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FF.

Somewhat-related: Tom Daschle's loss sucked and in hindsight he and maybe the country would've been better off running for president or being Kerry's veep instead of the philandering ambulance chaser.

There's huge protests in Tunisia about African migrants trying to get to Europe but then just staying in Tunisia.

The Tunisian political spectrum these days is basically this to the Bourguibist tour guide I had last year, who said stuff like "Arabs...Arabs need a dictator" and "the only problem [with Emperor Hadrian] was that he was what we would today call a homosexual; other than that, he was a perfect man". With, least we forget, a massive population of decent, demoralized, grillist (or tajinist) normies in the middle.

https://www.thefp.com/p/npr-editor-how-npr-lost-americas-trust

You need to start with former CEO John Lansing. Lansing came to NPR in 2019 from the federally funded agency that oversees Voice of America. Like others who have served in the top job at NPR, he was hired primarily to raise money and to ensure good working relations with hundreds of member stations that acquire NPR’s programming.

Ok there's a somewhat media argument but still Voice of America is American propaganda although they can have fairly good reporting at times(IIRC they reported on drunk Russian soldiers in Belarus before the invasion)

Maher subsequently studied at the Institut français d'études arabes de Damas in Syria and spent time in Lebanon and Tunisia.[2][13][14]

During the volatile Arab Spring period, under a constantly rotating series of NGO affiliations, Maher went to multiple countries that were undergoing U.S.-backed regime change. Beginning in 2011, for example, she traveled multiple times to Tunisia, working with regime-change activists and government officials. In 2012, she traveled to a strategic city on the Turkey-Syria border, which had become a base for Western-backed opposition to Bashar al-Assad. That same year, she traveled to Libya, where the U.S. had just overthrown strongman Muammar Gaddafi.

All this info was on her wikipedia page a few months ago but they seemed to have scrubbed. Such an obvious glowie.

Israel needs to immediately make clear that any country attempting to carry out these illegal warrants will be treated as if they attempted a kidnapping and hostage-taking of an Israeli official. And start sending Netanyahu around the world with a security force that can repel such an attempt.

Receiving countries can deny visas. Foreign citizens don't have a right to travel to other countries.

Such an action by the ICC I think would make Netanyahu persona non grata in most of Europe. They won't arrest him but that means to not having to arrest him and being exposed as hypocrites (a bunch of African states right now are salivating at the notion of European states being forced by law to arrest a foreign leader and choose not to), they just won't let him fly or travel there. The U.S. won't do anything to Netanyahu, but that's quite the long plane trip from Tel Aviv to New York and Netanyahu and his ministers would be even more effectively isolated internationally.

If Netanyahu flies to the U.S. and he is under ICC criminal charges and we choose to do nothing, then the U.S. can never say anything "ICC" again in any circumstance and have it be worth ten cents.

The official US position is that we have no obligations to the ICC and are further under no obligations to see the treaty's success. That's been more-or-less the American position since 2002. Hell, in 2021 Blinken made a statement about the State Department's "longstanding objection to the Court’s efforts to assert jurisdiction over personnel of non-States Parties such as the United States and Israel." So I doubt anyone would consider US statements on the ICC regarding Israelis to be relevant anyway.

The ICC can go piss up a rope.  Israel should immediately make clear that any attempt to enforce this will be treated as a declaration of war.  Hopefully, the rest of the world does the right thing and uses the warrants for Gallant and Netanyahu as toilet paper.

Probably wouldn't be a good idea for Israel to declare war on a NATO state creating an even bigger international crisis, most of alliance being Rome Statute signatories.

Good friend and longtime fixture of the forum. FF

Throw it in the average, but man...
https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1792556360913072303

39% was a pretty standard score for Labour in Scotland between the rise of nationalism as a significant political force in the 1960s and the 2014 referendum.

Because basically no other metric besides polling suggests any sort of Trump landslide. Midterms and special elections. Donations and fundraising. Campaign offices and ground game. Demographics and demographic changes in key states.

Demographics can't be helpful everywhere for Democrats though. If generational turnover and demographic change is helpful everywhere, then it's helpful nowhere. The whole country is getting more diverse and the whole country has old people dying and new people entering the LV pool, but Trump has still gained 5 pts in margin since 2020. In PA, WI, MI, there's little change, NV, NC, and AZ are diversifying but not in a strictly helpful or powerful way. GA I would concede that demographic changes are genuinely helpful for Democrats.

The ICC can go piss up a rope.  Israel should immediately make clear that any attempt to enforce this will be treated as a declaration of war.  Hopefully, the rest of the world does the right thing and uses the warrants for Gallant and Netanyahu as toilet paper.

Probably only the western world will use it as toilet paper which means nothing changes expect some more crying from anti-Israelis about how they have a international warrant for Gallant and Netanyahu arrest.

If that's what they do the International Criminal Court is effectively dead as an entity for all circumstances, not just this one. Regardless of your opinion on the charges, if they put out an arrest warrant and the countries that really care about the ICC as a legal protection mechanism globally blatantly ignore an arrest warrant, then no country ever again is going to enforce its decisions when it's in their interests not to, they can cite this example as their precedent, and the institution is dead letter.

It's why I think Europe will just say to the Israelis privately "an aircraft with Prime Minister Netanyahu on-board is not cleared to land".

“The ICC is just bullying Israel! Why do they indict Hamas too!?!”
*ICC also indicts Hamas*
“Reeeeeeeeee”