2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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June 14, 2024, 08:08:06 PM
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 650092 times)
Ferguson97
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« Reply #125 on: November 06, 2020, 09:03:57 AM »
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #126 on: November 06, 2020, 09:19:49 AM »
The nightmare is over
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #127 on: November 06, 2020, 09:26:46 AM »
Hmmm

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Ferguson97
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« Reply #128 on: November 06, 2020, 09:37:24 AM »
Quote from: 7sergi9 on November 06, 2020, 09:36:45 AM


Donnie's gonna need to see a doctor after this copium overdose
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #129 on: November 06, 2020, 10:38:12 AM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on November 06, 2020, 10:36:26 AM
Quote from: pppolitics on November 06, 2020, 10:34:49 AM
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on November 06, 2020, 10:34:23 AM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on November 06, 2020, 10:33:15 AM
Quote from: ObamaMichael on November 06, 2020, 10:28:28 AM
So Biden leads Trump +1,098 in Georgia. How many votes are expected to come out of Georgia, besides provisionals/military?

There is at least 8/9K out in GA from just regular votes (not provisionals/military)

Are these votes expected to skew Biden?

Yes

So Biden should end up being fine in GA, and there's no way Perdue can get back to 50%?

I suppose he can, but Decision Desk seemed confident in their call of a runoff
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #130 on: November 06, 2020, 11:04:46 AM »
That 4k gain was nowhere near enough what Trump needed right?
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #131 on: November 06, 2020, 11:30:15 AM »
In a way, a 306 might piss Trump off more than a 413 map lol
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #132 on: November 06, 2020, 11:38:45 AM »
Ralston has seen enough!
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #133 on: November 06, 2020, 01:43:58 PM »
Quote from: Unbeatable Titan Max Rose on November 06, 2020, 01:30:07 PM
Quote from: Co-Chair Bagel23 on November 06, 2020, 01:28:23 PM

lol

You don't get to mock any alternative analysis after how badly Mr. Electable flopped the Senate races.

Is that why Biden performed better than all of the Senate candidates?
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #134 on: November 06, 2020, 01:45:34 PM »

Lmao dude it's already over

COPE
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #135 on: November 06, 2020, 08:08:24 PM »
So I know networks aren't going to call Georgia because it's going to a recount anyway, but call PA/AZ/NV ffs.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #136 on: November 06, 2020, 08:41:25 PM »
Lmao at the military ballots going to Biden 4:1
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #137 on: November 06, 2020, 08:53:03 PM »
Quote from: trebor204 on November 06, 2020, 08:46:35 PM
Very unlikely, but
Right now Biden has 253 Electoral Votes, if Biden wins Georgia's 16 electoral votes, Biden will finish with 269, Trump wins the remain states and will also finish with 269 electoral votes.


There's virtually no way that Trump will win Nevada and Pennsylvania at this point. And Arizona is going to be out of reach soon.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #138 on: November 06, 2020, 09:10:11 PM »
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #139 on: November 06, 2020, 10:18:49 PM »
Ian Miles Cheong having a normal one
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #140 on: November 06, 2020, 10:21:54 PM »

Cope
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #141 on: November 06, 2020, 10:33:37 PM »
Quote from: SN2903 on November 06, 2020, 10:30:55 PM
Quote from: rhg2052 on November 06, 2020, 10:28:20 PM
Quote from: SN2903 on November 06, 2020, 10:26:11 PM
Trump will win still. A legit allegation of fraud could come out.

Wait, so the rest of the allegations of fraud haven't been legit?
there's allegations everywhere

Baseless allegations, yes.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #142 on: November 06, 2020, 11:06:24 PM »
Quote from: Mzal98 on November 06, 2020, 11:03:03 PM


That can't be right, Donald Trump said the virus would disappear after the election.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #143 on: November 07, 2020, 01:44:08 AM »
Idiot

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Ferguson97
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« Reply #144 on: November 07, 2020, 02:56:09 AM »
Biden leads by 0.24%... if he gets above 0.5%, Trump is not eligible for a recount.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #145 on: November 07, 2020, 11:03:59 AM »
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #146 on: November 07, 2020, 11:29:46 AM »
It’s over!
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #147 on: November 07, 2020, 02:37:30 PM »
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #148 on: November 07, 2020, 03:51:04 PM »
Any more Arizona news?
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #149 on: November 07, 2020, 11:50:20 PM »
Quote from: pppolitics on November 07, 2020, 11:44:41 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 07, 2020, 11:21:46 PM
Quote from: gf20202 on November 07, 2020, 11:19:25 PM

If this is true and Garrett knows his sh**t, I don't see how Trump comes back at this point.

See the analysis I did up thread on the current numbers.  TL/DR: it's difficult but not impossible for Trump to overtake Biden.  Trump needs a very favorable (but not ridiculous) partisan break in the remaining ballots.  If I was on a decision desk, I would not call Arizona yet.

Assuming that every provisional ballot left is counted (highly doubtful), Trump would need to win ~59.69% of the remaining ballots.

Obviously, not every provisional ballot will count.

What % has Trump been getting so far?
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