2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

https://mobile.twitter.com/DoomConnoisseur/status/

This is simply not true. 270-268.

[Alben Barkley]

It would be a REAL mess if Trump pulls ahead in NV only for Biden to win because of late arriving mail ballots this week, and that’s decisive. I don't think that’s likely though.

[Zanas]

In WI 30% of Kenosha county is also still out and it's presently 60-38 for Trump...

[Badger]

Many of y'all appear to be forgetting the concept of the "Red Mirage".

PA, WI, and MI are the exact reverse of that, where once again DEM Cities in Swing States in the Midwest are the last to turn out the vote.

Keep Calm, don't panic, fundamental numbers look good in all three States (Plus we got AZ and NE-02 and possibly GA & NC as backups).

Work Swing Shift West Coast, so nowhere close to crash yet tonight.

Is NC not already gone?

Is it?

Says who?

Trump only up 77k by NYT numbers and plenty of votes outstanding (Most likely heavily DEM).

Not to nitpick my friend, but I'm highly curious. What's the latest word on what votes are out there in NC? Numbers? Sources? Presumably all mail in ballots

I mean, you can look yourself at the outstanding votes.
A large chunk of them are in Orange County.

Where exactly can I see this? We have any numbers on how many votes are still outstanding?

[VBM]

https://mobile.twitter.com/DoomConnoisseur/status/

This is simply not true. 270-268.

Just mocking the doomers lol

[Platypus]

There's still a lot of votes to count in Kenosha, too, and they're pretty much all mail-in, no?

[DaleCooper]

Can somebody give me an unbiased, unemotional overview of the situation in Nevada right now? I'm feeling worried about it but I'm not entirely sure what's going on there.

[Splash]

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1323937402889515008

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

306-232 is now favored in Predictit

[n1240]

Kenosha actually finished mail a while ago

https://twitter.com/CassidyWtv/status/1323916855556349954?s=19

[Zanas]

Many of y'all appear to be forgetting the concept of the "Red Mirage".

PA, WI, and MI are the exact reverse of that, where once again DEM Cities in Swing States in the Midwest are the last to turn out the vote.

Keep Calm, don't panic, fundamental numbers look good in all three States (Plus we got AZ and NE-02 and possibly GA & NC as backups).

Work Swing Shift West Coast, so nowhere close to crash yet tonight.

Is NC not already gone?

Is it?

Says who?

Trump only up 77k by NYT numbers and plenty of votes outstanding (Most likely heavily DEM).

Not to nitpick my friend, but I'm highly curious. What's the latest word on what votes are out there in NC? Numbers? Sources? Presumably all mail in ballots

I mean, you can look yourself at the outstanding votes.
A large chunk of them are in Orange County.

Where exactly can I see this? We have any numbers on how many votes are still outstanding?

Well on MSNBC or CNN you can know what's the % reporting. I'm never sure what exactly that measures, if it's precincts or votes, but it gives you an indication.

[soundchaser]

Kenosha actually finished mail a while ago

https://twitter.com/CassidyWtv/status/1323916855556349954?s=19

I don’t think DDHQ has posted them yet, although correct me if I’m wrong.

[Platypus]

For context, Kenosha was basically a tie in 2016, so 60% for Trump in a broadly suburban county seems unlikely... in any other suburban county in the country. Given the events of this year there, anything from 60% Biden to 60% Trump seems possible.

[gf20202]

Kenosha actually finished mail a while ago

https://twitter.com/CassidyWtv/status/1323916855556349954?s=19

I posted that some time ago. We are waiting for Green Bay/Brown.

[JerryArkansas]

Kenosha actually finished mail a while ago

https://twitter.com/CassidyWtv/status/1323916855556349954?s=19

I don’t think DDHQ has posted them yet, although correct me if I’m wrong.

They are posted, thats why he's up 19 thousand on their site.

[gf20202]

We had an issue with the printer on one of our machines too...I was stuck at the precinct for an extra hour because I had to sign *one* receipt that wouldn’t print.

America’s election infrastructure remains terrible.

Why are absentee ballots being the last to be counted despite being the first to be received?

It looks incredibly suspicious that votes are suddenly materializing but only once they already knew what Trumps lead was from the people who turned up in person to vote.

Oh god this is gonna be the conspiracy theory isn’t it?

I personally don't like conspiracy theories and I am not saying that anything untoward has happened, but I would like something who knows about this sort of thing to explain.

I've just never seen a situation where one candidate is clearly ahead in so many states, only for that lead to suddenly diminish and in some cases disappear just with the processing of 'one batch' of votes.

That's literally what just happened in Florida and North Carolina earlier in reverse. People were predicting this phenomena all week.

[Badger]

We had an issue with the printer on one of our machines too...I was stuck at the precinct for an extra hour because I had to sign *one* receipt that wouldn’t print.

America’s election infrastructure remains terrible.

Why are absentee ballots being the last to be counted despite being the first to be received?

It looks incredibly suspicious that votes are suddenly materializing but only once they already knew what Trumps lead was from the people who turned up in person to vote.

Oh god this is gonna be the conspiracy theory isn’t it?

I personally don't like conspiracy theories and I am not saying that anything untoward has happened, but I would like something who knows about this sort of thing to explain.

I've just never seen a situation where one candidate is clearly ahead in so many states, only for that lead to suddenly diminish and in some cases disappear just with the processing of 'one batch' of votes.

Well, there was this gargantuan Leon usual number of mail-in votes to be counted last do this thing called covid-19.

I'm not trying to be overly snarky here, but this is been pretty widely reported for months now.

If you want to go down that road, Democrats would be just as Justified - - that is to save not much at all - - to say how could there have been this big of failure pulling when even 2016 didn't screw it up this bad, and doesn't that indicate probable Shenanigans?

The answer of course in both cases is a flat no.

[Panda Express]

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1323937402889515008

whew

[DaleCooper]

So is Green Bay in Brown County essentially all that's left to report in Wisconsin? Is it mostly mail in votes?

[Zanas]

Can somebody give me an unbiased, unemotional overview of the situation in Nevada right now? I'm feeling worried about it but I'm not entirely sure what's going on there.

Most outstanding votes, in raw numbers, are in Clark and Washoe, and while Washoe is very underwhelming for Biden, the outstanding votes everywhere seem to be prominently early votes and not E-day votes. So the margin should tick back up a bit. Biden should win this by 1-2 pt in the end, which is obviously appalling.

[BlueSwan]

Uncle Joe finally over 50% nationally. Overall lead of 2,2 million votes and counting.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/JJansaSDS/status/1323913419200864256
Slovenian Prime Minister (very much a trumpist Ideologically) first World Leader to congratulate Trump. Not sure this will age well. Could have a real bad impact on relations if Biden wins.

LOL, this is bold. Extremely stupid, but bold.

Though, I think nor Biden or Dems will care a bit about it. They've (likely) lost Senate for god's sake.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

NATHANIEL RAKICH
NOV. 4, 5:38 AM
It sounds like we will soon get results in Green Bay, one of the few localities in Wisconsin where we know we are still missing some results.

[Splash]

I don't think the Kenosha results include the absentee ballots yet - at least that's what I am inferring from their website.

https://www.kenoshacounty.org/1405/Current-Election-Results

[Panda Express]

So is Green Bay in Brown County essentially all that's left to report in Wisconsin? Is it mostly mail in votes?

La Crosse and Eau Claire are both at 93% but both lean D so that should be a few more votes for Biden