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“Because midterms are different and a bunch of low propensity Trump voters who don’t vote in midterms will show up in 2024”

There may be some truth to this but it’s too superficial for my liking

Equating '24 to '22 doesn't make any sense given that Biden is actually on the ballot this time. He's the one dragging other Democrats down in polling.

Walmart had pretty good earnings , maybe a shift of middle income consumers to trashier Walmart ?

Iowa Republican Caucus 2012, if that counts.

Joe Biden pushed the prices down button in the Oval Office??? This must be a mistake, maybe he is going senile

[Final ResultCortez-Masto (D) +0.9]

I can understand the Biden campaign thinking polls are wrong after 2022.

Take a look at the RealClearPolitics average of polls in the Nevada Senate race 2 years ago.

The last few read like this:

Laxalt (R) +5
Laxalt +3
Laxalt +2
Laxalt +6
Laxalt +5

RCP Average: Laxalt +3.4

Final Result
Cortez-Masto (D) +0.9


That's only one example, but I remember everybody expecting a red wave similar to 2010 or 2014, but it was nothing close to that, and most of the polling grossly overestimated the Trump-endorsed candidates.

Why do Republicans seemingly pretend this didn't happen?

[intend]

And the spamming resumes. Once again, yelling things is not genocide and conducting a defensive war is also not genocide.

The crime of genocide require the intend to commit genocide.

Fortunately, we have Israeli official's on owns words on that.

Minnesota.

Could be New Hampshire if Democrats win the governorship there this year.

It’s that time of the month again…

Harvard/Harris

🟥 Trump 49% (+6)
🟦 Biden 43%

With leans
🟥 Trump 53% (+6)
🟦 Biden 47%
—
🟥 Trump 45% (+5)
🟦 Biden 40%
🟨 RFK Jr 14%

https://harvardharrispoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/HHP_May2024_KeyResults.pdf