Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[GeneralMacArthur]

Stop arguing with Olawakandi oh my gosh 🙄

Russian Bear and Olawakandi arguing with each other and taking each other seriously, while I'm forced to watch, is my own private version of hell.

Fortunately I can just ignore this thread until I accidentally click on it once a week.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Stop arguing with Olawakandi oh my gosh 🙄

Russian Bear and Olawakandi arguing with each other and taking each other seriously, while I'm forced to watch, is my own private version of hell.

Fortunately I can just ignore this thread until I accidentally click on it once a week.

YOU WON'T SILENCE US!

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Ipsos Core Political data (weekly), Feb. 2-3, 1005 adults

Approve 41 (-4)
Disapprove 56 (+6)

The other regular weekly tracker (YouGov) showed a big gain for Biden, while this one shows a big drop.

Oh, boy, don't show it to Mr Bakari Sellers. All his analysis is based on

It's not about 41 percent for Biden and IPSOS has it 50/48 it's about population

That's why IPSOS HAS ALWAYS ASSUMED A 50/48 Electorate just like ZOGBY

That's why IPSOS HAS ALWAYS ASSUMED A 50/48 Electorate just like ZOGBY

No, IPSOS HAS HIM AT 50/48

Approvals by the way the average of IPSOS POLS ARE 49/48 NOT 43/54, THE HIDDEN VOTE,

If you go bye the IPOS NOT CHERRY PICKING POLLS IPSOS HAS HIM AT 47/51 AND 50/48 AND ZOGBY HAS HIM AT 50/48 Job Approval and 43/50 Job Performance

IPSOS HAS BIDEN AT 50/48 AND BIDEN WON 50/48 AND I TRUST IPSOS MORE THAN ANYONE

500K jobs a month, it's February not October it's not over yet and it's not over based on polls it's over when the votes are casted.

Trump overachieved in 2020, all the polls showed him at 43 percent and he got 75 M vote as we got 80 M Ds can overachieve, polls aren't Gods

It's not gonna be over on Election night anyways with Military ballots and Provisional ballots, and the H and Senate so close they will finish counting on Friday the week of the Election it's not same day voting I worked as an Election judge if you didnt know that😁😁😁😁 Have a nice day


Florida is gonna dictate the Election DeSantis isn't winning by 20 he is in a competitive race if it's close the Rs are in trouble

So you no longer believe IPSOS 50/48?

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

RASMUSSEN
February 1-3

DISAPPROVE: 55
APPROVE: 43

538 Adjusted:

DISAPPROVE: 49
APPROVE: 45

[Associate Justice PiT]

RASMUSSEN
February 1-3

DISAPPROVE: 55
APPROVE: 43

538 Adjusted:

DISAPPROVE: 49
APPROVE: 45

     For reference, this is an improvement from Rasmussen's previous poll, that showed Biden at 42-57 unadjusted and 44-51 adjusted.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

RASMUSSEN
February 1-3

DISAPPROVE: 55
APPROVE: 43

538 Adjusted:

DISAPPROVE: 49
APPROVE: 45

     For reference, this is an improvement from Rasmussen's previous poll, that showed Biden at 42-57 unadjusted and 44-51 adjusted.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Biden winds up on Election night at 52 percent which will be an R nightmare, which was where he was at before Debt Ceiling fight, a 2008 map can be duplicated Obama and Biden won the NPVI 52/45 percent and 69/59 M votes that's an Electoral collapse for the Rs but it's February, and Beto, Mixon, Ryan, Beasley and Crist have to win, Beto says he's not dropping out and he has to win

Biden doesn't have to be at 59 percect in order to win the H we certainly won 59 Senate seats in 2008 without  winning 59/41

[pbrower2a]

President Biden passed one big test with the whacking of a very nasty terrorist leader in Syria. He did not grandstand; he gave credit where it was due and didn't claim that any personal greatness was involved.

[It’s so Joever]

President Biden passed one big test with the whacking of a very nasty terrorist leader in Syria. He did not grandstand; he gave credit where it was due and didn't claim that any personal greatness was involved.

That just means he won’t get credit for it.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I am concerned about the H the Senate and Gov mansions are gonna follow the Blue wall Approvals don't mean much in February as opposed to October, but since Sinema and Manchin and Rs are United against giving us one more stimulus, then that can tip the House towards the Rs.

PA, WI are gone for the Rs in the Senate, MI, WI, PA, NV, NM, CO, Govs are gone for Rs, and LA and GA are runoff states, but we have to see an incline in Biden polls dramatically to see the H stay D the insurrection Commission isn't enough to keep the H D they needed Voting rights but it's VBM not same day voting and rural counties come in first and FL is the first state up, DeSantis isn't gonna  within 10 pts of Crist in Miami and Crist speaks Spanish that's our first test, West Palm Beach and Miami Dade come in last

[pbrower2a]

President Biden passed one big test with the whacking of a very nasty terrorist leader in Syria. He did not grandstand; he gave credit where it was due and didn't claim that any personal greatness was involved.

That just means he won’t get credit for it.

It could also calm the international scene. Tensions are high, and nothing is resolved.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a 304/234 map anyways ZOGBY poll was right all along 50/48 Job Approvals/43/50 Job Performance 223/215 H either way 53/47 Senate D's net WI/PA and GA and LA go into Runoffs that's what the final poll in October is gonna show we have changed so little since 2020

No, Rs aren't gonna sweep everything and D's aren't either😁😁😁😁

[MR DARK BRANDON]

It's a 304/234 map anyways ZOGBY poll was right all along 50/48 Job Approvals/43/50 Job Performance 223/215 H either way 53/47 Senate D's net WI/PA and GA and LA go into Runoffs that's what the final poll in October is gonna show we have changed so little since 2020

No, Rs aren't gonna sweep everything and D's aren't either😁😁😁😁

Midterms are different from potus elections even if Biden was at 50% approvals democrats would still lose seats

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a 304/234 map anyways ZOGBY poll was right all along 50/48 Job Approvals/43/50 Job Performance 223/215 H either way 53/47 Senate D's net WI/PA and GA and LA go into Runoffs that's what the final poll in October is gonna show we have changed so little since 2020

No, Rs aren't gonna sweep everything and D's aren't either😁😁😁😁

Midterms are different from potus elections even if Biden was at 50% approvals democrats would still lose seats

You keep contradicting me and you have NV as Lean R and CCM and SISOLAK is up in the poll, yes they will lose the H but the D's are Favs in WI, PA, and MI and Johnson and Toomey won by 200K votes not won by 2M


Most of the H seats that we will lose are in TX and FL not in the blue wall states that's why we will hold the Senate and win 26 Govs

It's gonna be a RH and. We will win WI, PA, LA Sen 53/47 just like Trump did in 2018 when he was below 50 percent to

House seats that are gone are in blue dog districts not progressive seats just like in 2010 we had 255 seats and 40 of them when we lost them were in blue dog district, but Obama didn't get rid of Filibuster in 2009

Nate Silver says on You tube expect an R takeover of the H and a DS, it's gonna be Divided Govt, but it's not D Day yet we still can win H, but Sinema didn't give us Voting RIGHTS

[It’s so Joever]

It's a 304/234 map anyways ZOGBY poll was right all along 50/48 Job Approvals/43/50 Job Performance 223/215 H either way 53/47 Senate D's net WI/PA and GA and LA go into Runoffs that's what the final poll in October is gonna show we have changed so little since 2020

No, Rs aren't gonna sweep everything and D's aren't either😁😁😁😁

Midterms are different from potus elections even if Biden was at 50% approvals democrats would still lose seats

ehhhhhhh I am not so sure about that tbh.

[Sir Mohamed]

It's a 304/234 map anyways ZOGBY poll was right all along 50/48 Job Approvals/43/50 Job Performance 223/215 H either way 53/47 Senate D's net WI/PA and GA and LA go into Runoffs that's what the final poll in October is gonna show we have changed so little since 2020

No, Rs aren't gonna sweep everything and D's aren't either😁😁😁😁

Midterms are different from potus elections even if Biden was at 50% approvals democrats would still lose seats

ehhhhhhh I am not so sure about that tbh.

Obama was 46/49 on election day in 2010, so just barely underwater. Of course, 2022 won't see something close to a 63 seat swing as Dems come from 222 seats and not 256.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden is at 50/48 Job Appovals and 43/50 Job Performance we're not losing the blue wall with 500K jobs and 4% unemployment just like Trump didn't lose the Senate in 2018 with under 5% unemployment


Biden ISNOT ST 41% APPROVALS, WE LOST BIG TIME IN 2010 WITH 11% UNEMPLOYMENT, we are in a Pandemic and no more stimulus checks but Biden is getting reelected with a ,D SENATE

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Feb. 5-8, 1500 adults including 1255 RV

Adults:

Approve 39 (-3)
Disapprove 50 (+1)

Strongly approve 16 (-3)
Strongly disapprove 38 (+2)

RV:

Approve 41 (-4)
Disapprove 51 (+2)

Strongly approve 18 (-4)
Strongly disapprove 41 (+2)

GCB (RV only): D 43 (-1), R 39 (+1)

Reverses a big jump in Biden's approval in last week's poll, which now looks like an outlier.

[Sir Mohamed]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Feb. 5-8, 1500 adults including 1255 RV

Adults:

Approve 39 (-3)
Disapprove 50 (+1)

Strongly approve 16 (-3)
Strongly disapprove 38 (+2)

RV:

Approve 41 (-4)
Disapprove 51 (+2)

Strongly approve 18 (-4)
Strongly disapprove 41 (+2)

GCB (RV only): D 43 (-1), R 39 (+1)

Reverses a big jump in Biden's approval in last week's poll, which now looks like an outlier.

The GCB suggests Biden's low approvals comes from a lot of indies not liking his performance, who aren't hot about the GOP either. My guess is that at least 2/3 of undecideds here will vote R in the midterms. 43/39 is possibly the rockbottom for either side that's not changing no matter what.

[Inmate Trump]

Ugh, we're gonna be crushed in the midterms.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ugh, we're gonna be crushed in the midterms.

Lol no we're not it's a 304)234 map the GCB says we lead we're not losing WI,I, MI and PA


Trump held onto the Senate at 40/57 Approvals in 2018 we will too

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is what happens when you don't pass Voting Rights and it's all Sinema fault

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

The 538 average has Biden's approval on Day 385 at 41.2%, just ahead of Trump's 40.8% at the same point in his presidency. Unless Biden's approval improves within the next week, he will fall slightly behind Trump in the comparison.

If you look at their "likely or registered voters" model, Trump's already more popular, though it's very noisy.

Day 386:
Biden is at 41.8/52.7 (-10.9)
Trump was at 43.3/52.4 (-9.1)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The 538 average has Biden's approval on Day 385 at 41.2%, just ahead of Trump's 40.8% at the same point in his presidency. Unless Biden's approval improves within the next week, he will fall slightly behind Trump in the comparison.

If you look at their "likely or registered voters" model, Trump's already more popular, though it's very noisy.

Day 386:
Biden is at 41.8/52.7 (-10.9)
Trump was at 43.3/52.4 (-9.1)

You do realize these same polls grossly Underestimated Trump I'm 2020 because unemployment was dipping to 7.5 percent, it's not over until the ballots are counted not based on polls D's are gonna bank early votes in VBM in October not November it's 3 percent unemployment, Biden is not at 42 percent he is closer to 50/48

It's a lot of poor people than rich people rich people want tax breaks Poor people want more stimulus if D's get a Trifecta we will get more stimulus and override Sinema and Manchin whom are against it

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

You know how these are joke polls with Biden at 42, every D is outpollng Biden SISOLAK 62/47, CCM outpolking Biden leading by 9, Warnock is only down 47/44 that's why they are fake numbers and D's wind up where Prez Approvals are it's still a 304/234 map but if we win the H we can win some wave insurance