USA 2020 Census Results Thread (Release: Today, 26 April)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 02, 2024, 05:28:58 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  General Politics
  Political Geography & Demographics (Moderators: muon2, 100% pro-life no matter what)
  USA 2020 Census Results Thread (Release: Today, 26 April)		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 [6] 7 8 9 10 11 ... 27
Author Topic: USA 2020 Census Results Thread (Release: Today, 26 April)  (Read 52679 times)
ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,953
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #125 on: April 26, 2021, 02:31:03 PM »
CA-53 is #441
Logged
Roronoa D. Law
Patrick97
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,500
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #126 on: April 26, 2021, 02:31:22 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on April 26, 2021, 02:26:19 PM
Pretty clear that the anti-immigrant rhetoric hurt FL and TX.

There was a clear intimidation campaign by the Trump administration to undercount the Hispanic community and it back fired. Had they saw the results out of Florida and TX house they would have reconsidered.
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,048


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #127 on: April 26, 2021, 02:31:39 PM »
Quote from: Brittain33 on April 26, 2021, 09:25:38 AM
Quote from: Roll Roons on April 26, 2021, 09:00:27 AM
So I guess the biggest question is Alabama's 7th vs New York's 26th. Any other possible surprises to look out for?

Given COVID and Trump's management, we should all prepare for the possibility of significant surprises.

I will now accept my accolades
Logged
Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,275


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #128 on: April 26, 2021, 02:31:46 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on April 26, 2021, 02:21:54 PM
This is close to the best case scenario for Dems from this apportionment.  Total control over 26 seats in NY, additional CD in MN forces MN-01 to get more urban, no extra GOP leaning seat in AZ, Texas is an unambiguous plus because they have to concede an Austin seat now anyway and the RGV redraw is harder with bigger seats, even the safe seat in RI stays.  Wow.

I don’t see why MN-1 would have to become more urban... the most logical thing to do is simply to add Wabasha and Goodhue
Logged
Oryxslayer
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,027


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #129 on: April 26, 2021, 02:32:09 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on April 26, 2021, 02:26:19 PM
Pretty clear that the anti-immigrant rhetoric hurt FL and TX.

And CA which was on the bubble, and AZ which was forgone. This certainly looks like Latin American immigrants got undercounted, but not to the extreme desired by the GOP which would have made CA a big loser.
Logged
Skill and Chance
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,812
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #130 on: April 26, 2021, 02:32:13 PM »
Quote from: Stuart98 on April 26, 2021, 02:28:23 PM
New York was 89 people away from not losing any seats?

What.

Looks like active state investment in the count really mattered in the pandemic environment.  
Logged
Canis
canis
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,524


Political Matrix
E: -5.03, S: -6.26

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #131 on: April 26, 2021, 02:35:38 PM »
Quote from: Stuart98 on April 26, 2021, 02:28:23 PM
New York was 89 people away from not losing any seats?

What.
And if they did count 89 more people MN would have lost a district instead
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #132 on: April 26, 2021, 02:36:27 PM »
THE TABLES !!!

https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/decennial/2020/data/apportionment/population-change-data-table.pdf

NY over 20 million !!

PA over 13 million !
Logged
LabourJersey
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,239
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #133 on: April 26, 2021, 02:36:51 PM »
Quote from: Stuart98 on April 26, 2021, 02:28:23 PM
New York was 89 people away from not losing any seats?

What.

I guess when those people were declaring "I'm leaving New York!" they actually meant leaving Manhattan for Westchester or LI.
Logged
Crucial Waukesha
nloeb
Rookie
**
Posts: 40


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #134 on: April 26, 2021, 02:37:24 PM »
Illinois, Mississippi and West Virginia were the 3 states to lose population.

Minnesota had 7.6 percent population growth.
Logged
xavier110
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,596
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #135 on: April 26, 2021, 02:38:25 PM »
Can someone more familiar with redistricting explain what this means for AZ lines? I’m assuming the 9CDs can’t change that much, right?
Logged
JoeInator
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 388
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #136 on: April 26, 2021, 02:39:24 PM »
So RI keeps its 2nd seat after all. I'm not complaining.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,275
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #137 on: April 26, 2021, 02:40:19 PM »
So excited about my new neoliberal, elitist Broken heart Congressional district

May it bless us with beautiful memes
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #138 on: April 26, 2021, 02:40:26 PM »
NJ growing 6% is also ... unexpected.

9.3 million vs. 8.9 million expected.
Logged
ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,953
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #139 on: April 26, 2021, 02:42:30 PM »
MI-14 is #444

We are keeping 13 in 2030 Cheesy
Logged
Crucial Waukesha
nloeb
Rookie
**
Posts: 40


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #140 on: April 26, 2021, 02:42:52 PM »
Rhode Island has more population than Montana
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,573
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #141 on: April 26, 2021, 02:44:36 PM »
You can probably expect New York to sue the Census Bureau given how close it is.
Logged
Roll Roons
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,102
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #142 on: April 26, 2021, 02:45:10 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on April 26, 2021, 02:40:26 PM
NJ growing 6% is also ... unexpected.

9.3 million vs. 8.9 million expected.

Ocean County baby!
Logged
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,846
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #143 on: April 26, 2021, 02:45:24 PM »
Quote from: Abdullah on April 26, 2021, 02:41:04 PM
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA UNDERPERFORMANCE: 689,545 (projected to be 711,681)

Definitely in large part from all the staffers and out-of-towners who left because of COVID. DC was a ghost town in late March/early April, even more than other major cities.
Logged
ajc0918
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,931
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #144 on: April 26, 2021, 02:46:02 PM »
Can someone post the projection vs actual sheet?
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,573
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #145 on: April 26, 2021, 02:46:26 PM »
Ohio was closer to keeping their seat than Arizona was to gaining theirs.
Logged
GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #146 on: April 26, 2021, 02:46:57 PM »
Lol @ NY being 89 people away from breaking even, I was starting to think it would probably lose 2. Anyways, by this count, Biden would have won with 303 EVs to Trump's 235. I was honestly hoping for 302 to 236, so I'm quite pleased.
Logged
ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,953
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #147 on: April 26, 2021, 02:47:18 PM »
Ok, what the hell happened with Arizona? Waiting for someone to ask but it's not like they're answering anyway
Logged
Roll Roons
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,102
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #148 on: April 26, 2021, 02:47:48 PM »
Also it's also a real shame about IL. Chicago really is a wonderful city with so much to offer, but the state is just so badly governed.
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,048


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #149 on: April 26, 2021, 02:48:22 PM »
5 unexpected milestones:

NY passes 20 million
PA passes 13 million
Michigan passes 10 million
New Jersey passes 9 million
Massachusetts passes 7 million
Logged
Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 [6] 7 8 9 10 11 ... 27  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.044 seconds with 11 queries.