Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[GeorgiaModerate]

Nothing by Quinnipiac for the last two weeks. It is also about time for those on-line 50-state polls by Morning Consult or Civiqs or whatever, don't you think?

Quinnipiac usually does a monthly poll that released in the first week or so of the month. I'd expect it soon. Occasionally they do something else mid-month, as they did in February, but not always.

No idea about the 50-state polls.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We know that the EC map is gonna go thru WI and PA, I don't even look at the polls anymore

51/49 Senate and narrow House Majority while GA and NC are battlegrounds, if the Election were held without a strong recovery

It's no use making hack maps, the polls were wrong last time and FL isn't really in play since DeSantis is gonna be Reelected with Rubio with a 57% Approvals

As I said before, Biden handicapped himself by stoppage of the wall, it can affect our wave insurance seats and we don't want to lose NC, which is still a battleground state

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Nevada - WPA Intelligence/Las Vegas Review-Journal
February 26-March 1
500 likely voters
MoE: 4.4%

Approve 47%
Disapprove 40%
Not sure 12%

https://www.reviewjournal.com/news/politics-and-government/nevada/the-nevada-poll-nevadans-give-biden-sisolak-favorable-marks-2293284/

NV is titanium tilt D.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As long as Biden is Prez, Rs aren't cracking the blue wall in 2020/2022/2024

[Progressive Pessimist]

Nevada - WPA Intelligence/Las Vegas Review-Journal
February 26-March 1
500 likely voters
MoE: 4.4%

Approve 47%
Disapprove 40%
Not sure 12%

https://www.reviewjournal.com/news/politics-and-government/nevada/the-nevada-poll-nevadans-give-biden-sisolak-favorable-marks-2293284/

NV is titanium tilt D.

I agree. I know that some are disappointed and startled that it supported Biden only by almost as much as it did Clinton, but all that says to me is that Democrats have a hard floor of 2% or so in the state. It's not hard to imagine that with even just a little more attention paid to it by Democrats that it's reluctance to vote for Republicans statewide won't waiver.

[pbrower2a]

Here's a reminder of how one of those 50-state threads could look (this is from November 2019):

Crayons out for Morning Consult.

90% shades -- 20% or more either way
70% shades 10-19%
50% shades-- 5-9%
20% shades -- under 5%
...white would be for ties (but there are none).

Is any comment necessary here?

Every state was shown for Trump approval and disapproval, Although approval numbers can change, they generally give some idea of how the next election involving an incumbent will go if nothing really changes. Roughly a year before the 2020 Presidential election, approval numbers suggested that Trump would lose. Some states did move toward Trump: Iowa, which projected to be a fairly strong D state in a year would be the opposite. Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin would be much closer than the map showed. Ohio was not going to be a Trump loss. We would not have known that in late 2019.
 
Obviously, some things will change. I'm not offering a projection based on states being analogues of others 

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ron Johnson and Pat Tommey seat are gone D's have now a 2)3 chance of flipping WI and Pa and winning GA for a 52/48 Senate and narrowly holding onto Congress


NC its a 1/3 chance, but I am not a doomer

[Brittain33]

New jobs report shows 379,000 new jobs created in February - outstanding.

How refreshing it will be to have a President who won't claim to have personally created every one of those jobs and ask for people to thank him for his hard work. (Especially as Year 1 February job changes are largely outside the new President's control.)

[wbrocks67]

AP/NORC
overall job approval: 60/40 (+20)
COVID-19 job approval: 70/29 (+41)
Economy job approval: 55/44 (+11)

https://apnews.com/article/joe-biden-ap-top-news-coronavirus-pandemic-only-on-ap-honeymoons-d365bff571c24f9d3575bcbd051780aa


REUTERS/IPSOS
overall job approval: 58/35 (+23)

https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2021-03/2021_reuters_tracking_-_core_political_presidential_approval_tracker_03_04_2021.pdf

America loves Joe!

[Sir Mohamed]

Imagine Mr. Trump's Twitter if he had such numbers. Just sayin'.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2021-03/2021_reuters_tracking_-_core_political_presidential_approval_tracker_03_04_2021.pdf[/url]

This is a weekly tracker; last week it was 57/37.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We don't need Mccarthy as Leader, as I said on another thread, given they just voted down the minimum wage 57 No votes, they aren't gonna solve the Covid crisis, they want to give millionaires tax cuts, if Rs were gonna solve the Covid crisis, Trump would still be Prez and even D's are bearish on our chances due to it being a Midterm

1962/1998/2002/2022 Prez Approvals are 50 PERCENT we net gain seats, not lose seats

[Inmate Trump]

Imagine Mr. Trump's Twitter if he had such numbers. Just sayin'.

Honestly, if he had simply handled covid right he might’ve seen similar numbers.  Maybe even higher.

If he had just taken it seriously from the beginning, been upfront and truthful with the American people (because it’s now proven that he knew how bad it was early on), encouraged masks and precautions, and not called it a hoax or disregarded the safety of those around him (by ordering his handlers to drive him around when he had covid and hosting large gatherings)....if he had just been honest and aggressive in his encouragement of precautions and attempted to reassure the public...he would probably have been re-elected.

This was/is a large scale crisis where strong leadership is required and rewarded. He failed.

[pbrower2a]

Imagine Mr. Trump's Twitter if he had such numbers. Just sayin'.

Honestly, if he had simply handled covid right he might’ve seen similar numbers.  Maybe even higher.

If he had just taken it seriously from the beginning, been upfront and truthful with the American people (because it’s now proven that he knew how bad it was early on), encouraged masks and precautions, and not called it a hoax or disregarded the safety of those around him (by ordering his handlers to drive him around when he had covid and hosting large gatherings)....if he had just been honest and aggressive in his encouragement of precautions and attempted to reassure the public...he would probably have been re-elected.

This was/is a large scale crisis where strong leadership is required and rewarded. He failed.

If Trump had had numbers in February 2020 as Obama had had in February 2012 (high 40's), then he too would have won much the same.

[Inmate Trump]

Imagine Mr. Trump's Twitter if he had such numbers. Just sayin'.

Honestly, if he had simply handled covid right he might’ve seen similar numbers.  Maybe even higher.

If he had just taken it seriously from the beginning, been upfront and truthful with the American people (because it’s now proven that he knew how bad it was early on), encouraged masks and precautions, and not called it a hoax or disregarded the safety of those around him (by ordering his handlers to drive him around when he had covid and hosting large gatherings)....if he had just been honest and aggressive in his encouragement of precautions and attempted to reassure the public...he would probably have been re-elected.

This was/is a large scale crisis where strong leadership is required and rewarded. He failed.

If Trump had had numbers in February 2020 as Obama had had in February 2012 (high 40's), then he too would have won much the same.

Maybe.

But I think if he had truly stepped up to the plate, as any good leader would have, and went to bat for us and the country as a whole I think he might've won by a large margin.  Maybe landslides are impossible now, but I think his re-election would've been (more than) pretty secure.

He wouldn't have reached Bush approvals post-9/11...but in March 2020 he had an extraordinary opportunity to boost his leadership image in the face of an overwhelming crisis.

He has no one to blame for his 2020 defeat except himself and his terrible response to covid; a response which cost thousands more lives than necessary.  There is no doubt that Trump's inaction cost more American lives from covid than those who died on 9/11.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2021-03/2021_reuters_tracking_-_core_political_presidential_approval_tracker_03_04_2021.pdf[/url]

This is a weekly tracker; last week it was 57/37.

Bidmentum!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Great news Blunt retired, he was leading 50/40 against Sifton, it's wave insurance, but we have a better chance at winning MO than before.

Sifton, and Jackson can appeal just like Jon Ossoff be youthful and appeal to WC females and bring out the AA base

[pbrower2a]

Imagine Mr. Trump's Twitter if he had such numbers. Just sayin'.

Honestly, if he had simply handled covid right he might’ve seen similar numbers.  Maybe even higher.

If he had just taken it seriously from the beginning, been upfront and truthful with the American people (because it’s now proven that he knew how bad it was early on), encouraged masks and precautions, and not called it a hoax or disregarded the safety of those around him (by ordering his handlers to drive him around when he had covid and hosting large gatherings)....if he had just been honest and aggressive in his encouragement of precautions and attempted to reassure the public...he would probably have been re-elected.

This was/is a large scale crisis where strong leadership is required and rewarded. He failed.

If Trump had had numbers in February 2020 as Obama had had in February 2012 (high 40's), then he too would have won much the same.

Maybe.

But I think if he had truly stepped up to the plate, as any good leader would have, and went to bat for us and the country as a whole I think he might've won by a large margin.  Maybe landslides are impossible now, but I think his re-election would've been (more than) pretty secure.

He wouldn't have reached Bush approvals post-9/11...but in March 2020 he had an extraordinary opportunity to boost his leadership image in the face of an overwhelming crisis.

He has no one to blame for his 2020 defeat except himself and his terrible response to covid; a response which cost thousands more lives than necessary.  There is no doubt that Trump's inaction cost more American lives from covid than those who died on 9/11.

We will never know what a competent response to COVID-19 would have done for President Trump. He might have gotten a majority of the popular vote. He had a reasonably-good chance of picking up Maine at large (but not ME-01), Minnesota, Nevada, and New Hampshire.

All that he had to do was to treat COVID-19 as seriously as a war. He could have asked people to wear masks. He could have praised Big Business for good work and rewarded it with tax cuts.

The worst days of death from COVID-19 were worse than 9/11 and Pearl Harbor. I cannot forgive him. I don't know what he was thinking... and I am not sure that I want to know.

I'm going to make a prediction: that the US will need to do another Census just to keep track of the effects of COVID-19 on the population. What were the demographics of those damned to the plague of 2020-21? 

[VAR]

Florida - Mason-Dixon
February 24-28
625 registered voters
MoE: 4%

Disapprove 49%
Approve 47%

https://floridapolitics.com/archives/410602-poll-shows-support-but-vulnerability-for-marco-rubio

This is just hilarious.

[BudgieForce]

Florida - Mason-Dixon
February 24-28
625 registered voters
MoE: 4%

Disapprove 49%
Approve 47%

https://floridapolitics.com/archives/410602-poll-shows-support-but-vulnerability-for-marco-rubio

This is just hilarious.

A red state masquerading as a swing state. Biden should just ignore us.

Edit: Funny to see Rubio potentially vulnerable.

[Inmate Trump]

Florida - Mason-Dixon
February 24-28
625 registered voters
MoE: 4%

Disapprove 49%
Approve 47%

https://floridapolitics.com/archives/410602-poll-shows-support-but-vulnerability-for-marco-rubio

This is just hilarious.

A red state masquerading as a swing state. Biden should just ignore us.

Edit: Funny to see Rubio potentially vulnerable.

Don't worry, the entire country already ignores Florida and I bet the Dem nominee in 2024 will too.

[Mr.Phips]

Florida - Mason-Dixon
February 24-28
625 registered voters
MoE: 4%

Disapprove 49%
Approve 47%

https://floridapolitics.com/archives/410602-poll-shows-support-but-vulnerability-for-marco-rubio

This is just hilarious.

Shows what we all know:  Florida is a red state.

[GeorgiaModerate]

CNN/SSRS, March 3-8, 1009 adults

Approve 51
Disapprove 41

The crosstabs show 50/44 among RV, but the number of RV is not given.

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, March 6-9, 1500 adults including 1242 RV

Adults:

Approve 50 (nc)
Disapprove 40 (+1)

Strongly approve 30 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 31 (+2)

RV:

Approve 52 (nc)
Disapprove 41 (-1)

Strongly approve 33 (-3)
Strongly disapprove 33 (nc)

[BudgieForce]

CNN/SSRS, March 3-8, 1009 adults

Approve 51
Disapprove 41

The crosstabs show 50/44 among RV, but the number of RV is not given.

Seems like the telephone pollsters(CNN, Monmouth and Quinnipiac) are all around +10.