2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[EliteLX]

https://twitter.com/benshapiro/status/1324104075038711808?s=20

[Stockdale for Veep]

There are going to be tons of death threats if the 270 map happens.

Who picks the NE-02 Elector?

[Non Swing Voter]

Meanwhile AP still hasn't given Biden Michigan.

Chances are Trump will only win NC and possibly GA out of everything left.

I'm hoping for a North Carolina win for Biden & Cunningham, even if its less than 500 votes.

Unfortunately, NC looks like the least likely state for Biden at this point (other than Alaska). 

I am a lil hopeful of Georgia though.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

I'm def holding off on any sort of celebration until we get a better picture of what's going on in AZ and NV.  

[American2020]

https://twitter.com/NoahCRothman/status/1324106570444230657

[Pericles]

I'm not entirely ruling out a 321 EV win that is a 5-6% PV margin along with 51 Democratic Senators.

[Asta]

Would be hilarious if Fox News became the first major network to declare Biden the winner of the election.

I wouldn't be surprised if FOX News privately disses Trump, and only grudgingly pretend to support him just to not lose Republican viewers.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Why was Georgia the only state where the polls seem to be accurate?

Seems like they were also pretty accurate in Colorado, Maine, Minnesota, and New Hampshire.

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/benshapiro/status/1324104075038711808?s=20

None of that is accurate.  Most are early ballots that were dropped off.

Second, the PA margin is 320k and there are more than that outstanding.

[Amanda Huggenkiss]

Even if Biden wins, the results are just sad. 48% voted for a man who has no respect for democracy, and the people voted for a senate that has helped him undermine it.

At least, there is no would-be-dictator in the White House. That is good, but it's sad that we've come to the point that we would need to stress that out.

I've always said that if Trump was smart, there could have been so much more harm done. I could have never imagined that of all issues, fighting fascism would be on our immediate agenda.

[Roll Roons]

I'm not entirely ruling out a 321 EV win that is a 5-6% PV margin along with 51 Democratic Senators.

You think there's a chance Cunningham can win?

[ProgressiveModerate]

Why was Georgia the only state where the polls seem to be accurate?

Seems like they were also pretty accurate in Colorado, Maine, Minnesota, and New Hampshire.

Not in ME-Sen

It seems like overall, polls didn't know how to deal with the stark increase in turnout nationwide.

Polling tended to be the worst in states or regions that had the biggest increase in turnout

[lfromnj]

Why was Georgia the only state where the polls seem to be accurate?

Seems like they were also pretty accurate in Colorado, Maine, Minnesota, and New Hampshire.

Uh no?
Maine 2 was said to be voting for Biden, I don't think he won a single county in the district. Maine is such a big win rn coz all of Cumberland is in while theres still a decent portion in Maine 2nd like 20%.

[Storr]

https://twitter.com/benshapiro/status/1324104075038711808?s=20

Trump's lead in Pennsylvania is 313,054, not 454k, according to CNN.

[Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook]

At this point, all signs are pointing towards a Biden victory. NE-02, Wisconsin, and Michigan are in his column, and apparently Arizona too. Georgia, Pennsylvania, Nevada, and North Carolina are still unresolved.

And as Nate Silver said 30 minutes ago on 538, all remaining states except NC (and AK) are lean or likely Biden.

[Inmate Trump]

I think we should hold off acting like we've won.

We haven't won yet.

I want us to win, but this election has been jarring and there's no guarantee of a win yet.

[Bumaye]

For the ultimate rollercoaster: Trump somehow wins NV, AZ, PA and GA while losing NC. Biden stands at 268. and outta nowhere Alaska turns blue and Anchorage has saved the free world.

No, seriously, I just want this to be called ASAP.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Ben Shapiro is a disgusting liar, news at 7.

[pppolitics]

Let's say that Biden ends up winning 2016 + MI/WI/PA + AZ + GA, would this still be considered an underwhelming victory?

[GeneralMacArthur]

Stop posting Twitter pundits unless they have credible, sourced numbers backing up their claims.

Obviously Ben Shapiro isn't privy to some mathematical truism that all the professional election forecasters are missing.

[Alben Barkley]

Even if Biden wins, the results are just sad. 48% voted for a man who has no respect for democracy, and the people voted for a senate that has helped him undermine it.

At least, there is no would-be-dictator in the White House. That is good, but it's sad that we've come to the point that we would need to stress that out.

I've always said that if Trump was smart, there could have been so much more harm done. I could have never imagined that of all issues, fighting fascism would be on our immediate agenda.

He won’t have 48% once all the CA, NY, etc. votes come in.

Biden probably on track for like 4-5 point victory. Closer than polls but bigger than Hillary’s win.

[Suburbia]

When Biden is president, he is going to have to bring the police and Black Lives Matter activists together to have a criminal justice bill done....because the divisions are still deep

Trump did better on NY than NJ....you want to know why? The NYPD.

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Why was Georgia the only state where the polls seem to be accurate?

Seems like they were also pretty accurate in Colorado, Maine, Minnesota, and New Hampshire.

Uh no?
Maine 2 was said to be voting for Biden, I don't think he won a single county in the district. Maine is such a big win rn coz all of Cumberland is in while theres still a decent portion in Maine 2nd like 20%.

Mostly true, although a good chunk of the vote is still out in the blue counties along the coast north of Portland.

[Bootes Void]

Guys hold off until Arizona and Nevada is called by everyone before throwing a party. PA looks good as well