2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[DrScholl]

Except Latino voters are mixed race and generally look different than whites. This isn't about assimilation, this is about Trump being a good fit for Latino culture (and Black culture, where he relatively gained as well).

What does this even mean?

He has the machismo thing going for him. I will get a lot of sh*t for saying this, but Biden ran a very feminine campaign, advocating mask wearing, not even doing GOTV, etc. It doesn't play in working class minority neighborhoods. Can you think of a less feminine music genre than rap?

Dude what are you talking about

Eh, it should be self-evident. The fact that female rappers didn't breakthrough until the mid-2010s whereas a white male rapper became the biggest on the planet as early as 2000 should tell you something.

You really are not well informed on this. Queen Latifah, Missy Elliott and Lil Kim were on the scene in the 1990 with great popularity. Missy is one of the most respected rappers there is and much more so than a lot of men.

[DrScholl]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1324007806694023169?s=19

Stop posting his trash.

[DrScholl]

One thing is evident and it's that had there been faster vote counting of mail ballots this race probably would have been called already.

[DrScholl]

Is that the first time in recent history Forsyth has given a D more than 30% for president?

fink nooooo

Huh?

Finkenauer lost in IA-01.

The House was pretty bad for Dems all around. We lost a lot of good freshman from Cunningham in SC to Horn in OK to Quetzalcoatl Small in NM. RIP FFs

Cunningham lost? Damn

How many seats will we have at the end of this?

We will probably have lost between 5-10 seats when it's all said and done (we're at 2 pickups and 7 losses right now but we have to wait on CA, NY etc). To be fair, they were low-hanging fruit (many of these districts would have fallen during a Biden midterm anyways) but still disappointing because we lost good talent

It looks like GA-07 will be a flip too, at least

Yes, Bourdeaux has declared victory although McCormick has not conceded.  Since she's at 51.15% with all of Forsyth County in (the more R part of the district) she's got it.

(btw, Forsyth wound up going 67-31 Trump, down from 71-24 in 2016 and not too far off my prediction of 65-35).

Yes.

[DrScholl]

https://twitter.com/travisakers/status/1324025795312906243?s=21

Anemic.

I thought Biden was +17 in WI?  lol

But Trump still lost it. But since it's narrow I guess you are settling for a participation trophy.

[DrScholl]

https://twitter.com/travisakers/status/1324025795312906243?s=21

Anemic.

I thought Biden was +17 in WI?  lol

But Trump still lost it. But since it's narrow I guess you are settling for a participation trophy.

I can be happy with my candidate's overperformance, lol. 

Red avatars trying to spin narrow wins in MI/WI is a bad look when the Atlas consensus was these states would be ~8pt wins for Biden. 

The goal posts keep moving, and the desperation is real.  Enjoy Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell for the next 6 years (at least!)

A win is a win. Or in your case a loss is a loss. Trump is God to you people so him losing is not going to be easy for you to get over.

[DrScholl]

What's going on with Arizona?  I went to bed last night feeling pretty good because Fox/AP called it, then I wake up and see the lead has narrowed to 3%.  Wasn't really expecting the lead to narrow with the outstanding vote being what it is.

AP called it based off data that was not from Edison Research which apparently had an error over how much of the vote was reporting.

[DrScholl]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1324033983882166272?s=19

How can any Trump supporter justify this?

We're working hard to make his vote advantage disappear?  All that's happening is that votes are being counted.  Seriously?  Are you all that stupid?

Some of them really do believe there is a nefarious plot going on here. Win or lose he's going to keep this up so he can raise money off of it. This is the easiest and most foolproof way to earn money he's ever had.

[DrScholl]

Do you not realize there are 375K ballots outstanding in metro Atlanta and Trump is up 87K votes? I feel like you are just ignoring the data and willing Trump to win lol.

How is Georgia looking?

Perdue has easily won.

Trump won narrowly which is miraculous for Dems. The state has been a lost cause for years and especially this cycle. No matter how much of a hard on they get for it - it’s not happening and the fact people still at this hour believe it to have a chance of going Dem just shows the bankruptcy of their political analysis

Don't even bother responding to that poster.

[DrScholl]

Watching the PA and Georgia margins drop minute by minute.

Drip. Drip.

Has Trump margin really dropped much in either?  I'm not seeing any drastic movements yet.

He was up 104k in Georgia earlier but now is down to an 87k lead.

[DrScholl]

There are only 300 votes left to count in Wisconsin.

[DrScholl]

https://twitter.com/BNONews/status/1324046305753260035?s=19

Good luck overturning a 20k vote margin.

[DrScholl]

Any chance Biden can pull Ossoff over 50? I'm guessing no?

Not likely, but Perdue could go under 50% and trigger the runoff.

[DrScholl]

Scott Walker says a recount isn't necessary.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/scott-walker-suggests-biden-s-wisconsin-lead-too-big-for-recount/ar-BB1aGYLa?ocid=Peregrine

Dirty RINO! *punch* /MAGA

[DrScholl]

Susan survives !

https://twitter.com/JamesArkin/status/1324051536620720132?s=19

Ugh. Well, you can at least count on Collins and Murkowski going rogue on legislation votes.

And maybe on court vacancies should any arise.

[DrScholl]

Seems like this thread will be garbage bickering and evidence-free hot takes for the near future.

Side note--is there any way to turn off seeing signatures? Users with huge signatures annoy the sh**t out of me. If I see that photo of Joni Ernst one more time I'm taking a long walk.

If you look under Look and Layout under your profile settings tab you will see a box you can check that says "Don't show users signatures".

[DrScholl]

Arizona was called so I don't know why anyone is worried about it.

[DrScholl]

Arizona was called.

Where?

AP called it last night.

[DrScholl]

Lmao

[DrScholl]

Trump's going to try and run again in 4 years, isn't he? Ugh

Let him, but I think the GOP could run a couple different people that could do quite well like Doug Ducey & Brian Sandoval.

Sandoval would never win a primary, he's too moderate.

[DrScholl]

https://twitter.com/VanityFair/status/1324097044013862914?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7C...
lmao

Even Fox News has limits and Trump has reached them.

[DrScholl]

PA just turned dark blue on predictit.

I'm no conspiracy theorist but it's odd that every swing state has held off being called for Trump despite him looking good in most of them, but they've had no issues calling some states early for Biden like Arizona.

It's hilarious PA is being called with Trump so far ahead and with such little vote left to count.

Predictit doesn't call races. It's not a news outlet.

[DrScholl]

Trump's lead in Pennsylvania is down to 256,058. Biden is closing the gap fast.

[DrScholl]

Biden won Kent County by 5 points. Now up by 100K over Trump in Michigan.

LMAO

https://twitter.com/kayleighmcenany/status/1323856544350511105
It pays to wait for the votes to be counted.

[DrScholl]

It says it's only 58% reporting, so I expect this will change, but I am absolutely blown away at Biden's performance in Walla Walla County, WA. Even if he loses it within 10 points, that's a huge statement on college voters turning out en masse for Biden.

I didn't even notice that. That is impressive for a county that has been strongly Republican.