Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Hollywood]

Good news in FL Phillip Academy has the FL races knotted up told ya stop looking at Approval

https://andoverpoll.com/

Demings is winning and DeSantis is up only 1

DeSantis underpolled Gillum he isn't winning by 9/12 ha, ha, ha,😃Gov Crist, Sen Demings

Anyone that would post this poll as real information is a complete joke.  Phillip Academy is the first "high-school-run public opinion poll" that operates from Anodver MA. LMAO.
https://andoverpoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Florida-May-Poll-Report.pdf

There was nothing remotely credible in these poll numbers.  The kids even F-ed up Andover's vague methodology, and incorrectly mixed the random survey demographics with weighted data.  It's pretty obvious that you have no idea what you're looking at.

DeSantis is going to win Florida by at least 8 points.  That's his floor right now. 

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Good news in FL Phillip Academy has the FL races knotted up told ya stop looking at Approval

https://andoverpoll.com/

Demings is winning and DeSantis is up only 1

DeSantis underpolled Gillum he isn't winning by 9/12 ha, ha, ha,😃Gov Crist, Sen Demings

Anyone that would post this poll as real information is a complete joke.  Phillip Academy is the first "high-school-run public opinion poll" that operates from Anodver MA. LMAO.
https://andoverpoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Florida-May-Poll-Report.pdf

There was nothing remotely credible in these poll numbers.  The kids even F-ed up Andover's vague methodology, and incorrectly mixed the random survey demographics with weighted data.  It's pretty obvious that you have no idea what you're looking at.

DeSantis is going to win Florida by at least 8 points.  That's his floor right now.  

Rubio is only up 1 but they have Sununu at 72% Lol stop cherry picking polls

Like I said DeSantis and Rubio are gonna win by R 3 FL is an R 3 state not 9/12

[Hollywood]

Good news in FL Phillip Academy has the FL races knotted up told ya stop looking at Approval

https://andoverpoll.com/

Demings is winning and DeSantis is up only 1

DeSantis underpolled Gillum he isn't winning by 9/12 ha, ha, ha,😃Gov Crist, Sen Demings

Anyone that would post this poll as real information is a complete joke.  Phillip Academy is the first "high-school-run public opinion poll" that operates from Anodver MA. LMAO.
https://andoverpoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Florida-May-Poll-Report.pdf

There was nothing remotely credible in these poll numbers.  The kids even F-ed up Andover's vague methodology, and incorrectly mixed the random survey demographics with weighted data.  It's pretty obvious that you have no idea what you're looking at.

DeSantis is going to win Florida by at least 8 points.  That's his floor right now.  

Rubio is only up 1 but they have Sununu at 72% Lol stop cherry picking polls

Like I said DeSantis and Rubio are gonna win by R 3 FL is an R 3 state not 9/12

You cherry-picked the most absurd poll ever cited on this forum.  It was conducted by children at a high school in MA, and the data was riddled with errors and omissions.  It's bad enough that you cherry-pick the partisan polls like Listener and Change But of course I'm just hating on it with cherry-picked data from the University of Florida, Mason-Dixon, and Suffolk.  DeSantis is going to win by at least 8 points. 

BTW... The thread you created pertaining to the Andover Poll was deleted in the Congressional Election Sub-forum.  The poll is that bad. 

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lol You Gov has D's 51/49 on the GCB now Emerson and Fox amhave D's plus 7 I am going by the GCB, not just the children's poll but it had Sununu at 72%

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Lol You Gov has D's 51/49 on the GCB now Emerson and Fox amhave D's plus 7 I am going by the GCB, not just the children's poll but it had Sununu at 72%

Haven’t seen any GCB polls with D+7…

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Beasley is now tied with Budd, in RED STATE NC WHICH IS ALWAYS A BATTLEFIELD,so much for Approval numbers, this Election has turned on Abortion, once Abortion became the issue the focus turned away from inflation and the war

Also what are the Rs running on to keep taxes on Corporate 20 percent that was only for the Pandemic we are out of the Pandemic we need to sure up social security that's going Bankrupt in 2035 and other Entitlements, it's not paying people to stay home because we're all gonna be on Social security one day and the Wealthy need to pay more in taxes to pay for this War

Just like Bush W Gave a 1.5 T tax cut during 911 that exacerbation of debt because of the War

WE ALSO SAW A PHILLIPS ACADEMY POLL THAT SHOWED DEMINGS UP BY 1 OVER RUBIO

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

All these polls that came out showing pretty good leads for D's they're not rust belt but the ME poll is disturbing because Rs were supposed to pickup ME 2 and NH Chris Pappas in their way to majority and it's not happening

So much for a red wave if they can't win ME like they did in 2010/14

As I said Biden is some sort of WC D that Rs can't beat despite the critique they didn't figure him out in 2008/12, as he was Veep not did they beat him 20

Rs have only beaten Hillary, Gore and Kerry they haven't beaten anyone else

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1525826993341833217?s=20&t=slfF1nJLJ7...

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Naturally low numbers for the crusty standard-bearer of the status quo.  No surprises here, anymore. 

31% and 35% favorability for our two pathetic political parties is exciting stuff!  Let's keep getting those numbers lower, America.    

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1525826993341833217?s=20&t=slfF1nJLJ7...

Big Serg forgotten that the GCB was tied 46


That's what he left out
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2022-election/support-abortion-rights-hits-new-high-midterm-outlook-stays-mostly-unc-rcna28869

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I know the reason why the Approvals are so far off from GCB 46/46 and state by state poll Kelly, CCM, Warnock and Hassan winning,s D's have a residual 65/60 M vote as I have always said built up, it's was like that 2012/2016)2018/2020 with 80/75M we out vote Rs by 5 M votes that's why in 2008/2012/2020 we won by 6, 4 and 5 pts over Rs in Prez Election, in 2008 it was 69/59 M

In 2016 it was close 65/62 M so Obama made 303 in 2012 with 65/60 M votes and 2020 that's where we left off at

[Minnesota Mike]

https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1525826993341833217?s=20&t=slfF1nJLJ7...

Those JA numbers are for adults, with RV it's a slightly better 42-54

[Matty]

Hot take:

Biden does worse with adults than RV because adults include Mexicans, etc that are sensitive to price increases while RV is more likely to be white libs who are super wealthy

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It really doesn't matter about the Approval ratings it's about the GCB that's why Ds are holding onto GA, AZ, NV and NH and doing well in state by state polls than the Approval numbers I keep telling Rs that's it's a 65(6oM vote Election and in 2010/2014 it was a 92M vote Election


Approvals are meaningless just like in 2024 Biden will still win the 303 map but I am optimistic we want OH, NC and the H and it's only June


Biden isn't gonna have 60% Approvals neither did Trump in a COVID Environment

The GCB is 44/42 D most of 2010 Rs had the lead due to 10% unemployment Rs were leading 47/43 on GCB, because Boehner and Canter and Ryan weren't Insurrectionists and if we do lose the H we can win it back in 24, with 80% Turnout

Yes the lastest NBC poll had D's tied 46/46 too on GCB

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The polls were wrong again they had Barnette and Keynetta surging and it's McCormick and Oz but the Rs say the low Biden Approvals they were so wrong in R Sen Primary, D's can still win in Nov

D's making R Nut maps are gonna be so wrong in Nov it's still a 303 map with D's favs for the S and wave insurance in red states for the H Majority

[philly09]

A lot of polls, most of the results are unchanged from last, save for a rebound in Rassmussen.

Morning Consult
May 16 1702 RV

43% Approve (+1)

55% Disapprove (=)


Rassmussen/Pulse Opinon Research
May 12-16 1500 LV

44% Approve (+4)

55% Disapprove (-3)


The Bullfinch Group
May 12-16 1200 A

44% Approve(=)

51% Disapprove(=)


Leger
May 13. 1000 A

43% Approve (=)

55% Disapprove (=)


Ipsos
May 16-17 1005 A

42% Approve (=)

50% Disapprove (=)

[MR DARK BRANDON]

A lot of polls, most of the results are unchanged from last, save for a rebound in Rassmussen.

Morning Consult
May 16 1702 RV

43% Approve (+1)

55% Disapprove (=)


Rassmussen/Pulse Opinon Research
May 12-16 1500 LV

44% Approve (+4)

55% Disapprove (-3)


The Bullfinch Group
May 12-16 1200 A

44% Approve(=)

51% Disapprove(=)


Leger
May 13. 1000 A

43% Approve (=)

55% Disapprove (=)


Ipsos
May 16-17 1005 A

42% Approve (=)

50% Disapprove (=)

I wonder what yougov will be saying?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The problem is with Gas prices with this War in Ukraine that's why Biden polls are flubs but we still have to vote and haven't seen any poll dump, WI, MI and PA they only poll AZ, Nv, GA, NH, FL, NC, ME, TX NC and FL, that's why I am still optimistic

We still need another Stimulus but Rs won't raise taxes because rents are out of control they're only giving out Gas cards to vehicle drivers we can use one more stimulus

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Hot take:

Biden does worse with adults than RV because adults include Mexicans, etc that are sensitive to price increases while RV is more likely to be white libs who are super wealthy

Biden's base is absolutely well-off white liberals.  Not a hot take in the least.   

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Hot take:

Biden does worse with adults than RV because adults include Mexicans, etc that are sensitive to price increases while RV is more likely to be white libs who are super wealthy

Biden's base is absolutely well-off white liberals.  Not a hot take in the least.    

Didn't PA just say that the polls are flawed and they won't give us state by state GE numbers but just Approvals and Users still go by these Approvaks AFTER all the polls got R PA Sen wrong

They got OH Sen too wrong alot of polls had Mandel surging

Now we supposed to believe them just because Rs like them they show Biden low get a grip the only polls that matters is EDAY, that's why Biden says he doesn't believe them
.I am leaving my map exactly the way it is because it's not inevitable after yesterday it's an R nut map


We have a war going on with gas prices and there is a Pandemic Trump netted seats in 2018/20 with the same 44% Approvals, and polls are flawed after PA R Sen Primary saying Barnette was gonna win

Stop taking polls so seriously

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, May 15-17, 1500 adults including 1342 RV

Adults:

Approve 41 (nc)
Disapprove 50 (-1)

Strongly approve 16 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 36 (-2)

RV:

Approve 43 (+1)
Disapprove 51 (nc)

Strongly approve 18 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 38 (-2)

GCB (RV only): D 42, R 40.  They have returned to the former methodology, after only posting the two-way share the last few weeks.  Last week it was D 51, R 49.
 

[philly09]

A lot of polls, most of the results are unchanged from last, save for a rebound in Rassmussen.

Morning Consult
May 16 1702 RV

43% Approve (+1)

55% Disapprove (=)


Rassmussen/Pulse Opinon Research
May 12-16 1500 LV

44% Approve (+4)

55% Disapprove (-3)


The Bullfinch Group
May 12-16 1200 A

44% Approve(=)

51% Disapprove(=)


Leger
May 13. 1000 A

43% Approve (=)

55% Disapprove (=)


Ipsos
May 16-17 1005 A

42% Approve (=)

50% Disapprove (=)

I wonder what yougov will be saying?

YouGov
May 15-17 1500 A

41% Approve (=)

50% Disapprove (-1)

Morning Consult
May 13-16 2,005 RV

44% Approve(+1)

54% Disapprove (-1)

[Matty]

Quinnipiac is horrific for biden today

[President Johnson]

Quinnipiac is horrific for biden today

The have long been on the junk poll train. While they had a Democratic bias until around 2020, it's now one of Biden's worst pollsters. I never forget their Biden 33% approval rating from a few months back while Republicans were just ahead in the generic congressional ballot by a single point.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We already know Biden Approvals got worse when the Ukranian war began but what happened to the Sanctions obviously it's not working, voters can't see sanctions they think Biden isn't doing enough

Secondly, when Rs get in control D's always do better because the voters are gonna see that when they get empowered they are gonna cut, last time they gave out stimulus during Trump when they get the Majority no stimulus checks, it's not gonna be a 241 H majority when Rs like in 2010 it's gonna be a 2017/2019 majority a 230 it's gonns be perfectly winnable in a Prez Election when Turnout is 80 percent, alot of D's are turned off from voting if we are to expect the worse