AZ-SEN 2022 Megathread: Mastering the Art of the Thiel

[Grassroots]

https://mobile.twitter.com/natalie_allison/status/1516175457942749199

Masters endorsement coming soon.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

https://mobile.twitter.com/natalie_allison/status/1516175457942749199

Masters endorsement coming soon.

Yeah. I know people are saying "Masters is polling badly", but so was Vance. Both Vance and Masters have had internal polls showing them tied for 1st and Trump has clearly indicated he likes both of them. Masters also has C4G and Thiel on his side (and has been by far the best fundraiser out of the GOP field there) and has not spent much so far so when it comes closer to the election it would be hard to see him lose.
Trump will endorse Masters soon.

[Neo-Malthusian Misanthrope]

Saw this today: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/04/23/mark-brnovich-election-senate/

If it's is anything to go by, I suppose Brno is trying to square the circle and will likely come up short. Also who the hell is Jim Lamon? He's polling well.

[Utah Neolib]

Saw this today: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/04/23/mark-brnovich-election-senate/

If it's is anything to go by, I suppose Brno is trying to square the circle and will likely come up short. Also who the hell is Jim Lamon? He's polling well.

Jim Lamon is CEO of a large solar panel company in Arizona. I believe he was one of those “alternate electors” for Arizona in 2020, and seems to have a more solid base than Masters. I generally think Masters or Brnovich would be the better candidate in this race, but y’ never know.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Saw this today: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/04/23/mark-brnovich-election-senate/

If it's is anything to go by, I suppose Brno is trying to square the circle and will likely come up short. Also who the hell is Jim Lamon? He's polling well.

Jim Lamon is CEO of a large solar panel company in Arizona. I believe he was one of those “alternate electors” for Arizona in 2020, and seems to have a more solid base than Masters. I generally think Masters or Brnovich would be the better candidate in this race, but y’ never know.

I don't think Lamon has much of a solid base. The reason he's been gaining in polls is because he's spending tens of millions flooding Arizona airwaves with his ads. Like Gibbons in Ohio, that sort of support is not "hard" support.

[Ferguson97]

Trump would be a fool to endorse Masters, he's probably the weakest candidate to run against Kelly.

[Grassroots]

Trump would be a fool to endorse Masters, he's probably the weakest candidate to run against Kelly.

That would go to Lamon.

[Huey Long is a Republican]

Trump would be a fool to endorse Masters, he's probably the weakest candidate to run against Kelly.

That would go to Lamon.

Lamon honestly should've waited for 2024. Look at the race now, yeah its pretty clear that Brnovich was gonna collapse the longer the primary went on. Instead of fighting an expensive primary battle, letting Masters take this one and moving to run either for Senate or for a House seat if Biggs or Gosar ran. That would've been a far less expensive primary battle, Ducey would be disgraced and Brnovich would be a loser who dropped the ball. Sadly though, he foolishly put all his eggs in one basket and will wind up with nothing to show for it.

[xavier110]

Trump would be a fool to endorse Masters, he's probably the weakest candidate to run against Kelly.

That would go to Lamon.

Eh, I kinda think Lamon is as “generic R” as possible. He has less baggage than Masters, IMO, and hasn’t done everything to please no one like Brno.

[Utah Neolib]

Trump would be a fool to endorse Masters, he's probably the weakest candidate to run against Kelly.

That would go to Lamon.

Eh, I kinda think Lamon is as “generic R” as possible. He has less baggage than Masters, IMO, and hasn’t done everything to please no one like Brno.

I think Masters is a smarter campaigner and has a higher chance of winning than Lamon. Lamon seems like he could falter if Kelly runs a good campaign.

[Grassroots]

Trump would be a fool to endorse Masters, he's probably the weakest candidate to run against Kelly.

That would go to Lamon.

Eh, I kinda think Lamon is as “generic R” as possible. He has less baggage than Masters, IMO, and hasn’t done everything to please no one like Brno.

Masters has no baggage.

[Grassroots]

Hawley endorses Masters:

https://www.politico.com/news/2022/04/25/hawley-endorses-masters-arizona-senate-00027415

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Who cares about Josh Hawle, the reason why Kelly stands a chance is Lake, Ducey beat Garcia by a Landslide in 2018 and Rs still lost and Lake is UNDERPOLLING Katie Hobbs in the Gov race that's why the AZ GOzp isn't that good without Ducey y

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Hawley endorses Masters:

https://www.politico.com/news/2022/04/25/hawley-endorses-masters-arizona-senate-00027415

No surprises there. Masters and Vance would be Hawley's biggest allies in the Senate if elected.

[Ferguson97]

Trump would be a fool to endorse Masters, he's probably the weakest candidate to run against Kelly.

That would go to Lamon.

Eh, I kinda think Lamon is as “generic R” as possible. He has less baggage than Masters, IMO, and hasn’t done everything to please no one like Brno.

Masters has no baggage.

Masters is a Thiel-backed conspiracy theorist.

[SnowLabrador]

Trump would be a fool to endorse Masters, he's probably the weakest candidate to run against Kelly.

That would go to Lamon.

Eh, I kinda think Lamon is as “generic R” as possible. He has less baggage than Masters, IMO, and hasn’t done everything to please no one like Brno.

Masters has no baggage.

Masters is a Thiel-backed conspiracy theorist.

Aren't most Republicans Thiel-backed conspiracy theorists?

[MATTROSE94]

Trump would be a fool to endorse Masters, he's probably the weakest candidate to run against Kelly.

That would go to Lamon.

Eh, I kinda think Lamon is as “generic R” as possible. He has less baggage than Masters, IMO, and hasn’t done everything to please no one like Brno.

I think Masters is a smarter campaigner and has a higher chance of winning than Lamon. Lamon seems like he could falter if Kelly runs a good campaign.

I agree. Even though Blake Masters is an insurrectionist, he is running a very strong campaign and is positioning himself as a more moderate Republican more aligned with Theodore Roosevelt, Dwight Eisenhower, Richard Nixon, and Gerald Ford when compared to Mark Brnovich, who is a throwback to the old Reagan-era Republican establishment.

[Respect and Compassion]

Trump would be a fool to endorse Masters, he's probably the weakest candidate to run against Kelly.

That would go to Lamon.

Eh, I kinda think Lamon is as “generic R” as possible. He has less baggage than Masters, IMO, and hasn’t done everything to please no one like Brno.

Masters has no baggage.

Masters is a Thiel-backed conspiracy theorist.

The issue is that a large enough chunk of the nonpartisan electorate in Arizona might just see him as a "good enough check on Biden" rather than a Thiel-backed conspiracy theorist. A lot of voters are willing to vote for a Big Lie supporter as long as such candidates assuage their concerns enough on the issues they care about. Unfortunately, many Democrats will have to witness the truth of this come November.

Blake Masters seems like someone who can slick talk nonpartisan voters on multiple issues other than the 2020 election. There is no indication he's going to spend the general election cycle entirely focusing on it. Sadly at this point I may rate the Masters vs Kelly race as 'Lean Masters.' I am also expecting Masters to win the primary, so I won't even bother speculating on Brnovich's chances or Lamon's chances.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

With another Thiel-backed populist who was in third prior to a Trump endorsement winning his race, I think it's a given Trump will endorse Masters now.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

With another Thiel-backed populist who was in third prior to a Trump endorsement winning his race, I think it's a given Trump will endorse Masters now.

I think Trump probably waits to see how Pennsylvania, Georgia, and North Carolina play out before endorsing here, but yeah today was a big win for his endorsement game.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

With another Thiel-backed populist who was in third prior to a Trump endorsement winning his race, I think it's a given Trump will endorse Masters now.

I think Trump probably waits to see how Pennsylvania, Georgia, and North Carolina play out before endorsing here, but yeah today was a big win for his endorsement game.

Walker and Budd are locks. Perdue is almost certainly not even making the runoff. Pennsylvania is a tossup.

[Huey Long is a Republican]

With another Thiel-backed populist who was in third prior to a Trump endorsement winning his race, I think it's a given Trump will endorse Masters now.

I think Trump probably waits to see how Pennsylvania, Georgia, and North Carolina play out before endorsing here, but yeah today was a big win for his endorsement game.

Walker and Budd are locks. Perdue is almost certainly not even making the runoff. Pennsylvania is a tossup.

Yeah, the only race that he should focus on now is Pennsylvania. Do a rally or two for & with Oz leading up to the Primary. McCrory committed political suicide with his ad against Budd and Walker is a juggernaut in the primary. If Oz wins, then he endorses Masters in the weeks leading up to August 2nd, likely Mid-Late July.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

With another Thiel-backed populist who was in third prior to a Trump endorsement winning his race, I think it's a given Trump will endorse Masters now.

I think Trump probably waits to see how Pennsylvania, Georgia, and North Carolina play out before endorsing here, but yeah today was a big win for his endorsement game.

Walker and Budd are locks. Perdue is almost certainly not even making the runoff. Pennsylvania is a tossup.

Yeah, the only race that he should focus on now is Pennsylvania. Do a rally or two for & with Oz leading up to the Primary. McCrory committed political suicide with his ad against Budd and Walker is a juggernaut in the primary. If Oz wins, then he endorses Masters in the weeks leading up to August 2nd, likely Mid-Late July.

According to an article I read (and usually Trumpworld sources are pretty reliable), Trump was waiting to see how Ohio went down before committing to going all-in on campaigning for his Senate picks. Now that he won, Trump feels more confident in placing his reputation on the line to campaign more for them.

[Huey Long is a Republican]

With another Thiel-backed populist who was in third prior to a Trump endorsement winning his race, I think it's a given Trump will endorse Masters now.

I think Trump probably waits to see how Pennsylvania, Georgia, and North Carolina play out before endorsing here, but yeah today was a big win for his endorsement game.

Walker and Budd are locks. Perdue is almost certainly not even making the runoff. Pennsylvania is a tossup.

Yeah, the only race that he should focus on now is Pennsylvania. Do a rally or two for & with Oz leading up to the Primary. McCrory committed political suicide with his ad against Budd and Walker is a juggernaut in the primary. If Oz wins, then he endorses Masters in the weeks leading up to August 2nd, likely Mid-Late July.

According to an article I read (and usually Trumpworld sources are pretty reliable), Trump was waiting to see how Ohio went down before committing to going all-in on campaigning for his Senate picks. Now that he won, Trump feels more confident in placing his reputation on the line to campaign more for them.

I still do think he waits to see if Oz wins before moving in on Oklahoma, Missouri, and Arizona. Oz is his biggest test

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

With another Thiel-backed populist who was in third prior to a Trump endorsement winning his race, I think it's a given Trump will endorse Masters now.

I think Trump probably waits to see how Pennsylvania, Georgia, and North Carolina play out before endorsing here, but yeah today was a big win for his endorsement game.

Walker and Budd are locks. Perdue is almost certainly not even making the runoff. Pennsylvania is a tossup.

Yeah, the only race that he should focus on now is Pennsylvania. Do a rally or two for & with Oz leading up to the Primary. McCrory committed political suicide with his ad against Budd and Walker is a juggernaut in the primary. If Oz wins, then he endorses Masters in the weeks leading up to August 2nd, likely Mid-Late July.

According to an article I read (and usually Trumpworld sources are pretty reliable), Trump was waiting to see how Ohio went down before committing to going all-in on campaigning for his Senate picks. Now that he won, Trump feels more confident in placing his reputation on the line to campaign more for them.

I still do think he waits to see if Oz wins before moving in on Oklahoma, Missouri, and Arizona. Oz is his biggest test

I hope he endorses in Oklahoma soon, but I hope he doesn't just endorse frontrunner Mullin just because he voted to overturn, he's a RINO on most issues and someone like Gray, Dahm or even Shannon would be better (basically any other candidate apart from Holland).