Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Nov. 6-9, 1500 adults including 1258 RV


Adults:

Approve 42 (+1)
Disapprove 48 (-2)

Strongly approve 17 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 37 (-1)


RV:

Approve 45 (+1)
Disapprove 49 (-2)

Strongly approve 20 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 39 (-1)

GCB (RV only): D 44, R 37 (same as last week)

[wbrocks67]

Could just be noise but so far the few polls that have been taking in the aftermath of BIF have shown a few pt difference. Will be interesting to watch.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

USA Today poll was off Biden wasn't at 37 percent Approvals

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1458454659664945153?t=x1nKzR88G-hGU7MT...

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1458453455039877121?t=gAqcqAzisyJF0dLD...

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The. problem for D's is the Debt Ceiling increase is up again, since they didn't do what McConnell said attach Debt Ceiling increase to Spending Bill even if BBB passes, which D's are trying to do to avoid put the Debt Ceiling in a Reconciliation the Rs aren't bluffing they are gonna Filibuster the Debt Ceiling, Rick Scott already said that on MTP the Rs are gonna block Debt Ceiling in it's current firm, Rs aren't gonna give D's a blank check

Biden knows this we had sequester cuts during Obama admin while he was VEEP


It was nice that Mcconnell gave Ds those 8 wks, the D's are a crooked party not a criminal one like Trump is, you can't trust D's either, they just used those weeks to passed BBB they weren't serious about the Debt, that's contributing to Biden low Approvals too

Let the country Default and Biden and Congress Approvals are gonna go crash


Just like Biden doesn't want to pass a targeted stimulus check because they're labor Shortages, we pay taxes on that money FICA taxes, but he wants to give 450K to Immigrants

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

USA Today poll was off Biden wasn't at 37 percent Approvals

In line with VA/NJ.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

USA Today poll was off Biden wasn't at 37 percent Approvals

In line with VA/NJ.

If D's let the country Default on Dec 3rd they are back to square 1with NJ/VA.

Which I am fully aware of they didn't do what McConnell told them to do and Cruz is gonna Filibuster the Debt Ceiling on Dec 3rd

Manchin can get rid of Filibuster on Debt Ceiling and VR with a carve out

[wbrocks67]

USA Today poll was off Biden wasn't at 37 percent Approvals

In line with VA/NJ.

If we're basing it off of national,

New Jersey was D+3, down 16% from 2020, which would be 13% shift from 2020. That would suggest Biden -9 national approval

Virginia was R+2, down from D+10 from 2020, which would be 12% shift from 2020. That would suggest Biden -8 national approval. However, Biden's approval in the exit poll (-7) would suggest -13 national approval.

While Murphy and Youngkin are not necessarily proxies for Biden/Ds given local environments of the race, funny how both results (not the exit poll) point to an -8/-9 national approval, and the 538 average right now is -8.5.

So as much as we get annoyed with the 538 tracker, it's actually been incredibly on point with these elections and was also on point with the CA race and how much that one shifted (results pointed to a -3/-4 national approval for Biden and that's what 538 suggested on recall election day)

Sorry this is long-winded but Tuesday's results and 538's aggregate are all approximating that Biden's approval is about -8/-9 right now natonally.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

(A)-rated Monmouth University

Nov 4 - 8
811 adults

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_US_111021/








Adults:
42 (-4 since SEP 9-13)
50 (+4)

RV:
43 (-4)
49 (+3)

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/PollsandOdds/status/1458469449179275281?t=a3-oc2GrkB3CZgVZP9...

[wbrocks67]

Well, the Monmouth Poll also lines up perfectly with the average right now, so yeah, seems to be that Biden is at about -8 right now nationally.

[Person Man]

Well, the Monmouth Poll also lines up perfectly with the average right now, so yeah, seems to be that Biden is at about -8 right now nationally.

And people still want the infrastructure plan.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

After the Debt Ceiling and two Spending bills are passed Biden Approvals will go up, a carve out of the Filibuster should of been done when TX D's came to DC, but Sinema kept the Filibuster on

The Filibuster not D's is the only crooked thing in DC and it's keeping us from getting another 1400 Rs don't want to raise Debt Ceiling for another stimulus check

No one said it should be forever and they gave rich people with pensions last time stimulus, it should targeted

Aug 2022/we would know exactly how 2022 will play out but D's in 8 wks could of done what McConnell said and put Debt Ceiling with Spending bill, Obama didn't get a blank check, we had SEQUESTER CUTS


45% is meaningless now

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Well… seems as tho infra gave a small bounce, but at least small enough to reverse the affects of the Kabul bombing and get his disapproval under 50%

Looking at RCP it seems to have changed from smth like 42-51 to smth like 44-49

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Bidens slippage is with Indies not with DS or RS, if he passed a targeted 1400 check he would have net positive Approvals he was at 61 percent when the last Stimulus checks were passed

That's why Biden can make a comeback in Aug 22 when the progress has been made on the Spending and infrastructure bills Indies will come back but not overwhelming but a 53/47 Senate and a 222/216 DH is probable enough to pass DC Statehood


UBI man saying we can't win an 8 pt state Trump 2016 10 Brown plus 6 2018 abd Cordray minus 3, we need Ryan not Mandel whom isn't Rob Portman, he won't win Trump numbers in OH he is weak with Blk voters, blk voters don't even know whom Mandel is and he is leading the primary, abd Blks know whom Ryan is because he is outspoken in the H and females voted Andy Beshear and Tim Ryan looks like Beshear

And if Stone runs as a Libertarian against DeSantis Gov Annette's Taddas

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/PollWatch2020/status/1458572358487355395?s=20

[MR DARK BRANDON]

https://twitter.com/PollWatch2020/status/1458572358487355395?s=20

This…. Had trump up in Pennsylvania

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Ipsos Core Political Data tracker is out early this week, I guess because tomorrow is a holiday.  Nov. 9-10, 1004 adults.

Approve 46 (-2)
Disapprove 49 (+2)

[Annatar]

https://twitter.com/PollWatch2020/status/1458572358487355395?s=20

This…. Had trump up in Pennsylvania

Their poll had Trump up 1% in PA, he lost by 1.2%, they missed by just 2%, they were more accurate than most pollsters in PA that had Biden up 5% and missed by 4%.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

(B+)-rated Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.

NOV 1-9, 2021
800   LV
https://thefederalist.com/2021/11/10/new-fdrlst-susquehanna-poll-shows-bidens-approval-sliding-to-36-percent-widespread-disapproval-of-critical-race-theory/

LV:
36 (-13 since mid August)
52 (+7)

Strongly: 25/44


Favs:
Biden 41/53
Trump 33/53
Pelosi 25/60

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Pelosi is DONE AS SPEAKER

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

These Approvals are hilarious and D's still think that adding to Deficit 30T with BBB that's not a Stimulus check is gonna solve their problem, it's been a week no bump from infrastructure

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's worth noting the poll that shows DeSantis and Rubio up 12/19 is a University poll the same poll that had Crist leading by 53/47 it's a 5 pt race in a R plus 3 just like Mandel is tied or leading by 4 against Ryan

We haven't conceded FL or OH to Rs but most likely Stone will be entering as a Libertarian and syphon off votes from DeSantis. SPL voting Rubio/Annette and Ryan/DeWine in a wave insurance scenario

Warnock/Kemp in a Runoff unless Abrams run

[American2020]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1458827090443354121

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/PollProjectUSA/status/1458830939476283392?s=20