Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread

[President Johnson]

NYT out with an analysis of Perdue's wealth portfolio and it ain't pretty.

The question is how many voters in Georgia pay attention to the New York Times? Especially those who don't vote Democratic anyway.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1334175857401876482

This opinion writer 1. thinks that Qelly Loeffler is not too radical for Georgia voters, a talking point I've always found a little racist since it deligitimizes the votes of so many black residents of the third blackest state as well as overlooking Loeffler's radicalism, 2. thinks Virginia "leans blue," and 3. is a Lincoln Projectite hack who thought that Mike Pence should and could step up to handle COVID since Donald Trump wouldn't.

Checkmate Lincolnites

(you're an FF if you get the reference)

The virgin checkmated Lincolnite, versus the chad delivered unto the magistrate in the shyre in which ye dwell.

[wbrocks67]

NYT out with an analysis of Perdue's wealth portfolio and it ain't pretty.

The question is how many voters in Georgia pay attention to the New York Times? Especially those who don't vote Democratic anyway.

Not really just NYT, i feel like this has been a focus of Dem attacks, hasn't it? Enough that Perdue literally had to put an ad out that said he was "exonerated"

The only question is if the corruption angle is truly hurting Perdue or not

[KaiserDave]

https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1334175857401876482

This opinion writer 1. thinks that Qelly Loeffler is not too radical for Georgia voters, a talking point I've always found a little racist since it deligitimizes the votes of so many black residents of the third blackest state as well as overlooking Loeffler's radicalism, 2. thinks Virginia "leans blue," and 3. is a Lincoln Projectite hack who thought that Mike Pence should and could step up to handle COVID since Donald Trump wouldn't.

Checkmate Lincolnites

(you're an FF if you get the reference)

The virgin checkmated Lincolnite, versus the chad delivered unto the magistrate in the shyre in which ye dwell.

The worst thing about 2020 is that popery seized the governorship.

[wbrocks67]

Based on McDonald's statistics

Georgia

Special election - 994K ballots requested
56% white
30% black
3% asian
2% hispanic
9% other/unknown

General Election EV turnout (~4 million)
57% white
28% black
3% asian
3% hispanic
11% other

Obviously only 25% of the original turnout so far, and this is just requested, not received - but if that stays put generally where it's at, it's gonna be very close once again

[T0rM3nTeD]

Based on McDonald's statistics

Georgia

Special election - 994K ballots requested
56% white
30% black
3% asian
2% hispanic
9% other/unknown

General Election EV turnout (~4 million)
57% white
28% black
3% asian
3% hispanic
11% other

Obviously only 25% of the original turnout so far, and this is just requested, not received - but if that stays put generally where it's at, it's gonna be very close once again

It's actually over 50%. GA had 1.782M mail ballots requested for the GE, and over 993K requested for the special so far.

[7,052,770]

NYT out with an analysis of Perdue's wealth portfolio and it ain't pretty.

Is it too radical to suggest that all members of Congress be required to put their assets into blind trusts? There's just too much opportunity for impropriety of the appearance of.

[wbrocks67]

Based on McDonald's statistics

Georgia

Special election - 994K ballots requested
56% white
30% black
3% asian
2% hispanic
9% other/unknown

General Election EV turnout (~4 million)
57% white
28% black
3% asian
3% hispanic
11% other

Obviously only 25% of the original turnout so far, and this is just requested, not received - but if that stays put generally where it's at, it's gonna be very close once again

It's actually over 50%. GA had 1.782M mail ballots requested for the GE, and over 993K requested for the special so far.

ah you are correct, the 4 million figure includes early in person voting as well.

[Tender Branson]

It was Whites+20 (51-31) among 1.78 million ballot requests for the GE.

Now, it’s Whites+26 (56-30) with 1 million requests so far.

Doesn’t look all too promising, but who knows ...

[Bootes Void]

It was Whites+20 (51-31) among 1.78 million ballot requests for the GE.

Now, it’s Whites+26 (56-30) with 1 million requests so far.

Doesn’t look all too promising, but who knows ...

We still got all December to see the final requests but My guess is that white voters requesting the ballots are more likely to be educated so it may not be as bad but who knows

[Malarkey Decider]

It was Whites+20 (51-31) among 1.78 million ballot requests for the GE.

Now, it’s Whites+26 (56-30) with 1 million requests so far.

Doesn’t look all too promising, but who knows ...

True, but we should wait until the early-in person votes are in to draw too many conclusions.

[Rookie Yinzer]

It was Whites+20 (51-31) among 1.78 million ballot requests for the GE.

Now, it’s Whites+26 (56-30) with 1 million requests so far.

Doesn’t look all too promising, but who knows ...

Biden won mail in ballots 65-34.... there are definitely going to be more Dems voting in person in this race because of the shorter turnaround.

Y'all can't resist finding doom and gloom in every stat.

[Progressive Pessimist]

With morons like them why do we even need democrats anymore ?
https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1334234120134799360?s=20

If Trump somehow gifts the Democrats the Senate that may finally be the point where the GOP establishment outright excoriates him.

It's one more reason why Ossoff and Warnock winning would immediately make up for any of the disappointments from this year's elections.

I'm not getting my hopes up for it, I expect that Republicans will still turn out like always. If this sentiment specifically came out of Trump's mouth rather than just his incompetent lawyers, then maybe it would have more of an impact. But the fact that this is even a possibly shows how much the Republicans' elevation of Trump to being a Godlike figure can be a double-eged sword.

NYT out with an analysis of Perdue's wealth portfolio and it ain't pretty.

The question is how many voters in Georgia pay attention to the New York Times? Especially those who don't vote Democratic anyway.

Not really just NYT, i feel like this has been a focus of Dem attacks, hasn't it? Enough that Perdue literally had to put an ad out that said he was "exonerated"

The only question is if the corruption angle is truly hurting Perdue or not

Maybe it's just my inherent pessimism, but I've come to realize that American voters don't really care about white-collar crimes or scandals.

On the other hand I also think it's possible that Perdue's ads referencing his "exoneration" for his alleged corruption may have a Streisand Effect and damage how he is perceived by those voters that do actually care about financial impropriety, voters who are more likely to be in the educated suburbanite category, I presume.

[Farmlands]

It was Whites+20 (51-31) among 1.78 million ballot requests for the GE.

Now, it’s Whites+26 (56-30) with 1 million requests so far.

Doesn’t look all too promising, but who knows ...

Biden won mail in ballots 65-34.... there are definitely going to be more Dems voting in person in this race because of the shorter turnaround.

Y'all can't resist finding doom and gloom in every stat.

I'm applying here the same logic as in the early vote in Florida: the numbers we have already aren't great for Dems and evidence suggests Election Day voters tend to lean more to the right. And it was the correct call. So if Warnock wins the race, I will change my avatar and name to "Glory to Blue Georgia" for a month.

[Rookie Yinzer]

It was Whites+20 (51-31) among 1.78 million ballot requests for the GE.

Now, it’s Whites+26 (56-30) with 1 million requests so far.

Doesn’t look all too promising, but who knows ...

Biden won mail in ballots 65-34.... there are definitely going to be more Dems voting in person in this race because of the shorter turnaround.

Y'all can't resist finding doom and gloom in every stat.

I'm applying here the same logic as in the early vote in Florida: the numbers we have already aren't great for Dems and evidence suggests Election Day voters tend to lean more to the right. And it was the correct call. So if Warnock wins the race, I will change my avatar and name to "Glory to Blue Georgia" for a month.

This is not the general election. This election wasn’t even expected by many voters until three weeks ago. It’s not the same thing but k.

[MillennialModerate]

LOL these latest polls are a joke

I know no one is going to listen to the poster who cried red Georgia but I think even those who were against my opinion in the general see it my way this time.

Those polls... +2 for Osoff? Eh HIGHLY skeptical. And +7 for Warnock? Are you serious LOL

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We should hopefully get some corroborating polls from PPP polls

[wbrocks67]

It was Whites+20 (51-31) among 1.78 million ballot requests for the GE.

Now, it’s Whites+26 (56-30) with 1 million requests so far.

Doesn’t look all too promising, but who knows ...

Biden won mail in ballots 65-34.... there are definitely going to be more Dems voting in person in this race because of the shorter turnaround.

Y'all can't resist finding doom and gloom in every stat.

I'm applying here the same logic as in the early vote in Florida: the numbers we have already aren't great for Dems and evidence suggests Election Day voters tend to lean more to the right. And it was the correct call. So if Warnock wins the race, I will change my avatar and name to "Glory to Blue Georgia" for a month.

Really depends on the electorate though. That "white" demographic could be way more college educated than before. Again, we just don't know.

[Mr.Phips]

I do wonder if Dems winning these races will get Republicans thinking about passing legislation to apportion the state’s electoral votes by Congressional district.

[brucejoel99]

I know no one is going to listen to the poster who cried red Georgia

/thread

[KaiserDave]

LOL these latest polls are a joke

I know no one is going to listen to the poster who cried red Georgia but I think even those who were against my opinion in the general see it my way this time.

Those polls... +2 for Osoff? Eh HIGHLY skeptical. And +7 for Warnock? Are you serious LOL

Yep, you're right. We aren't.

[KaiserDave]

I had a dream last night than Ossoff and Warnock both won handily (think 4-5 points), and I even said in the dream "I can't believe I'm not dreaming."

[brucejoel99]

I had a dream last night than Ossoff and Warnock both won handily (think 4-5 points), and I even said in the dream "I can't believe I'm not dreaming."

LMAO I went through the same exact thing 2 nights ago but it was about a Clarence Thomas retirement from outta nowhere instead.

Very sad when I woke up & realized it wasn't true.

[T0rM3nTeD]

So the electproject site has updated again, they've received over 25K ballots. According to my spreadsheet I made which is based on county data, I've calculated % of VBM, Early-In-Person votes, and Election day that went to Perdue and Ossoff. If the VBM received by county broke exactly the same as it did for the GE, the current vote count would be:

Dems - 16,128
GOP - 8,966

[Canis]

Things are looking very good for the dems right now I'm cautiously optimistic that we can get control of the senate.