MA-SEN Megathread: Senator Markey wins

[Oryxslayer]

DD HQ and NYT showing different counties reporting is so annoying.

Imagine calling MA towns counties.

[ajc0918]

DD HQ and NYT showing different counties reporting is so annoying.

Imagine calling MA towns counties.

Oops. Sorry!

[KaiserDave]

Can someone tell me a township to watch.

[Oryxslayer]

First precinct from fall river, no idea if it's EV. 435/158 for Kennedy.

[Mexican Wolf]

If Joe ends up losing this and Amy wins in NJ-2 in November, will his be the Gordon Smith to her Tom Udall?

[Gass3268]

Have to imagine that the Attleboro result on DDHQ should be reversed.

[Oryxslayer]

First 3 precincts in randolph according to NYT. 1124/756 Kennedy. Might be a portent of the minority vote in Boston.

590/312 Markey in the initial 2 Newton precincts. Part of Kennedy's district, but culturally more party of  Markey's base.

[KaiserDave]

Can someone tell me a township to watch.

[Mike88]

First precinct from fall river, no idea if it's EV. 435/158 for Kennedy.

Still early then, but it seems treding Kennedy in the Portuguese-American communities so far. A bit expected, though.

[Skye]

First 3 precincts in randolph according to NYT. 1124/756 Kennedy. Might be a portent of the minority vote in Boston.

590/312 Markey in the initial 2 Newton precincts. Part of Kennedy's district, but culturally more party of  Markey's base.

And his home town.

[WD]

Can someone tell me a township to watch.

Look at the suburban areas around Boston, if Kennedy can’t make inroads there, Markey probably has this.

[Gass3268]

Wow, Springfield flipped hard from Markey to Kennedy there.

[Brittain33]

Wow, Springfield flipped hard from Markey to Kennedy there.

Hmm? DDHQ has only 600 votes for Springfield.

[Brittain33]

DDHQ is reporting 3600 votes in Ipswich, a town of 13,000 people, inflating Markey's lead. I bet there's an extra 6 on both numbers.

[Gass3268]

Wow, Springfield flipped hard from Markey to Kennedy there.

Hmm? DDHQ has only 600 votes for Springfield.

I meant the %.

[redjohn]

Any MA experts have an indication of which way the race likely goes at this (early) point?

[Brittain33]

Any MA experts have an indication of which way the race likely goes at this (early) point?

Too early to say. Neither candidate is running away with it.

[Oryxslayer]

Kennedy winning Haverhill by 55 votes on DDHQ. Markey continues to do well in the north suburbs/exurbs. Overall, I'm just impressed by the number of tight results in towns so far, including a 54/46 lead for Markey in Lowell.

[redjohn]

Any MA experts have an indication of which way the race likely goes at this (early) point?

Too early to say. Neither candidate is running away with it.

If Kennedy loses, I wonder what that means for his future career. On one hand, it's impressive to run against an incumbent and come close to beating them. But it seems he's alienated many progressives by primarying Markey, and he'd come out of this looking pretty bad. I can't imagine him not running for higher office again in the near future.

[Brittain33]

DDHQ is reporting 3600 votes in Ipswich, a town of 13,000 people, inflating Markey's lead. I bet there's an extra 6 on both numbers.

No, I'm wrong, literally 20-25% of the population of many of these towns voted in the primary. That's absolutely unprecedented for a primary. You can see why Trump is scared of mail-in voting.

[Indy Texas 🇺🇦🇵🇸]

Any MA experts have an indication of which way the race likely goes at this (early) point?

Too early to say. Neither candidate is running away with it.

If Kennedy loses, I wonder what that means for his future career. On one hand, it's impressive to run against an incumbent and come close to beating them. But it seems he's alienated many progressives by primarying Markey, and he'd come out of this looking pretty bad. I can't imagine him not running for higher office again in the near future.

It doesn't help that he had no coherent, justifiable reason for running beyond "I'm a Kennedy and I'm bored in the job I have now." If Markey had done something to seriously alienate Democrats or engaged in corrupt behavior, that would have been another thing.

Even the age argument (Markey's 74) rings hollow when you consider he's really not "old" by the standards of the modern Senate. Compare to say, when Barry Goldwater nearly lost in 1980 in part because his opponent argued he was too old to keep up with the job (he was 71 at the time).

[redjohn]

DDHQ is reporting 3600 votes in Ipswich, a town of 13,000 people, inflating Markey's lead. I bet there's an extra 6 on both numbers.

No, I'm wrong, literally 20-25% of the population of many of these towns voted in the primary. That's absolutely unprecedented for a primary. You can see why Trump is scared of mail-in voting.

What a statistic!

[new_patomic]

Is there any indication if what we're seeing is election day vote, or all votes?

[QAnonKelly]

Any MA experts have an indication of which way the race likely goes at this (early) point?

Too early to say. Neither candidate is running away with it.

If Kennedy loses, I wonder what that means for his future career. On one hand, it's impressive to run against an incumbent and come close to beating them. But it seems he's alienated many progressives by primarying Markey, and he'd come out of this looking pretty bad. I can't imagine him not running for higher office again in the near future.

I'd assume he just lays low for a few years and run for the next thing that opens up.

[Brittain33]

DDHQ is reporting 3600 votes in Ipswich, a town of 13,000 people, inflating Markey's lead. I bet there's an extra 6 on both numbers.

No, I'm wrong, literally 20-25% of the population of many of these towns voted in the primary. That's absolutely unprecedented for a primary. You can see why Trump is scared of mail-in voting.

What a statistic!

Wellfleet on Cape Cod: 1198 votes, 2729 population. There are few children living there, but even so.