2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[pppolitics]

https://twitter.com/IntelDoge/status/1324170255057510400?s=20

This reminds me of 2018 when Maricopa was supposed to save McSally.

[MillennialModerate]

Yikes Arizona feels like it’s sliding away

[Splash]

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1324170428332470272

[Brittain33]

AP has called AZ for Biden.

Didn’t they do that several hours ago?

That’s the joke

Sorry, I took today off and skipped 200+ pages

[ProgressiveModerate]

Yikes Arizona feels like it’s sliding away

These are not the numbers Trump needs to reclaimed the lead

[politics_king]

Apologies if this was asked recently, but what are the current predictions for North Carolina? I know it's been called for Trump and Tillis, but how close - or how distant - could it end up being in the end?

Not sure about the other networks, but NYT has not called NC for either Trump or Tillis.

Tillis declared victory last night, for what its worth. lol

That'll be great if the absentee ballots that come in say otherwise lol

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Yikes Arizona feels like it’s sliding away

Why does it feel like that?

[Bootes Void]

On Predictit Trump chances shot up to 30c from 15

[GALeftist]

Yikes Arizona feels like it’s sliding away

These are not the numbers Trump needs to reclaimed the lead

Not worth it, friend.

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/IntelDoge/status/1324171338739638274?s=20

[GeneralMacArthur]

Biden earlier today said "only three times in our country has an incumbent election been defeated, this would be the fourth."

He mis-spoke, it's actually 3 times in the last century.  The losers are:
George H.W. Bush
Jimmy Carter
Herbert Hoover
William Howard Taft
Grover Cleveland
Martin van Buren
John Quincy Adams
John Adams

I also would be hesitant to count HW and MVB as "single-term presidents" because they both explicitly ran as VP successors to their incredibly popular presidents, so HW was really a third Reagan term and MVB a third Jackson term.  Cleveland also can't really be characterized as a loser since he came back and won later.  You could also argue that Taft was a third Roosevelt term, although he didn't end up governing that way -- you could also definitely make the case that progressivism won the 1912 election, and Taft would have gotten most or all of Roosevelt's 28% to handily defeat Wilson, who only got 41%.

That leaves you with just Carter, Hoover, and the Adams family as presidents who were so bad that the public gave them the boot after one term.

[GALeftist]

On Predictit Trump chances shot up to 30c from 15

Free money, then. Why are they like this?

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Democrats just didn't do well on their own--which is why the Senate races were underwhelming and House seats were lost.  

My working theory is that Trump brought a bunch of people out of the woodwork into his coalition. These people were historically not very political and don't vote often (if ever) and tend to be low-info but were swept up in "Trumpmania" over the last few years. I suspect these people would be 1) possibly screened out in a "likely voter" model and 2)would vote straight R up and down the ticket because TRUMP

They sat out 2018, and probably will sit out 2022 as well.

[MillennialModerate]

Yikes Arizona feels like it’s sliding away

These are not the numbers Trump needs to reclaimed the lead

MSNBC said he needed around 60% and it was 59+%

[roxas11]

Yikes Arizona feels like it’s sliding away

It is sliding away.......from Trump lol

[charcuterie]

Biden earlier today said "only three times in our country has an incumbent election been defeated, this would be the fourth."

He mis-spoke, it's actually 3 times in the last century.  The losers are:
George H.W. Bush
Jimmy Carter
Herbert Hoover
William Howard Taft
Grover Cleveland
Martin van Buren
John Quincy Adams
John Adams

Really?? That's it?? That's really shocking to me, I would've expected more cases.

[Illini Moderate]

Yikes Arizona feels like it’s sliding away

These are not the numbers Trump needs to reclaimed the lead

MSNBC said he needed around 60% and it was 59+%

You’re an idiot. Shut up

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Biden earlier today said "only three times in our country has an incumbent election been defeated, this would be the fourth."

He mis-spoke, it's actually 3 times in the last century.  The losers are:
George H.W. Bush
Jimmy Carter
Herbert Hoover
William Howard Taft
Grover Cleveland
Martin van Buren
John Quincy Adams
John Adams

You forgot Ben Harrison and Ford. Also, there was Pierce in the primary.

[musicblind]

On Predictit Trump chances shot up to 30c from 15

Free money, then. Why are they like this?

They're in a cult.

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

Ummm....are these AZ numbers bad for Biden?

[pppolitics]

New results from Maricopa County are beginning to come in, with Biden maintaining a lead. This is just the beginning in Arizona, with 600,000 votes still outstanding

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/1324170823779966977?s=20

[Progressive Pessimist]

Apologies if this was asked recently, but what are the current predictions for North Carolina? I know it's been called for Trump and Tillis, but how close - or how distant - could it end up being in the end?

Not sure about the other networks, but NYT has not called NC for either Trump or Tillis.

Tillis declared victory last night, for what its worth. lol

That'll be great if the absentee ballots that come in say otherwise lol

It would be historically sexy if that could put Cunningham over-the-top, but I'm not so hopeful. North Carolina disappoints again, but this really was a winnable race at both the Senate and presidential level. Democrats shouldn't give up on the state...unlike f***ing Florida!

[Illiniwek]

I can't believe after all that time, they only reported that many votes.

[Niemeyerite]

I'm not a doomer, far from it, but I'd like to know exactly why AZ is already called for Biden. Does anyone know the reason? Because apparently the numbers are there for a Trump comeback in the state. Can someone help me in understanding this? Other than "FOX news called it they must know something we don't" please! 😊