Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[It’s so Joever]

PBrower would be touting Obama as the new FDR in 2009.

[sting in the rafters]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, March 6-9, 1500 adults including 1242 RV

Adults:

Approve 50 (nc)
Disapprove 40 (+1)

Strongly approve 30 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 31 (+2)

RV:

Approve 52 (nc)
Disapprove 41 (-1)

Strongly approve 33 (-3)
Strongly disapprove 33 (nc)

Key factors are Biden is still polling over 60+% with moderate voters and above water with independents, both of which were decisive to his victory in November. The problem is at only 44% approval with independents that isn't much room for error. That number needs to be pushing 47-49% for Dems to feel comfortable about 2022. Biden's also only polling 83% among liberals though I imagine some of those disapproving will come home when it's time.

[Mr. Morden]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, March 6-9, 1500 adults including 1242 RV

Adults:

Approve 50 (nc)
Disapprove 40 (+1)

Strongly approve 30 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 31 (+2)

RV:

Approve 52 (nc)
Disapprove 41 (-1)

Strongly approve 33 (-3)
Strongly disapprove 33 (nc)

Some other fun numbers from that poll:

Joe Manchin favorability…
20% favorable / 40% unfavorable for -20%
Among Demcorats: 22/45% for -23%
Among Republicans: 24/38% for -14%

Andrew Cuomo favorability…
20% favorable / 60% unfavorable for -40%
Among Demcorats: 36/48% for -12%
Among Republicans: 9/76% for -67%

[pbrower2a]

PBrower would be touting Obama as the new FDR in 2009.

I did. 2009 wasn't exactly  a parallel to 1933. 

[Badger]

PBrower would be touting Obama as the new FDR in 2009.

I did. 2009 wasn't exactly  a parallel to 1933. 

He wasn't the only one to make such a parallel though.

http://content.time.com/time/covers/0,16641,20081124,00.html

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

MANCHIN THINKS HE IS BYRD BUT BYRD BECAME A SECULARIST AFTER 2002 AFTER HE VOTED AGAINST IRAQ W


MANCHIN IS GONNA LOSE TO ANY GENERIC R and thank Goodness he does, we enough wave insurance seats in 2022

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Everytime there is a NH poll, Rs which is their only pickup assumes it's an R year, typical for a party that have lost seats in every Election cycle since the peaked in 2016, 2018 33/House seats and 2020/ 4 Senate seats

Maggie Hassan is the underdog this yr, not in 2022

[pbrower2a]

Here's how to win the war. Yes, it is a war; people are dying. Death by COVID-19 is as absurd as death by small arms fire, artillery, or airstrikes.

[wbrocks67]

That same CBS News poll also had Biden's overall job approval at 60/40.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden has done wonders getting everyone vaccinated, I just got my shot, it's only a matter of time of full reopening

[GeorgiaModerate]

NPR/Marist, March 3-8, 1227 adults including 1082 RV (change from Feb.)

Adults:

Approve 49 (-2)
Disapprove 42 (+4)

Strongly approve 24 (-5)
Strongly disapprove 30 (+5)

RV:

Approve 48
Disapprove 43

Strongly approve 25
Strongly disapprove 31

[GeorgiaModerate]

Pew Research, March 1-7, 6011 adults

Approve 54
Disapprove 42

Strongly approve 38
Strongly disapprove 29

[GeorgiaModerate]

F**k this country. We deserve to fail, I will enjoy the suffering of other Americans at this point.

Don't overreact to a single poll.

[Asta]

ASK REP/LEAN REP (PARTY=1 or PARTYLN=1) [N=4,796]

How accepting, if at all, do you think the Republican Party should be of Republican elected
officials who…

a. Openly criticize Donald Trump
                   Very accepting    Somewhat accepting Not too accepting Not at all accepting
Mar 1-7, 2021          14                        29                      29                        27


ASK DEM/LEAN DEM (PARTY=2 or PARTYLN=2) [N=6,988]:

How accepting, if at all, do you think the Democratic Party should be of Democratic elected
officials who… [RANDOMIZE ITEMS]

Openly criticize Joe Biden
                      Very accepting    Somewhat accepting Not too accepting Not at all accepting
Mar 1-7, 2021           23                       45                        21                        9


The party of snowflake strikes again, folks.
How dare they criticize our Dear Leader!

[BudgieForce]

F**k this country. We deserve to fail, I will enjoy the suffering of other Americans at this point.

We're two months into the administration. It's way too early to be reacting like this.

As for the NPR/Marist, they only had Biden at +14 days after his inauguration. Not surprising they'd be one of the more bearish pollsters.

[BudgieForce]

I was hoping for a longer honeymoon, but i guess in these partisan times, a long presidential honeymoon is probably impossible.

I figure we'll have a somewhat similar situation to Trump in a a few months. Except instead of Biden being stuck in the mid 40s, he'll hover around the low 50s.

I personally think Biden can crack that low 50s ceiling as the country opens up and the economy starts roaring back. Until then, partisanship will win the day.

[Bootes Void]

I was hoping for a longer honeymoon, but i guess in these partisan times, a long presidential honeymoon is probably impossible.

I figure we'll have a somewhat similar situation to Trump in a a few months. Except instead of Biden being stuck in the mid 40s, he'll hover around the low 50s.

I personally think Biden can crack that low 50s ceiling as the country opens up and the economy starts roaring back. Until then, partisanship will win the day.

Biden approval rating hasn't dropped much in the last few months

[BudgieForce]

I was hoping for a longer honeymoon, but i guess in these partisan times, a long presidential honeymoon is probably impossible.

I figure we'll have a somewhat similar situation to Trump in a a few months. Except instead of Biden being stuck in the mid 40s, he'll hover around the low 50s.

I personally think Biden can crack that low 50s ceiling as the country opens up and the economy starts roaring back. Until then, partisanship will win the day.

Biden approval rating hasn't dropped much in the last few months

Biden's numbers are still very strong in the online trackers, but the live telephone polls are showing smaller margins.

Marist - +7
CNN - +10
Monmouth - +9

I'm not saying to discount the online polls but I also think we shouldn't discount whats happening in these polls either.

Edit: I'm definitely overthinking it.

[Progressive Pessimist]

On the FiveThirtyEight tracker, Biden's Disapproval Rating finally reached 40% today after over a month of being under the mark (I guess conservatives are remembering they hate Biden).

Biden's Approval Rating remains similar to that from when he took office, at 53%.

The current Net Approval Rating average is +13.0%.

Link: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating

It probably means that his honeymoon period is officially over. Still, his ratings are pretty stellar after four years of the previous President's numbers being consistently underwater.

[It’s so Joever]

F**k this country. We deserve to fail, I will enjoy the suffering of other Americans at this point.

Fück you. You deserve to fail, I will enjoy the suffering of you at this point.

Agreed.

[Annatar]

A lot of these Biden approval polls are oversampling democrats, the CNN poll that had him at 51% approve had a D+6 sample, no election since 2012 has had an electorate that democratic, the Marist poll that has Biden at 49% approval has a D+7 sample, 34% democratic, 27% Republican, for multiple cycles now we just see pollsters continually oversampling democrats relative to what the exit polls show, is Biden really at 49% approval, with a D+7 sample he might be, in reality he is likely lower.

[wbrocks67]

A lot of these Biden approval polls are oversampling democrats, the CNN poll that had him at 51% approve had a D+6 sample, no election since 2012 has had an electorate that democratic, the Marist poll that has Biden at 49% approval has a D+7 sample, 34% democratic, 27% Republican, for multiple cycles now we just see pollsters continually oversampling democrats relative to what the exit polls show, is Biden really at 49% approval, with a D+7 sample he might be, in reality he is likely lower.

the NPR poll has Biden's disapproval at nearly 20% among Blacks and only 51/43 among Latinos. That seems... very unlikely

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I admit that these approvals are oversampling D's, the Election isn't until next year and these polls suggest a landslide that not have happened yet for D's in 2022.

But, NC numbers look positive if we get NC and GA, we hold onto House and bypass Sinema on the Fillibuster

FL isn't happening for D's since DeSantis and Rubio will win

[DaleCooper]

I expect Biden's approval ratings to be roughly an inverse of Trump's, with him being consistently at least a few points in the positive, barring a couple brief exceptions here and there. We're probably seeing the beginning of that.

[BudgieForce]

A lot of these Biden approval polls are oversampling democrats, the CNN poll that had him at 51% approve had a D+6 sample, no election since 2012 has had an electorate that democratic, the Marist poll that has Biden at 49% approval has a D+7 sample, 34% democratic, 27% Republican, for multiple cycles now we just see pollsters continually oversampling democrats relative to what the exit polls show, is Biden really at 49% approval, with a D+7 sample he might be, in reality he is likely lower.

the NPR poll has Biden's disapproval at nearly 20% among Blacks and only 51/43 among Latinos. That seems... very unlikely

Good point.

"In reality", Biden's approval is likely higher.