This was a district that voted for Obama twice that Trump flipped in 2016 by ~3%, and then he only won it by just under 1500 votes in 2020. This is the one district in IA where trends haven't been quite as brutal for Dems largely because of the presence of Des Moines - the state capital and largest city which has seen some decent growth.
In 2022, Cindy Axne narrowly lost her house seat here to Zach Nunn, but 3 statewide Dems still carried the district (AG, Treasurer, & Auditor).
Who wins the district in 2024?