NV Caucus Results Thread (doors close at 2 CT)
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Author Topic: NV Caucus Results Thread (doors close at 2 CT)  (Read 50139 times)
JerryArkansas
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« Reply #100 on: February 22, 2020, 01:56:34 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on February 22, 2020, 01:50:53 PM
Looks like turnout is gonna surge past 2016.
I mean with 75 thousand votes early that was going to happen no matter what.  Now if it overtakes 2008, thats the real question.
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Scott the Aussie
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« Reply #101 on: February 22, 2020, 01:57:20 PM »
Quote from: 👁️👁️ on February 22, 2020, 01:42:02 PM
Quote from: Mehmentum on February 22, 2020, 01:39:19 PM
Is it possible that the early vote was disproportionately old, leaving caucus day mostly young?  There was that Emerson poll that had Buttigieg doing well with the early vote and Sanders crushing it on caucus day.

Could well be. Hopefully not too many of the youngs are put off by the rain. So if Bernie loses via the early vote but wins on caucus day (with lower turnout), we all know to blame the rain.

The Emerson poll still had Bernie ahead in early voting
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #102 on: February 22, 2020, 01:58:11 PM »
NYT is live.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/02/22/us/elections/results-nevada-caucus.html
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #103 on: February 22, 2020, 01:59:43 PM »
Olds for Steyer. This is the good thing about the Old vote, it is going to be split and wasted partially on pointless candidates like Steyer:
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #104 on: February 22, 2020, 02:02:19 PM »
Wasn't sure if they'd do this still considering early vote, but CNN entrance poll coming in 1 hour
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Crumpets
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« Reply #105 on: February 22, 2020, 02:02:22 PM »
Your friendly quadrennial reminder that having a caucus on a Saturday prevents many observant Jews from participating.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #106 on: February 22, 2020, 02:04:05 PM »
Quote from: Crumpets on February 22, 2020, 02:02:22 PM
Your friendly quadrennial reminder that having a caucus on a Saturday prevents many observant Jews from participating.

Not when there's early voting.
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Scott the Aussie
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« Reply #107 on: February 22, 2020, 02:04:10 PM »
Quote from: Crumpets on February 22, 2020, 02:02:22 PM
Your friendly quadrennial reminder that having a caucus on a Saturday prevents many observant Jews from participating.

But this time they could vote early
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Ebsy
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« Reply #108 on: February 22, 2020, 02:04:58 PM »
Early voting meant that we didn't get a magical jewish caucus this year, very sad.
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #109 on: February 22, 2020, 02:05:24 PM »
Promising, lots of youngs. There are even some Klobuchar youngs, though I guess those are probably her staff, not actual voters:





Castro trying to persuade some Bernie Bros:



This one is like unanimous youngs, even youngs standing out in the rain:



Reporter says lots of Bernie:
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #110 on: February 22, 2020, 02:05:46 PM »
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/02/22/us/elections/results-nevada-caucus.html NYT results page

No Needle this time
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #111 on: February 22, 2020, 02:06:16 PM »
« Edited: February 22, 2020, 02:12:20 PM by Oryxslayer »
CNN saying the Biden campaign is hoping for a first/second place position. This is only the most recent failure of expectation setting from the Biden campaign, something that his campaign has failed at consistently. His campaign should do decently, but shooting high won't help if he drops off once again.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #112 on: February 22, 2020, 02:09:57 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on February 22, 2020, 02:06:16 PM
CNN saying the Biden campaign is hoping for a first/second place position. This is only the most recent failure of expectation setting from the Biden campaign, something that his campaign has failed at consistently.

Umm... lol
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #113 on: February 22, 2020, 02:09:58 PM »
« Edited: February 22, 2020, 02:13:35 PM by Trends are real, and I f**king hate it »

They don't even have a precinct map, just counties (which are useless for obvious reasons). Pathetic.
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #114 on: February 22, 2020, 02:13:16 PM »
Buttigieg looks stronger than expected here.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #115 on: February 22, 2020, 02:14:58 PM »
Based on what exactly?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #116 on: February 22, 2020, 02:15:48 PM »


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bilaps
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« Reply #117 on: February 22, 2020, 02:17:36 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on February 22, 2020, 02:06:16 PM
CNN saying the Biden campaign is hoping for a first/second place position. This is only the most recent failure of expectation setting from the Biden campaign, something that his campaign has failed at consistently. His campaign should do decently, but shooting high won't help if he drops off once again.

They said that if they finish first or second they would consider that a victory.
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #118 on: February 22, 2020, 02:18:02 PM »
Just based on the (admittedly useless) indicators we get at this point-- enthusiasm and whatnot. Might overtake Biden for second.
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Vern
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« Reply #119 on: February 22, 2020, 02:18:39 PM »
what are some good site to see the results?
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RFK Jr.’s Brain Worm
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« Reply #120 on: February 22, 2020, 02:20:46 PM »
Quote from: Vern on February 22, 2020, 02:18:39 PM
what are some good site to see the results?

Decision Desk HQ

You can make a “fake” account. There’s no verification.
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John Dule
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« Reply #121 on: February 22, 2020, 02:21:11 PM »
I will echo what's been said earlier in this thread: I don't see much winnowing happening as a result of this caucus. Klobuchar and Warren have their home states coming soon, and Biden/Steyer have South Carolina to wait around for. Pete and Sanders are leading in delegates; it's impossible to see either of them dropping out as a result of tonight. Gabbard is too insane to drop no matter what.
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #122 on: February 22, 2020, 02:22:50 PM »
Lots of youngs (non-white/Hispanic):
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #123 on: February 22, 2020, 02:23:29 PM »
Reminder as we get close to the entrance poll period, the entrance poll could be rather far off from the final results depending on whether the early vote was incorporated into it's projections.
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YE
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« Reply #124 on: February 22, 2020, 02:23:29 PM »
Quote from: Vern on February 22, 2020, 02:18:39 PM
what are some good site to see the results?

See OP.
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