest province in brazil. Bolso won by 6 in the first round.

[Pivaru]

Bolsonaro took the lead in Minas according to CNN, if Bolsonaro were to win Minas and lose the presidential election, it would break Minas' streak of always voting for the winner.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Bolsonaro: 17,577,548 (51.06%)
Lula: 16,846,028 (48.94%)
29.33% REPORTING

I don't think its over yet.
Bolso winning Sao paolo by 16 right now although it's still early. That's the largest province in brazil. Bolso won by 6 in the first round.

Now, I don't think the election is sowed up just yet, but this meme is too hilarious for me to not give you a recommend. Keep up the good work!

[Red Velvet]

With the current trend it seems it will end like this: 52.5% Lula; 47.5% Bolsonaro. Exactly what Red Velvet predicted just after the 1st round.

I do not think the Lula growth trend will maintain all the way to the end though. The uncounted vote of Southeast shouldn’t be ignored. Northeast, even if there’s lot to go, is clearly more advanced than it was in 1st round count.

Not to mention Santa ing Catarina

[icc]

https://twitter.com/patrickjfl/status/1586826114625839108?s=46&t=tUkJWTbs5jS...

[Eraserhead]

With the current trend it seems it will end like this: 52.5% Lula; 47.5% Bolsonaro

I wonder whether that's enough for him to concede?

Doubtful.

[jeron]

I don't think its over yet.
Bolso winning Sao paolo by 16 right now although it's still early. That's the largest province in brazil. Bolso won by 6 in the first round.

Bolsonaro won Sao Paulo by 36% in 2018. So 16% would not be enough