2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 649377 times)
n1240
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« Reply #12975 on: November 06, 2020, 12:41:22 AM »

DDHQ just had a new drop of Arizona votes, probably not from Maricopa.

Drop of 6,691 votes...and Trump won...44.06% of them so Biden netted 795.

And for the doomsayers, 44.06 would be less than 57% or 59% percent.

It was from Coconino so it was expected to be favorable for Biden. Biden is still on good pace to win because Trump probably can't get enough from Maricopa.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #12976 on: November 06, 2020, 12:41:46 AM »

Phil Mattingly... Love
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pppolitics
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« Reply #12977 on: November 06, 2020, 12:41:48 AM »
« Edited: November 06, 2020, 12:45:57 AM by pppolitics »

I have to say, Biden maps are definitely much more doable for other Democrats than Obama's maps.

Obama's maps depends heavily on Obama's personality and as soon as Obama is not on the ticket, the thing collapsed.

Hence why Michelle, ma belle, and "Madam President" are words that go together well for a plurality of Democrats, apparently.

Exactly.

If Michelle Obama decides to run for president, she would get the inside straight.
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #12978 on: November 06, 2020, 12:42:13 AM »

It's clear Raffensberger doesn't want GA to be the one who puts Biden over 270. They'll probably wait till PA flip before reporting.
But why though?? It would be epic if GA is the state that ends the election

Because it will give the election to Biden. They were reporting past midnight last night but they chose to go home early tonight.
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n1240
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« Reply #12979 on: November 06, 2020, 12:42:17 AM »

It's clear Raffensberger doesn't want GA to be the one who puts Biden over 270. They'll probably wait till PA flip before reporting.

Don't think he really has control over this, Clayton County can individually upload their results to their county Clarity page whenever they want as far as I know, just the statewide website won't pick it up. Media networks will pick up the Clayton County results though if they do post them to their county site.
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musicblind
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« Reply #12980 on: November 06, 2020, 12:44:55 AM »


Indeed.
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #12981 on: November 06, 2020, 12:45:24 AM »

DDHQ just had a new drop of Arizona votes, probably not from Maricopa.

Drop of 6,691 votes...and Trump won...44.06% of them so Biden netted 795.

And for the doomsayers, 44.06 would be less than 57% or 59% percent.

It was from Coconino so it was expected to be favorable for Biden. Biden is still on good pace to win because Trump probably can't get enough from Maricopa.

Coconino was 64-36 Biden, so Trump closing the gap by 16 points is a pretty solid result.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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« Reply #12982 on: November 06, 2020, 12:45:29 AM »

It's clear Raffensberger doesn't want GA to be the one who puts Biden over 270. They'll probably wait till PA flip before reporting.
But why though?? It would be epic if GA is the state that ends the election

Because it will give the election to Biden. They were reporting past midnight last night but they chose to go home early tonight.

Wouldn't GA just push Biden to 269? AZ/NV/PA would be the state to push past 270.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #12983 on: November 06, 2020, 12:45:58 AM »

CNN: Biden just picked up (96) votes in GA....

Any idea where Atlas Hive?
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gf20202
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« Reply #12984 on: November 06, 2020, 12:46:19 AM »

D- Kornacki knockoff Phil Mattingly on CNN just botched the last Arizona update horrendously. He said Trump netted votes. He didn't. Just awful.
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SevenEleven
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« Reply #12985 on: November 06, 2020, 12:46:50 AM »

Newsflash: Trump is losing every uncalled state besides Alaska.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #12986 on: November 06, 2020, 12:47:18 AM »

Trump up 1,479 in latest Georgia update.
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n1240
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« Reply #12987 on: November 06, 2020, 12:47:23 AM »

Clayton still posting their results very slowly

Biden 249
Trump 19

Believe there are still around 4k votes left in the county.
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musicblind
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« Reply #12988 on: November 06, 2020, 12:47:28 AM »

Newsflash: Trump is losing every uncalled state besides Alaska.

You're forgetting NC, right?
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Earthling
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« Reply #12989 on: November 06, 2020, 12:47:38 AM »

It's clear Raffensberger doesn't want GA to be the one who puts Biden over 270. They'll probably wait till PA flip before reporting.
But why though?? It would be epic if GA is the state that ends the election

Because it will give the election to Biden. They were reporting past midnight last night but they chose to go home early tonight.

Wouldn't GA just push Biden to 269? AZ/NV/PA would be the state to push past 270.

Isn't Biden at 264 on AP and Fox? If Georgia declares then they will have to proclaim Biden as the winner.    
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« Reply #12990 on: November 06, 2020, 12:48:06 AM »

It's clear Raffensberger doesn't want GA to be the one who puts Biden over 270. They'll probably wait till PA flip before reporting.
But why though?? It would be epic if GA is the state that ends the election

Because it will give the election to Biden. They were reporting past midnight last night but they chose to go home early tonight.

Wouldn't GA just push Biden to 269? AZ/NV/PA would be the state to push past 270.

Isn't Biden at 264 on AP and Fox? If Georgia declares then they will have to proclaim Biden as the winner.    
Georgia wont be called until after a recount
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SevenEleven
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« Reply #12991 on: November 06, 2020, 12:48:18 AM »

Newsflash: Trump is losing every uncalled state besides Alaska.

You're forgetting NC, right?

Biden is going to win NC. Ballots have until the 12th to arrive.
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2952-0-0
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« Reply #12992 on: November 06, 2020, 12:48:39 AM »

The networks won't call GA until every last vote was counted, just like how they held off on WI even after Biden took the lead with the Milwaukee vote dump.
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n1240
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« Reply #12993 on: November 06, 2020, 12:48:49 AM »

DDHQ just had a new drop of Arizona votes, probably not from Maricopa.

Drop of 6,691 votes...and Trump won...44.06% of them so Biden netted 795.

And for the doomsayers, 44.06 would be less than 57% or 59% percent.

It was from Coconino so it was expected to be favorable for Biden. Biden is still on good pace to win because Trump probably can't get enough from Maricopa.

Coconino was 64-36 Biden, so Trump closing the gap by 16 points is a pretty solid result.

Yeah it's fine for Biden, Trump if you consider the swing in Maricopa needed, Trump needs about 22 point swing, so Coconino swinging by 16% is fine for maintaining a lead.
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Rand
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« Reply #12994 on: November 06, 2020, 12:48:59 AM »


Zip it up.
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #12995 on: November 06, 2020, 12:49:16 AM »

Newsflash: Trump is losing every uncalled state besides Alaska.

You're forgetting NC, right?

Biden is going to win NC. Ballots have until the 12th to arrive.

Did Democrats found some ballots in a classroom in Durham?
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #12996 on: November 06, 2020, 12:49:33 AM »

Newsflash: Trump is losing every uncalled state besides Alaska.

You're forgetting NC, right?

Biden is going to win NC. Ballots have until the 12th to arrive.

Doesn't he have to win a large % of the ballots?
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McGarnagle
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« Reply #12997 on: November 06, 2020, 12:49:46 AM »

If Biden wins every uncalled state besides Alaska, then I matched my 2012 prediction and again, only missed Florida.

I got the margins off but then again, so did nearly everyone.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #12998 on: November 06, 2020, 12:50:54 AM »

Newsflash: Trump is losing every uncalled state besides Alaska.

You're forgetting NC, right?

NC is potentially doable for Biden (although perhaps a bit of a stretch).

There are over 2x votes outstanding compared to the size of the Trump lead....

Most of these are in the heavily DEM strongholds so a 2:1 Biden lead could do it (Even w/o late arriving ballot anticipated lawsuits).

Figure you already know that being a DEM from NC, but figured I would put it out there for those who haven't been tracking, and I had a few people ask me why I didn't consider NC to be a lock for Trump in the early Morning hours after Election Night.   Wink
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iamaganster123
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« Reply #12999 on: November 06, 2020, 12:51:13 AM »

Newsflash: Trump is losing every uncalled state besides Alaska.

You're forgetting NC, right?

Biden is going to win NC. Ballots have until the 12th to arrive.
NC is a heavy lift, how about the senate race?
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