AZ-SEN 2022 Megathread: Mastering the Art of the Thiel

[SnowLabrador]

Decided I'd start this one. It's never too early, is it?

[Astatine]

Who could convince McSally to run again?

[SnowLabrador]

Who could convince McSally to run again?

I hope that happens; unless she does, Kelly's probably the underdog.

[GALeftist]

Unbeatable Titan Doug Ducey and his lower approval rating than Trump in a D trending state against a fairly popular incumbent will obviously make this race Safe R.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Oddly enough McSally did slightly better this time than she did in 2018

[MT Treasurer]

Unbeatable Titan Doug Ducey and his lower approval rating than Trump in a D trending state against a fairly popular incumbent will obviously make this race Safe R.

Literally no one here is saying this, but whatever.

Anyway, Toss-up. His margin this year was very underwhelming.

[Catalyst138]

Oddly enough McSally did slightly better this time than she did in 2018

Because the national environment was more Republican than last time?

[GALeftist]

Unbeatable Titan Doug Ducey and his lower approval rating than Trump in a D trending state against a fairly popular incumbent will obviously make this race Safe R.

Literally no one here is saying this, but whatever.

Anyway, Toss-up. His margin this year was very underwhelming.

Well, perhaps I was unlucky to have come across this talking point, then. I will be happier than anyone else to see it die.

[It’s so Joever]

Oddly enough McSally did slightly better this time than she did in 2018

Yeah Trump voters turned out this year.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

It will be Kimberly Yee if republicans are smart. It will make the suburban wine moms come home, right lfromnj?

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Kim Yee for sure

[Frenchrepublican]

Unbeatable Titan Doug Ducey and his lower approval rating than Trump in a D trending state against a fairly popular incumbent will obviously make this race Safe R.

Well if the polls measuring his approval rate are as much reliable than those which forecasted a Kelly double digit win, Ducey would be in a good shape

[2016]

Unbeatable Titan Doug Ducey and his lower approval rating than Trump in a D trending state against a fairly popular incumbent will obviously make this race Safe R.

Well if the polls measuring his approval rate are as much reliable than those which forecasted a Kelly double digit win, Ducey would be in a good shape

If Reports by Politico are right Ducey is running for RGA Chair in the next Cycle and therefore has taken himself already out running for Senate in 2022.

Gotta be Kimberly Yee whom Ducey should have appointed in the first place IMO!

[Frenchrepublican]

Unbeatable Titan Doug Ducey and his lower approval rating than Trump in a D trending state against a fairly popular incumbent will obviously make this race Safe R.

Well if the polls measuring his approval rate are as much reliable than those which forecasted a Kelly double digit win, Ducey would be in a good shape

If Reports by Politico are right Ducey is running for RGA Chair in the next Cycle and therefore has taken himself already out running for Senate in 2022.

Gotta be Kimberly Yee whom Ducey should have appointed in the first place IMO!

Do you have a link to this report ?

[2016]

Unbeatable Titan Doug Ducey and his lower approval rating than Trump in a D trending state against a fairly popular incumbent will obviously make this race Safe R.

Well if the polls measuring his approval rate are as much reliable than those which forecasted a Kelly double digit win, Ducey would be in a good shape

If Reports by Politico are right Ducey is running for RGA Chair in the next Cycle and therefore has taken himself already out running for Senate in 2022.

Gotta be Kimberly Yee whom Ducey should have appointed in the first place IMO!

Do you have a link to this report ?

Of Course I have

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/11/09/republicans-trump-power-vacuum-435229

From that Article

Two potential 2024 contenders, meanwhile, are poised to take on leadership roles that will give them entrée to powerful donors. Rick Scott has launched a run for the chairmanship of the National Republican Senatorial Committee and Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey is expected to take the reins of the Republican Governors Association.

[Frenchrepublican]

Unbeatable Titan Doug Ducey and his lower approval rating than Trump in a D trending state against a fairly popular incumbent will obviously make this race Safe R.

Well if the polls measuring his approval rate are as much reliable than those which forecasted a Kelly double digit win, Ducey would be in a good shape

If Reports by Politico are right Ducey is running for RGA Chair in the next Cycle and therefore has taken himself already out running for Senate in 2022.

Gotta be Kimberly Yee whom Ducey should have appointed in the first place IMO!

Do you have a link to this report ?

Of Course I have

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/11/09/republicans-trump-power-vacuum-435229

From that Article

Two potential 2024 contenders, meanwhile, are poised to take on leadership roles that will give them entrée to powerful donors. Rick Scott has launched a run for the chairmanship of the National Republican Senatorial Committee and Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey is expected to take the reins of the Republican Governors Association.

Thank you

[tosk]

dear lord, let Kimberly Lee run

[2016]

dear lord, let Kimberly Lee run

Either she runs for Senate or she runs for Governor. The GOV Seat is open. If Michelle Steel and Young Kim win in CA that would probably push her a little bit more to run for Senate

[Meatball Ron]

dear lord, let Kimberly Lee run

Either she runs for Senate or she runs for Governor. The GOV Seat is open. If Michelle Steel and Young Kim win in CA that would probably push her a little bit more to run for Senate

What would an Arizona politician's decision have to do with a couple House races in California?

[2016]

dear lord, let Kimberly Lee run

Either she runs for Senate or she runs for Governor. The GOV Seat is open. If Michelle Steel and Young Kim win in CA that would probably push her a little bit more to run for Senate

What would an Arizona politician's decision have to do with a couple House races in California?

Kim & Steel are Korean Americans, Yee is Chinese American. If they win chances that she runs for Senate or Governor are rising, if they lose she probably stays put in the Treasurers Office.

[Meatball Ron]

dear lord, let Kimberly Lee run

Either she runs for Senate or she runs for Governor. The GOV Seat is open. If Michelle Steel and Young Kim win in CA that would probably push her a little bit more to run for Senate

What would an Arizona politician's decision have to do with a couple House races in California?

Kim & Steel are Korean Americans, Yee is Chinese American. If they win chances that she runs for Senate or Governor are rising, if they lose she probably stays put in the Treasurers Office.

Yeah I just don't see how /why she is looking at their outcomes to make that decision. Different states, different offices, different ethnicities...odd take

[VAR]

https://twitter.com/dougducey/status/1352306257672040452

[KaiserDave]

So, is Ducey running or not?
In any case I'm not worried about him anymore, he'd have a brutal primary. Thank you Kelli!

[Pericles]

Unbeatable Titan Doug Ducey and his lower approval rating than Trump in a D trending state against a fairly popular incumbent will obviously make this race Safe R.

Well if the polls measuring his approval rate are as much reliable than those which forecasted a Kelly double digit win, Ducey would be in a good shape

Kelly was only up by 5-6 points.

[xavier110]

It goes without saying, but the sweet spot for this race is a generic center right conservative. I don’t really know if said person exists or can survive a primary here, however.

I’ve become more of a Ducey doubter with time - both because he has been incompetent and if he does survive a primary (a tall order, IMO) he will come out significantly bloodied. So I dunno if he really ends up being much better than a Gosar, tbh.

Still the race in my mind is a tossup. It’s hard to suss out if the Ds actually have a slight advantage during midterms now, with the educated suburban shift.