WI-SEN 2022 Megathread: Who stole my cheese?

[Ferguson97]

Interesting...

https://twitter.com/natashakorecki/status/1582079242808201217

These are things you do when you're very confident about your chances of winning.

[SnowLabrador]

Interesting...

https://twitter.com/natashakorecki/status/1582079242808201217

These are things you do when you're very confident about your chances of winning.

I mean, unironically speaking, Johnson should be confident. He's leading in all the polls now, and since when has polling underestimated Democrats in Wisconsin?

[If my soul was made of stone]

Interesting...

https://twitter.com/natashakorecki/status/1582079242808201217

These are things you do when you're very confident about your chances of winning.

I mean, unironically speaking, Johnson should be confident. He's leading in all the polls now, and since when has polling underestimated Democrats in Wisconsin?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Paranoid_Style_in_American_Politics

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Interesting...

https://twitter.com/natashakorecki/status/1582079242808201217

These are things you do when you're very confident about your chances of winning.

I mean, unironically speaking, Johnson should be confident. He's leading in all the polls now, and since when has polling underestimated Democrats in Wisconsin?

Lol this race is a Tossup it's a 303 map in 2020

[GeorgiaModerate]

I've split the side discussion on election fairness etc. into its own thread.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://www.yahoo.com/news/former-packers-coach-mike-holmgren-201026946.html

Mike Holmgren campaigns for Barnes if we win WI it's over

[walleye26]

I know yard signs don’t vote, but I’ve driven all around the state and it’s just sad to see Johnson’s signs outnumbering Barnes’ 15-1.

What are you expecting the county map to look like? I'm assuming it will be similar to 2020, with Barnes winning largely the same counties that Biden did, and with rural areas swinging heavily Republican compared to 2016.

I think it will be the 2020 map + Barnes narrowly winning Columbia County, maybe a Driftless county that has a college (Grant, Dunn, or Pierce).

[walleye26]

I know yard signs don’t vote, but I’ve driven all around the state and it’s just sad to see Johnson’s signs outnumbering Barnes’ 15-1.

? I live in a rural area and if anything, the typical democrat homes have been putting their signs up more reliably than the republican homes and id say that's true of most areas ive driven through in the state.   Its also one of the most useless metrics of voter support since only partisans who are loud and proud put out signs anyways.

What part of the state are you in? I have been driving through Chippewa, Clark, Rusk, Jackson, Eau Claire, Juneau, Monroe, Sauk, Portage, Marathon, and Columbia.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Ds won AK and completetive in MT we can certainly win WI Senate and Tammy Baldwin is gonna win anyways in 24 Es can forget Trump or DeSantis winning with WI with Baldwin, she is much stronger than Barnes and same tier as Evers it's worth noting Evers has a Latino LT Gov that helps him with WC voters too

[AncestralDemocrat.]

https://twitter.com/yesh222/status/1582763358700249088?t=qPr4eA3lvV-SS4d6qQt3Hw&...

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

Barnes was the wrong candidate for this race. Johnson remains the luckiest guy in Republican politics.

[SnowLabrador]

The double standard is sickening. For supporting racial justice, Barnes is a "radical", but for all of Johnson's antics, he's still seen as more reasonable. And this is the state that reelected Baldwin by 11 points in 2018 (though, for what it's worth, I think she narrowly loses in 2024.)

[President Johnson]

Barnes was the wrong candidate for this race. Johnson remains the luckiest guy in Republican politics.

Looks like, yeah. I always thought Mark Pocan would have been a good candidate.

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

The double standard is sickening. For supporting racial justice, Barnes is a "radical", but for all of Johnson's antics, he's still seen as more reasonable. And this is the state that reelected Baldwin by 11 points in 2018 (though, for what it's worth, I think she narrowly loses in 2024.)

Hey, quick question, do you know who the guy he's thanking for his support of BLM is?

[henster]

https://twitter.com/yesh222/status/1582763358700249088?t=qPr4eA3lvV-SS4d6qQt3Hw&...

I really hope the media looks into what the hell happened in the primary where everyone dropped out weeks before the election and backed Barnes. It seemed very organized and coordinated, did it come from Schumer? Probably the worst Dem Senate candidate for a major race in the past decade.

[Spectator]

https://twitter.com/yesh222/status/1582763358700249088?t=qPr4eA3lvV-SS4d6qQt3Hw&...

I really hope the media looks into what the hell happened in the primary where everyone dropped out weeks before the election and backed Barnes. It seemed very organized and coordinated, did it come from Schumer? Probably the worst Dem Senate candidate for a major race in the past decade.

It’s like the DSCC for some reason decided to poll UW Madison students on who their ideal Senator would be and went with that. The kind of people that think the social justice performative act is a lot more popular than in reality.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Barnes was the wrong candidate for this race. Johnson remains the luckiest guy in Republican politics.

Have we voted yet, Fetterman is down by the same amount of polls now 5 I wouldn't be Dooming until after it's all over I still haven't moved my prediction except for FL and TX

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The double standard is sickening. For supporting racial justice, Barnes is a "radical", but for all of Johnson's antics, he's still seen as more reasonable. And this is the state that reelected Baldwin by 11 points in 2018 (though, for what it's worth, I think she narrowly loses in 2024.)

You tend to Doom even before the polls close the only person assured victory are Abbott and DeSantis that's up by 11

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://www.yahoo.com/news/wisconsin-u-senate-election-updates-120049254.html

Obama endorses Barnes on TV he will do the same for Fetterman

[Koharu]

Y'all remember the pre-primary polls? Especially the one that came out and then the other candidates dropped almost immediately?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We're gonna get some WI polls next week most of polls have Evers ahead anyways I seriously doubt Barnes underpolled Evers just like Fetterman isn't gonna underpoll Shapiro that much

[Woody]

Title. RoJo is favored heading into November.

[SaneDemocrat]

Too many stupid comments

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Remarks from around 2020 were too fresh and too radical to begin with, also he was a challenger going up against an incumbent, which is hard to begin with.

[SnowLabrador]

The reply to Iran's Supreme Leader from 2015 probably didn't help, even if it's not so bad when you look into the full context. By far the biggest factor, however, is that he was running against a Republican incumbent in a red-leaning state in a red-leaning year. Even a far better candidate would have had an uphill battle.