USA 2020 Census Results Thread (Release: Today, 26 April)

[Gass3268]

For the first time ever, military members (stationed abroad) were counted in their current/last base of deployment on the mainland - not where they privately live:

https://www.npr.org/2021/04/22/989938913/potential-changes-from-census-changing-how-it-counted-deployed-u-s-troops-in-202

This will boost states with a lot/big military bases.

Could this keep California at 53 or are they so far from the line it doesn't matter?

[Gass3268]

Also, I think there's an underrated possibility that the oil crash plus lack of state interest/investment in supporting the count keeps Texas at +2 instead of +3.

Can California avoid loosing a seat ?. The state has been doing suprisingly well in some respects with tax revenue.

Highly unlikely.  CA-53 is almost as far down the order of precedence as VA-12.  There would have to be 4 or 5 different surprises in other states for that to happen.  

TX-39, AL-07, NY-26, and MN-08 are all sitting right on the bubble.  

Minnesota keeping 08 would be crazy given how it was almost seen as an automatic at the start of the decade. But they've had strong growth late and Minnesota has the best civic engagement in the country.

[Gass3268]

RHODE ISLAND AND MINNESOTA FTW!!!

[Gass3268]

Pretty clear that the anti-immigrant rhetoric hurt FL and TX.

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/baseballot/status/1386764148420321286?s=20

[Gass3268]

You can probably expect New York to sue the Census Bureau given how close it is.

[Gass3268]

Ohio was closer to keeping their seat than Arizona was to gaining theirs.

https://twitter.com/greggiroux/status/1386767282467131392?s=20

[Gass3268]

Also it's also a real shame about IL. Chicago really is a wonderful city with so much to offer, but the state is just so badly governed.

My wife and I limited the bleeding!

[Gass3268]

Minnesota will probably pass Wisconsin by 2030. Wisconsin seams like a lock to lose a seat then too.

[Gass3268]

Anyone have the first 2030 estimates? lol

[Gass3268]

How close were we to ID-3?

ID-03 was #443.

[Gass3268]

Democrats are already trying to get LA (?), MN and PA redistricting thrown to state courts over federal courts.

https://twitter.com/DemRedistrict/status/1386845658280349699?s=20

[Gass3268]

Democrats are already trying to get LA (?), MN and PA redistricting thrown to state courts over federal courts.

https://twitter.com/DemRedistrict/status/1386845658280349699?s=20

LA has explicitly partisan state court elections and only 1 Dem is on the supreme court right now.  Not sure what they are thinking there?

Maybe they think it would be better than the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals? I do like aggression however, especially in MN and PA.   

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/benpershing/status/1425878056053448708?s=20

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1425878430399225863?s=20

[Gass3268]

Anyone know how to convert a .pl file into a .XLSX or .CSV file?

[Gass3268]

Huh, Illinois actually gained population