2020 Poll Hype Thread

[Devout Centrist]

The only reason people can be into polls now is because there is nothing else to do. Between now and the election there is:

-- A likely drastic change in the Covid situation
-- A VP pick
-- Two conventions
-- Three Debates
-- However many October surprises

It's 2020. Where a week feels like a year, a month feels like a century. Have a drink.

And yet, the polls have been way more stable this time around compared to the wild swings of 2016.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Has anybody noticed that Biden’s polls have been down lately? His polling average hasn’t been this low since early June. Yeah I know he’s still up but it has been dropping steadily since then.

  don't seem to have much weight, while the internet polls sym to be dragging it down.

The Economist average is also quite steady.  538's has changed at least in part due to an adjustment last night in the way they treat partisan polls.  (See Nate Silver's Twitter feed for details; too long to repost here.)

[Lisa's voting Biden]

Has anybody noticed that Biden’s polls have been down lately? His polling average hasn’t been this low since early June. Yeah I know he’s still up but it has been dropping steadily since then.

In terms of the national average he's still leading mid to high single digits and his state polling hasn't dropped at all.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Has anybody noticed that Biden’s polls have been down lately? His polling average hasn’t been this low since early June. Yeah I know he’s still up but it has been dropping steadily since then.

In terms of the national average he's still leading mid to high single digits and his state polling hasn't dropped at all.

Also Trump's approval/disapproval numbers haven't shown any meaningful change for the entire last month. If the race had shifted you would expect to see some change there as well.

[pbrower2a]

I. I. I. I. -- three states that get polled rarely (Idaho, Illinois, and Indiana because they get polled rarely, and Iowa, which doesn't get polled often enough.

Illinois has the Madigan scandal, which could be shaking things up.

[Tender Branson]

FL - Quinnipiac:

50% Biden
41% Trump
 3% Others (both Jorgensen & Hawkins are on the ballot in FL, but were probably not polled)
 6% Undecided

[SaneDemocrat]

FL - Quinnipiac:

50% Biden
41% Trump
 3% Others (both Jorgensen & Hawkins are on the ballot in FL, but were probably not polled)
 6% Undecided

Is this your pick?

Biden 48
Trump 44 is mine

[Tender Branson]

FL - Quinnipiac:

50% Biden
41% Trump
 3% Others (both Jorgensen & Hawkins are on the ballot in FL, but were probably not polled)
 6% Undecided

Is this your pick?

Biden 48
Trump 44 is mine

Biden +13 are the actual results.

I win.

[Tender Branson]

CBS News / Face the Nation will have a new "Battleground Tracker" later today.

This could either mean a couple new polls from swing states, or an update of their 50-state model, or both.

https://twitter.com/CBSNewsPress/status/1286792828425838599

[SaneDemocrat]

I would assume, based on timing, there should be a CNN poll coming out this week sometime

Or maybe they are skipping this month,

IDK, it would make sense for them to do one now and then do another one a month from now when the conventions are done, you'd think?

Lol finally got my wish

[Landslide Lyndon]

One of the posters at DKE mentioned that his dad took part in a Monmouth poll for Iowa.

[Bidenworth2020]

One of the posters at DKE mentioned that his dad took part in a Monmouth poll for Iowa.

Source?

[Landslide Lyndon]

One of the posters at DKE mentioned that his dad took part in a Monmouth poll for Iowa.

Source?

I'm too lazy now to go search it among 400 Daily Digest comments. But he mentioned that the poll will be on the field till Wednesday, so it will probably be released on Friday or the weekend.

[Gass3268]

Monmouth Poll for Georgia tomorrow:

https://twitter.com/MonmouthPoll/status/1288141784112140290?s=20

[LimoLiberal]

Monmouth Poll for Georgia tomorrow:

https://twitter.com/MonmouthPoll/status/1288141784112140290?s=20

My prediction:

45-45 tie for Trump/Biden.

Perdue leads Ossoff 47-42

[SaneDemocrat]

Monmouth Poll for Georgia tomorrow:

https://twitter.com/MonmouthPoll/status/1288141784112140290?s=20

My prediction:

45-45 tie for Trump/Biden.



Perdue leads Ossoff 47-42

Biden 46-43

[Oryxslayer]

Biden+2, Perdue+1

[Tender Branson]

Monmouth Poll for Georgia tomorrow:

GA (Monmouth):

47-47 Trump/Biden

49-44 Perdue/Ossoff

Assuming they polled the Senate Special Runoff:

49-42 Collins/Warnock
50-42 Collins/Lieberman

(Collins is ahead in the primary, if they polled it)

[The Other Castro]

https://twitter.com/PollsAndVotes/status/1288225069508882435

[wbrocks67]

The highest margin we've seen from a public or internal poll recently is Perdue +3. NOt sure why people would think Monmouth would have Perdue higher than that.

[Ferguson97]

Georgia presidential: Tie (46-46)

Georgia senate: Purdue+3 (47-44)

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/AdamBassWCCS/status/1288625423237160960?s=20

Non-presidential race, but still something to be interested in.

[American2020]

https://twitter.com/LarrySabato/status/1288795696657817600

[Lisa's voting Biden]

A crowfunding effort to poll Louisiana at the presidential and senate levels has been launched:
https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/1289252805480333314?s=20

[Tender Branson]

A crowfunding effort to poll Louisiana at the presidential and senate levels has been launched:
 
[tweet]

A poll out of LA is long overdue.

The state has never been polled so far.

My guess:

48-41-3-8 Trump/Biden/Others/Undecided