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Is it this time of the year again?

If I were Biden, I would accept under the condition that Trump publishes his tax returns.

https://twitter.com/nypost/status/1791695874512363954

Biden would never accept to any drug test under any conditions, no matter what was offered in return.

Trump polls was always gonna go down there wasn't gonna be a landslide anyways just like Biden was up 7 last yr at height of indictments

This wasn't the day after the election or something. It was January 17, and after the insurrection. Again, he's not even saying it wasn't connected to Stop the Steal.

In a Surprise the MN GOP convention endorsed former NBA player turned InfoWars nut royce White for US Senate.

https://www.startribune.com/in-a-surprise-minnesota-republicans-back-royce-white-to-run-against-amy-klobuchar/600366972/?refresh=true

MN Democrats have to be laughing their asses off. White is a Steve Bannon backed former NBA player who gave up his career because he was afraid to fly. His only political experience is losing the GOP primary in MN-05 in 2022. The guy is a fringe character even by the standards of the modern Republican Party. It remains to be seen if anyone challenges him in the primary.

MNGOP's endorsed candidate to beat Amy Klobuchar -

https://twitter.com/Highway_30/status/1522382872346247168

After he tried to overturned Eday on J6 I think not

We don't need GA or NC all we need is NV and or AZ to clinch

My ratings as of today would be this:

Mine are this

No data backs it up either.

Imagine thinking kansas is likely R in this environment...

Michigan is no lean D state (and neither is PA, President Johnson). Again no data backs that up, just are ratings based on wishy-washy thinking or personal gut feelings and ignoring that Biden is in trouble.

Might very well change in 6 months from now but if you really believe that, than don't make a map at all...

To observe an election, one has to be neutral and detached in order to have the best chance of accurately predicting the election. It's why i did well in 2018 - predicting all winning senators correctly - and correctly predicted the 2016 and 2020 winners despite not being an American. In fact, not being an American arguably helped, since i'm not as invested in this race as some of users are here...

https://www.ft.com/content/ab18441b-f302-41e6-b825-4b7ffc778f28

My ratings as of today would be this:

That's close to where I see it, except I think AZ is is Lean Biden. The recent 19th century abortion debacle, combined with Kari Lake being on the ballot again and the general shift in AZ will likely sink Trump unless Biden has such poor performance nationwide that AZ doesn't matter anyway. I.e. I think AZ will vote to the left of all the other undecided states.

No data backs that up. It's just wishy-washy thinking or gut feeling.

Disagree with Democrats:
1. pro-Israel support
2. Refusal to go after monied interests
3. position on the right to protest