2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 640378 times)
wbrocks67
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« Reply #9575 on: November 05, 2020, 09:53:27 AM »


Still 28K ballots out too. If they go like they've been going (Biden ~77%), Biden will end up winning Bucks County by like 5 by the end (he's up 1 now)
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #9576 on: November 05, 2020, 09:53:53 AM »

NYT times reporting the exact number of uncounted ballots in GA is 61,367. Trump lead is 18,590 going into this final Batch. Biden will need to win about 65% of this last batch to take the lead.

It looks like the vast majority of these are metro ATL (Fulton, Clayton and Dekalb) votes, with some Chatham mail-ins thrown in the mix.

I have a strong sense of how this is going to turn out but I'm going to refrain from making a projection. Let's just wait for the final GA SOS update!

CNN posted this (below) about 45 minutes ago.
Is there about 61K votes left to count, or 90K ? This could be important to who wins GA ...

Here's a look at when we'll get updates from local officials today:

    10:30 a.m. ET: Georgia's Secretary of State will hold a news conference. There's currently a 33,000-vote margin between Trump and Biden, and there’s around 90,000 votes remaining to be counted.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #9577 on: November 05, 2020, 09:54:14 AM »

Bucks Co. just flipped. Now I want Lehigh and Monroe to flip. Great to see Biden turning the eastern counties of PA all blue.

I feel like both will after VBM. Lehigh especially has a ton of VBM out
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Astatine
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« Reply #9578 on: November 05, 2020, 09:54:21 AM »

Both parties need a wake up call

NY is a red state without NYC
IL is a red state without Chicago

CA is to the left of NY and IL......

GA is going Blue, and Republicans put to trash gay marriage and abortion in the garbage.

Martina White and Nicole Malliotakis should be the template for the GOP going forward, Northern ethnic law and order, not Marsha Blackburn's rigid social conservatism.

What is going on in New York? Biden's margins look pathetically small for a Democrat, different websites have different figures (I have no idea why) but the Guardian has him only up by 12.7%. Nassau, Rockland and Dutchess are red, Trump's over 60% in Staten Island, over 30% in Queens and over 25% in Brooklyn. Have the postal votes just not been counted yet or is Trump really doing abnormally well in his former home state?

As for the future of the GOP, I 100% agree. Bible bashing and white grievance politics are a dead end for them long term, building on their gains with non-white voters (many of whom are not really liberal at all) is likely the way forward.

VBMs not counted.

These NY margins will significantly improve for D's in NY. They returned over 1.2 VBM ballots.
VBM took decades to count for primaries only.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #9579 on: November 05, 2020, 09:54:45 AM »

NYT times reporting the exact number of uncounted ballots in GA is 61,367. Trump lead is 18,590 going into this final Batch. Biden will need to win about 65% of this last batch to take the lead.

It looks like the vast majority of these are metro ATL (Fulton, Clayton and Dekalb) votes, with some Chatham mail-ins thrown in the mix.

I have a strong sense of how this is going to turn out but I'm going to refrain from making a projection. Let's just wait for the final GA SOS update!

CNN posted this (below) about 45 minutes ago.
Is there about 61K votes left to count, or 90K ? This could be important to who wins GA ...

Here's a look at when we'll get updates from local officials today:

    10:30 a.m. ET: Georgia's Secretary of State will hold a news conference. There's currently a 33,000-vote margin between Trump and Biden, and there’s around 90,000 votes remaining to be counted.


Well now Biden is down 18K compared to 33K, so 60K sounds about right.
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Middle-aged Europe
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« Reply #9580 on: November 05, 2020, 09:55:21 AM »



It's probably just another "we claim victory in Nevada and file a lawsuit against the counting process" thing.
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
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« Reply #9581 on: November 05, 2020, 09:55:26 AM »

NYT times reporting the exact number of uncounted ballots in GA is 61,367. Trump lead is 18,590 going into this final Batch. Biden will need to win about 65% of this last batch to take the lead.

It looks like the vast majority of these are metro ATL (Fulton, Clayton and Dekalb) votes, with some Chatham mail-ins thrown in the mix.

I have a strong sense of how this is going to turn out but I'm going to refrain from making a projection. Let's just wait for the final GA SOS update!

CNN posted this (below) about 45 minutes ago.
Is there about 61K votes left to count, or 90K ? This could be important to who wins GA ...

Here's a look at when we'll get updates from local officials today:

    10:30 a.m. ET: Georgia's Secretary of State will hold a news conference. There's currently a 33,000-vote margin between Trump and Biden, and there’s around 90,000 votes remaining to be counted.


Isn’t this old information that we had last night before everyone went to bed in Fulton County, just hasn’t been updated officially?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #9582 on: November 05, 2020, 09:55:29 AM »

Both parties need a wake up call

NY is a red state without NYC
IL is a red state without Chicago

CA is to the left of NY and IL......

GA is going Blue, and Republicans put to trash gay marriage and abortion in the garbage.

Martina White and Nicole Malliotakis should be the template for the GOP going forward, Northern ethnic law and order, not Marsha Blackburn's rigid social conservatism.

What is going on in New York? Biden's margins look pathetically small for a Democrat, different websites have different figures (I have no idea why) but the Guardian has him only up by 12.7%. Nassau, Rockland and Dutchess are red, Trump's over 60% in Staten Island, over 30% in Queens and over 25% in Brooklyn. Have the postal votes just not been counted yet or is Trump really doing abnormally well in his former home state?

As for the future of the GOP, I 100% agree. Bible bashing and white grievance politics are a dead end for them long term, building on their gains with non-white voters (many of whom are not really liberal at all) is likely the way forward.

VBMs not counted.

These NY margins will significantly improve for D's in NY. They returned over 1.2 VBM ballots.
VBM took decades to count for primaries only.

Have no idea what's going on in NJ though. They zoomed 2.9M counted VERY fast, and now they've basically stopped despite a lot still being out
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riceowl
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« Reply #9583 on: November 05, 2020, 09:55:33 AM »

NYT times reporting the exact number of uncounted ballots in GA is 61,367. Trump lead is 18,590 going into this final Batch. Biden will need to win about 65% of this last batch to take the lead.

It looks like the vast majority of these are metro ATL (Fulton, Clayton and Dekalb) votes, with some Chatham mail-ins thrown in the mix.

I have a strong sense of how this is going to turn out but I'm going to refrain from making a projection. Let's just wait for the final GA SOS update!

CNN posted this (below) about 45 minutes ago.
Is there about 61K votes left to count, or 90K ? This could be important to who wins GA ...

Here's a look at when we'll get updates from local officials today:

    10:30 a.m. ET: Georgia's Secretary of State will hold a news conference. There's currently a 33,000-vote margin between Trump and Biden, and there’s around 90,000 votes remaining to be counted.


Well now Biden is down 18K compared to 33K, so 60K sounds about right.

And if he nets 15 for every 30...!
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BigSerg
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« Reply #9584 on: November 05, 2020, 09:55:55 AM »

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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #9585 on: November 05, 2020, 09:55:59 AM »

Both parties need a wake up call

NY is a red state without NYC
IL is a red state without Chicago

CA is to the left of NY and IL......

GA is going Blue, and Republicans put to trash gay marriage and abortion in the garbage.

Martina White and Nicole Malliotakis should be the template for the GOP going forward, Northern ethnic law and order, not Marsha Blackburn's rigid social conservatism.

What is going on in New York? Biden's margins look pathetically small for a Democrat, different websites have different figures (I have no idea why) but the Guardian has him only up by 12.7%. Nassau, Rockland and Dutchess are red, Trump's over 60% in Staten Island, over 30% in Queens and over 25% in Brooklyn. Have the postal votes just not been counted yet or is Trump really doing abnormally well in his former home state?

As for the future of the GOP, I 100% agree. Bible bashing and white grievance politics are a dead end for them long term, building on their gains with non-white voters (many of whom are not really liberal at all) is likely the way forward.

VBMs not counted.

These NY margins will significantly improve for D's in NY. They returned over 1.2 VBM ballots.
VBM took decades to count for primaries only.

Have no idea what's going on in NJ though. They zoomed 2.9M counted VERY fast, and now they've basically stopped despite a lot still being out

NJ said they aren't counting in person ballots for several days
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #9586 on: November 05, 2020, 09:56:13 AM »


Only if Republican officials let him. They could very well abandon him; most of the care about their own interests more than Trump’s.
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Astatine
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« Reply #9587 on: November 05, 2020, 09:56:33 AM »



It's probably just another "we claim victory in Nevada and file a lawsuit against the counting process" thing.
He looks so unhealthily orange in this picture, is it because of anger that his small ego has been attacked?
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #9588 on: November 05, 2020, 09:56:44 AM »

So what do we actually think the Trump campaign announces in half an hour? It can't just be "stealing the election", they've already declared victory and it hasn't stopped any of the counts. I doubt it's a concession either.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #9589 on: November 05, 2020, 09:57:34 AM »

So what do we actually think the Trump campaign announces in half an hour? It can't just be "stealing the election", they've already declared victory and it hasn't stopped any of the counts. I doubt it's a concession either.
They already said.  Its a lawsuit saying that 10k people voted in Nevada who dont' live in the state/moved out.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #9590 on: November 05, 2020, 09:57:56 AM »

10:30 eastern or pacific?
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Astatine
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« Reply #9591 on: November 05, 2020, 09:58:11 AM »

So what do we actually think the Trump campaign announces in half an hour? It can't just be "stealing the election", they've already declared victory and it hasn't stopped any of the counts. I doubt it's a concession either.
Announcing that the past 4 years were a big comedy project to see how far someone as clowny as Trump can go?
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Malarkey Decider
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« Reply #9592 on: November 05, 2020, 09:58:16 AM »

Both parties need a wake up call

NY is a red state without NYC
IL is a red state without Chicago

CA is to the left of NY and IL......

GA is going Blue, and Republicans put to trash gay marriage and abortion in the garbage.

Martina White and Nicole Malliotakis should be the template for the GOP going forward, Northern ethnic law and order, not Marsha Blackburn's rigid social conservatism.

What is going on in New York? Biden's margins look pathetically small for a Democrat, different websites have different figures (I have no idea why) but the Guardian has him only up by 12.7%. Nassau, Rockland and Dutchess are red, Trump's over 60% in Staten Island, over 30% in Queens and over 25% in Brooklyn. Have the postal votes just not been counted yet or is Trump really doing abnormally well in his former home state?

As for the future of the GOP, I 100% agree. Bible bashing and white grievance politics are a dead end for them long term, building on their gains with non-white voters (many of whom are not really liberal at all) is likely the way forward.

VBMs not counted.

These NY margins will significantly improve for D's in NY. They returned over 1.2 VBM ballots.
VBM took decades to count for primaries only.

Have no idea what's going on in NJ though. They zoomed 2.9M counted VERY fast, and now they've basically stopped despite a lot still being out

NJ did VBM first, then waiting a few days for in person. That's why NJ looked so good for Dems.
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #9593 on: November 05, 2020, 09:58:20 AM »

So what do we actually think the Trump campaign announces in half an hour? It can't just be "stealing the election", they've already declared victory and it hasn't stopped any of the counts. I doubt it's a concession either.
They already said.  Its a lawsuit saying that 10k people voted in Nevada who dont' live in the state/moved out.

So a nothingburger. Good to know.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #9594 on: November 05, 2020, 09:58:35 AM »

Looking at the exit polls (yes, i know they tend to be flawed but whatever), 48% of voters said that the fight against COVID is going well, while a similar percentage said the economy was good or excellent.


Shows what a sick society we have and the tight grip the conservative propaganda machine has on people.


No, this shows how terrible the MSM and the people who live in their bubble are.  If it's not salacious innuendo, panic porn or fake scandal they don't care about/report it; it's no surprise many Americans don't listen.  "Real life" wins out over hyper-produced news flashes and concern pundits at the end of the day.   
Wow I forgot how far down the rabbit hole you went.

me and apparently the 48% of voters in the exit poll, lol
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #9595 on: November 05, 2020, 09:58:52 AM »


Oh dear, what is this sh*t now.
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Coolface Sock #42069
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« Reply #9596 on: November 05, 2020, 09:58:59 AM »

So what do we actually think the Trump campaign announces in half an hour? It can't just be "stealing the election", they've already declared victory and it hasn't stopped any of the counts. I doubt it's a concession either.
Won’t be a concession. It’s too early, and i doubt Trump will concede at all.
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Middle-aged Europe
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« Reply #9597 on: November 05, 2020, 09:59:12 AM »

So what do we actually think the Trump campaign announces in half an hour? It can't just be "stealing the election", they've already declared victory and it hasn't stopped any of the counts. I doubt it's a concession either.
They already said.  Its a lawsuit saying that 10k people voted in Nevada who dont' live in the state/moved out.

Is this another of Trump's projection things in which he did the deed himself but preemptively accuses the other side of having done it?
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compucomp
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« Reply #9598 on: November 05, 2020, 09:59:32 AM »

So what do we actually think the Trump campaign announces in half an hour? It can't just be "stealing the election", they've already declared victory and it hasn't stopped any of the counts. I doubt it's a concession either.
They already said.  Its a lawsuit saying that 10k people voted in Nevada who dont' live in the state/moved out.

This is kind of silly, if you own a property or are a college student, you may well be registered in a locality where you don't actually reside. Trump doesn't actually live in Florida right now.
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rhg2052
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« Reply #9599 on: November 05, 2020, 09:59:37 AM »

So what do we actually think the Trump campaign announces in half an hour? It can't just be "stealing the election", they've already declared victory and it hasn't stopped any of the counts. I doubt it's a concession either.
Announcing that the past 4 years were a big comedy project to see how far someone as clowny as Trump can go?

Trump takes off his face, Masked Singer-style and reveals he was Andy Kaufman all along!
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