2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 650218 times)
musicblind
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« Reply #11800 on: November 05, 2020, 07:14:30 PM »

*rolls out 55 gallon drum of lotion*

It’s gettin’ real.

I just wanna say, as a gay man, I'm looking forward to future updates.

Fellow gays represent!
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #11801 on: November 05, 2020, 07:14:34 PM »

Even if you believe Mr. Trump's crap about election stolen: He claimed GOP had "tremendous success" in down ballot races, why did this happen then? If Dems stole it, why didn't they stole more down ballot races? Do they really believe this?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #11802 on: November 05, 2020, 07:14:44 PM »

So I wrote a long post going over all the remaining counties with less than 90% reporting and Atlas decided to log me out so this is going to be brief.

Once all the suburban and urban votes are counted (including Allegheny, which inexplicably stopped) it should be in a near tie, give or take around 10k votes. Excluding those most of the remaining votes are mail ins from heavily Republican counties. The mail ins we've seen for comparable counties like Tioga and Blair have gone narrowly for Trump and it seems likely that most of the remaining counties will also be quite close. Depending on how reporting goes its possible people will overreact if a bunch of these Trump leaning mail ins drop all at once.

Fortunately Biden still has outstanding votes left in Center and Monroe, both of which favour him. My guess is that those two counties will secure Biden victory, but quite possibly by less than 1%. The remaining ballots definitely aren't likely to continue the Erie/Cumberland trend except for Monroe and Center.

There is like ~100K still out in Philly. Allegheny still has 35K out. That's more than enough in just the 2.
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musicblind
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« Reply #11803 on: November 05, 2020, 07:15:17 PM »

That was one of the most pathetic moments in the history of the country. Just sad really.
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Thunder98
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« Reply #11804 on: November 05, 2020, 07:15:20 PM »

Trump needs to accept that is he about to lose shortly and stop acting like a whiny child.
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Storr
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« Reply #11805 on: November 05, 2020, 07:15:26 PM »

He is being dragged thoroughly on CNN.
Even by Rick Santorum "No elected Republican is going to stand behind that statement".

No elected Republican, but maybe a Party Advisor or two. Tongue
Of course he further clarified that "some may support elements of the speech".
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Meclazine for Israel
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« Reply #11806 on: November 05, 2020, 07:15:29 PM »
« Edited: November 05, 2020, 07:27:57 PM by Meclazine »

PA updated. AZ updated.

WI - Biden WINS by > 20,000 (98% counted)

MI - Biden WINS by > 100,000 (98% counted)

AZ - Biden up by 61,469 (86% counted)

Of the remaining ~457,700 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 198,100 of them - (43.3%)

NV - Biden up by 11,438 (89% counted)

Of the remaining ~151,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 70,000 of them - (46.2%)

GA - Biden down by 3,486 (99% counted)

Of the remaining ~50,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 26,750 of them - (53.5%)

PA - Biden down by 64,266 (94% counted)

Of the remaining ~417,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win ~241,100 of them - (57.7%)

The ratios of votes coming in are:

AZ (Trump : Biden =  54.8%)
NV (Biden : Trump =  56.7%)
GA (Biden : Trump =  62.0%)
PA (Biden : Trump =  80.0%)

This is nearly done.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #11807 on: November 05, 2020, 07:15:32 PM »

If you’re a Democrat and are faux-raging about Trump (rightly) alleging a stolen election, then please shut up about George W. Bush 2000, and Trump 2016. Thanks.
Imagine thinking the electoral college isn't an undemocratic institution that needs to be abolished. Couldn't be me.
Please don't go into an electoral college debate. I'll be forced to side with DTT.
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CellarDoor
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« Reply #11808 on: November 05, 2020, 07:15:44 PM »

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forsythvoter
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« Reply #11809 on: November 05, 2020, 07:15:49 PM »

Re. GA: It seems like Clayton still has about 6k votes left. Biden will net about 4K in margin from this county and then it will come down to Gwinnett (7k) and Forsyth (4k). Cobb also has about 700 more ballots.
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Diabolical Materialism
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« Reply #11810 on: November 05, 2020, 07:15:56 PM »




As a huge Trekkie, I love this.

But "normal Republicans?"  Do those exist anymore?

Um, yeah?

Why would someone making 1 Mil a year vote for Biden when he made it clear he would tax them much more, especially if the other Rep. candidate is respectable.
If you make 1 million a year you aren't normal
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #11811 on: November 05, 2020, 07:16:10 PM »

NYT now showing the 64K vote difference in PA. Looks like some of the recent ballots have come in from Erie and Lehigh counties, since they've both flipped to Biden on the map as well.

Yep Erie still has at least 3K and Lehigh still has a good chunk out too. Monroe as well, and I think Delco has like 10k-15k left too
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #11812 on: November 05, 2020, 07:16:20 PM »


Both are correct
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Angel of Death
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« Reply #11813 on: November 05, 2020, 07:16:22 PM »

That speech was the kick-off of his 2024 campaign.
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Beet
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« Reply #11814 on: November 05, 2020, 07:16:27 PM »

Seeing Trump lose bit by bit like this is delicious.
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Buffalo Mayor Young Kim
LVScreenssuck
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« Reply #11815 on: November 05, 2020, 07:16:37 PM »

Even if you believe Mr. Trump's crap about election stolen: He claimed GOP had "tremendous success" in down ballot, why did this happen then? If Dems stole it, why didn't they stole more down ballot races? Do they really believe this?
Clearly the GOP deep state was in on it. Stay home from all future elections Republicans, especially run-offs, there is no one you can trust.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #11816 on: November 05, 2020, 07:16:52 PM »

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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #11817 on: November 05, 2020, 07:17:09 PM »

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TopShelfGoal
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« Reply #11818 on: November 05, 2020, 07:17:44 PM »

Honestly the schadenfreude I have gotten watching Trump and his supporters has made this slow vote count worth it.

If that makes me a bad person so be it.
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Andy Hine
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« Reply #11819 on: November 05, 2020, 07:17:51 PM »

Trump needs to prove it with real evidence or he needs to shut up. He doesn't have the right to attack our democracy and to divide this country. I'll say the same thing about the far left and their behavior this summer but Trump is ripping this country apart.

Prove it or I'll probably never vote for a Trump in the future. Idiots.

You won't vote for him in the future because Trump's career in politics is done after tomorrow.
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BigSerg
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« Reply #11820 on: November 05, 2020, 07:17:56 PM »

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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #11821 on: November 05, 2020, 07:18:21 PM »

Seeing Trump lose bit by bit like this is delicious.

In some way it is, but seeing him get blown out, if all the votes being counted now were to come in at once, would have been even more satisfying. It at least would be less stressful.
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Kalimantan
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« Reply #11822 on: November 05, 2020, 07:18:33 PM »

Well that was one of the least presidential things I have ever seen. Rambling collection of conspiracy theory greatest hits. Such an unhappy man, I wonder if he's ever been happy?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #11823 on: November 05, 2020, 07:19:29 PM »

Re. GA: It seems like Clayton still has about 6k votes left. Biden will net about 4K in margin from this county and then it will come down to Gwinnett (7k) and Forsyth (4k). Cobb also has about 700 more ballots.

seems like Biden still on track for a 5-10k win
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Podgy the Bear
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« Reply #11824 on: November 05, 2020, 07:19:49 PM »

Re. GA: It seems like Clayton still has about 6k votes left. Biden will net about 4K in margin from this county and then it will come down to Gwinnett (7k) and Forsyth (4k). Cobb also has about 700 more ballots.

Forsyth--you're doing a great job on getting the information in GA.  Keep it up!
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