Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/RealignmentP/status/1486853055144505348?s=20&t=nt6G5MCC6...

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

All-time low from (B/C)-rated Pew Research Center. They, perhaps, are not very good pollster nowadays, but Pew is Pew.

https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2022/01/25/biden-starts-year-two-with-diminished-public-support-and-a-daunting-list-of-challenges/
JAN 10-17, 2022
5,128   A


Adults:
41 (-3 since SEP 13-19)
56 (+3)


Trends:


Issues:

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As I said before Biden not acting on Student Loans and no more Stimulus checks and DOJ slow on acting on Meadows and not trying to Prosecute Trump as well as the open Borders and fall of Voting Rights are making Biden polls consistently be underwater

However, we only need 278 EC votes and with KENTAJI BROWN tmwe are most likely gonna get a 223/215 R H, 53/47 D S with WI, PA, GA, AZ, and LA and a parity in GOV


Rs aren't running up the score on da with 3.0 Unemployment and KENTAJI BROWN, at least if we keep the Senate 53 vote will secure the Senate in 24 with MT, OH and WVA likely losses..GA and LA are going to Runoffs

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We're not losing PA, WI and MI with Whitmer leading and Hassan, but Trump kept the Senate being underwater he was at 39/47 in Jan 2018 and didn't make up that much ground by. Nov that yr

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), Jan. 26-27, 1002 adults

Approve 45 (+2)
Disapprove 50 (-2)

[Sir Mohamed]

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), Jan. 26-27, 1002 adults

Approve 45 (+2)
Disapprove 50 (-2)

Nice, but Ipsos was always one of his better pollsters, including during the 2020 campaign I believe.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's not what his polls are now, it's the End results and he is most likely to end up at 50/45 exactly where he was on Election night 2020


Especially, since KENTAJI BROWN has saved the Senate for Ds, if Breyer hadn't retired McConnell could of been Majority Leader and Kavanaugh saved the Senate for Rs in 2018 Trump was underwater too he was 39/47 in Jan 2018

[pbrower2a]

Low approval numbers may reflect more the nastiness  of things as they are than any love of the Hard Right. A +10 edge for Biden over Trump suggests that Biden would do about as well in Wisconsin as Obama did in 2008. Such indicates a general D landslide in the northeastern quadrant of the United States and much of the interior west. OK, Trump is toxic for his post-election antics. +8 against DeSantis? That suggests a near-landslide.

Democrats can hope that things sort themselves out by 2024 for the Presidential election. The midterm election is not sure to bring big losses to Democrats, but with the narrow margin that Democrats have in the House, it won't take many flips of House seats from D to R in 2022 to give the GOP a narrow majority there. The problem for Republicans for that is that they picked off the low-hanging fruit in 2020 and they can pick off little more with further gerrymandering.

Of course much can go wrong, especially in foreign policy. China wishes to engulf Taiwan, and Russia wishes to turn Ukraine into a puppet state. Soaring fuel prices could create economic hardship.

If the best happens -- that Omicron is the last stand of COVID-19, inflation halts, and unemployment remains low then things go well for Democrats,,, perhaps better than one usually expects in a midterm with a Democratic President. Much of the blame still falls upon Donald Trump, and any Republican who offers much the same will probably lose.   

[Associate Justice PiT]

https://twitter.com/RealignmentP/status/1486853055144505348?s=20&t=nt6G5MCC6...

     Tough numbers in a state Biden only lost by 1.34%. He seems to be getting drubbed badly in swing states, which is roughly what I expected. His numbers are likely being buoyed by monolithic support in Dem stronghold areas.

[President Johnson]

https://twitter.com/RealignmentP/status/1486853055144505348?s=20&t=nt6G5MCC6...

     Tough numbers in a state Biden only lost by 1.34%. He seems to be getting drubbed badly in swing states, which is roughly what I expected. His numbers are likely being buoyed by monolithic support in Dem stronghold areas.

I'm not sure whether I buy these statewide disapprovals. If I remember correctly, they showed Trump in equally territory in many swing states in 2017-19, and he still won them in 2020 or came within five percent or far less.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Of course these statewide Approvals are hogwash how can Warnock be down 49/48 and Biden has a 34/61 favorable rating

An internal poll showed Beasley down 42/40 and Biden has a 34 Approvals in NC no same with FL DeSantis isn't safe he along with Rubio are only up 45/41

The same in OH 44/40 Josh Mandel leads Ryan and 34/61 in OH

Those are wave insurance seats but still it's a 304/234 map D's aren't losing MI, PA and WI

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

https://twitter.com/RealignmentP/status/1486853055144505348?s=20&t=nt6G5MCC6...

     Tough numbers in a state Biden only lost by 1.34%. He seems to be getting drubbed badly in swing states, which is roughly what I expected. His numbers are likely being buoyed by monolithic support in Dem stronghold areas.

I'm not sure whether I buy these statewide disapprovals. If I remember correctly, they showed Trump in equally territory in many swing states in 2017-19, and he still won them in 2020 or came within five percent or far less.

Biden's approvals were ~+20 on election day 2020 and won the tipping point state by 0.9%. If he wants to win in 2024, logically his approval shouldn't be below it was on 2020 Nov 6.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://twitter.com/RealignmentP/status/1486853055144505348?s=20&t=nt6G5MCC6...

     Tough numbers in a state Biden only lost by 1.34%. He seems to be getting drubbed badly in swing states, which is roughly what I expected. His numbers are likely being buoyed by monolithic support in Dem stronghold areas.

I'm not sure whether I buy these statewide disapprovals. If I remember correctly, they showed Trump in equally territory in many swing states in 2017-19, and he still won them in 2020 or came within five percent or far less.

Biden's approvals were ~+20 on election day 2020 and won the tipping point state by 0.9%. If he wants to win in 2024, logically his approval shouldn't be below it was on 2020 Nov 6.

.
He's not below where he is he is 50/48 on ZOGBY on Job Approvals these polls are junk and it's 1000 days before the next Prez Election

Biden isn't even campaign for Prez or the Midterms yet so what does it matter now anyways

Here are the ZOGBY polls if users want to look at them

https://zogbyanalytics.com/news/1081-the-zogby-poll-president-biden-s-job-approval-and-performance-biden-s-job-approval-improves-job-performance-remains-underwater-biden-losing-ground-with-swing-voters


Also, there is turnout, D's can buck the trend of these Approvals on D turnout you do know that, Approvals aren't set in stone

50/48 and he won 50/45 that's why Whitmer is leading, not 39 percent, his Job performance is 43/50 not 39 percent

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's also important to note the last Midterm we exceeded RS 46/43M that is low but it was same day voting but it's on par with our over performance in every Prez Election where we get consistently 50/45 percent

Rs haven't exceeded D Turnout since 2010/14 when Obamacare was unpopular and we were in 11 percent Recession 2010 33 M tied and 2014 33/29 M that was 8 yrs ago

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/RealignmentP/status/1486853055144505348?s=20&t=nt6G5MCC6...

     Tough numbers in a state Biden only lost by 1.34%. He seems to be getting drubbed badly in swing states, which is roughly what I expected. His numbers are likely being buoyed by monolithic support in Dem stronghold areas.

I'm not sure whether I buy these statewide disapprovals. If I remember correctly, they showed Trump in equally territory in many swing states in 2017-19, and he still won them in 2020 or came within five percent or far less.

Biden's approvals were ~+20 on election day 2020 and won the tipping point state by 0.9%. If he wants to win in 2024, logically his approval shouldn't be below it was on 2020 Nov 6.

Nope.  Biden didn't have job approval numbers before the election because he wasn't in office, so your conclusion does not follow.  You're thinking of his favorability numbers, which are NOT the same thing.  They do correlate to some degree, but not perfectly.  It's quite possible for an officeholder to have higher or lower favorability than approvals depending on how much they are personally liked.

That said, Biden's current approval is indeed at a point where he would be likely to lose in 2024. He probably needs to get to an average of about 46-47% approval to have a break-even chance against a generic Republican.  Of course, it also depends on who his actual opponent is.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Rs only come to this thread when Biden polls are down they didn't once come to this thread when Biden was at 59 percent Approvals and part of the issue was the Debt Ceiling, Afghanistan and people without Stimulus checks are still economically distressed

The homeless crisis is about 1M Nationwide and it was 500 K before Pandemic, and 4 M are jobless and have lost unemployment and living with relatives, without extended unemployment and 50 Rs are United against giving out more stimulus checks Biden is close enough to 50 percent do that by Election night he will be at 50 percent and the VBM starts in September


45 percent is close to 50 you round up not down

[Asta]

Perhaps a contrarian take, but Dem getting blown out in midterm could boost Biden's re-election chances.

GOP will control the narrative that the pandemic is over. It would improve the perception of Biden's bipartisanship. And even Dems who have been dissatisfied with Biden's inability to get anything done will eventually blame it on GOP congress that looks to stops Biden's agenda.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Low approval numbers may reflect more the nastiness  of things as they are than any love of the Hard Right. A +10 edge for Biden over Trump suggests that Biden would do about as well in Wisconsin as Obama did in 2008. Such indicates a general D landslide in the northeastern quadrant of the United States and much of the interior west. OK, Trump is toxic for his post-election antics. +8 against DeSantis? That suggests a near-landslide.

Democrats can hope that things sort themselves out by 2024 for the Presidential election. The midterm election is not sure to bring big losses to Democrats, but with the narrow margin that Democrats have in the House, it won't take many flips of House seats from D to R in 2022 to give the GOP a narrow majority there. The problem for Republicans for that is that they picked off the low-hanging fruit in 2020 and they can pick off little more with further gerrymandering.

Of course much can go wrong, especially in foreign policy. China wishes to engulf Taiwan, and Russia wishes to turn Ukraine into a puppet state. Soaring fuel prices could create economic hardship.

If the best happens -- that Omicron is the last stand of COVID-19, inflation halts, and unemployment remains low then things go well for Democrats,,, perhaps better than one usually expects in a midterm with a Democratic President. Much of the blame still falls upon Donald Trump, and any Republican who offers much the same will probably lose.   

Where are the maps?! ! There has been plenty of state polling lately! We, the People, want your NUT MAPS!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Perhaps a contrarian take, but Dem getting blown out in midterm could boost Biden's re-election chances.

GOP will control the narrative that the pandemic is over. It would improve the perception of Biden's bipartisanship. And even Dems who have been dissatisfied with Biden's inability to get anything done will eventually blame it on GOP congress that looks to stops Biden's agenda.

Lol, D's getting blown in Midterms isn't a good thing they're not getting blown out and they favor the richest Americans, what did Boehner do when he became Speaker, he has to resign bexause he blocked everything

Biden is already leading Rs in every poll

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

You know just because we won the big three narrowly doesn't we will lose them in 3.0 unemployment WI, PA and MI RS make it close in these states for one reason they dominate the State Legislatures in those three states but for Pres amd Gov and Senate and House of Rep the D's dominate them

That why the H, S and Gov delegates on a Federal level represents t he 304/234 wall but we're not out of OH, NC, FL, TX and LA the RS are leading those states the same margin as Whitmer 45/41 and LA and GA are headed for Runoffs and we don't know the story on Abby Fink and Mo, Ernst was. Leading Greenfield 55)41 and it got close, it's. A Presidential map

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Texas
(B/C)-rated University of Texas at Tyler

https://www.uttyler.edu/politicalscience/files/dmn-uttyler-jan2022.pdf
1,082 RV
JAN 18-25, 2022

Job Approval:
Biden 41/56
Abbott 51/45

Immigration:
Biden 32/57
Abbott 52/38


One of Biden's best state results. Perhaps, it would encourage pbrower2a to update his NUT MAPS?

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Florida   
(B+)-rated Suffolk University

https://www.suffolk.edu/news-features/news/2022/02/01/00/43/suffolk-university-usa-today-florida-poll
JAN 26-29, 2022
500   LV


Job Approval:
Biden 39/53

Covid:
45/48
Economy:
36/57


H2H:

DeSantis 52
Biden 44

Trump 47%
Biden 44%

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Where is Pbower Nut maps there is plenty of state by state polling I want to see maps

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/1487884059388923905

Inside MOE.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Approvals are obviously junk ever D is outpolking Biden Kelly is ahead of Ducey 50/47 and Warnock is outpolking Biden down 49/48 so I expect D's to win November and Biden is beating Trump 47/44 and we have exceeded turnout in 2020 VBM and its February, we gotta wait to Aug, but the states that matter are WI, MI, PA, NH, AZ, GA, NV everything else is secondary

But, turnout isn't set in stone