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May 16, 2024, 09:38:15 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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 1 
 on: Today at 09:37:23 PM 
Started by Tekken_Guy - Last post by Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
The more I hear from Nate the more I dislike him. A lot of his arguments boil down to “if you’re criticizing the polling, you don’t understand it.”

 2 
 on: Today at 09:37:08 PM 
Started by Heebie Jeebie - Last post by Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
Quote from: ηєω ƒяσηтιєя on Today at 09:29:42 PM
Any left-of-center person who votes for Larry Hogan in November is a fool.

There is gonna be Ds voting R but it won't change the result Alsobrooks will win

 3 
 on: Today at 09:35:23 PM 
Started by Tekken_Guy - Last post by Arizona Iced Tea
Quote from: cherry mandarin on Today at 09:26:18 PM
Quote from: Kamala's side hoe on Today at 08:04:38 PM
This isn't a clear indicator that 2024-PRES polls will underestimate Trump, given how "Trump overperforms teh pollz" has sort of become conventional wisdom.

I think they’re trying to say that Biden should be expected to outperform his polling, based on Silver’s own “rule”.

Anyways, did 538 have Trump or Biden favoured in GA?
Both the 538 polling and forecast had Biden ahead in GA by 1-2 points.

 4 
 on: Today at 09:31:03 PM 
Started by I spent the winter writing songs about getting better - Last post by Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
I ignore him without using ignore, but he isn't a good pollster at all

 5 
 on: Today at 09:30:45 PM 
Started by Tekken_Guy - Last post by Kamala's side hoe
Quote from: cherry mandarin on Today at 09:26:18 PM
Quote from: Kamala's side hoe on Today at 08:04:38 PM
This isn't a clear indicator that 2024-PRES polls will underestimate Trump, given how "Trump overperforms teh pollz" has sort of become conventional wisdom.

I think they’re trying to say that Biden should be expected to outperform his polling, based on Silver’s own “rule”.

Anyways, did 538 have Trump or Biden favoured in GA?

Pretty sure Trump was favored in both states on Election Day.

 6 
 on: Today at 09:29:42 PM 
Started by Heebie Jeebie - Last post by ηєω ƒяσηтιєя
Any left-of-center person who votes for Larry Hogan in November is a fool.

 7 
 on: Today at 09:28:30 PM 
Started by Obama24 - Last post by Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
The precedent was set when Trump ignored the J6 Memos anyways

 8 
 on: Today at 09:28:25 PM 
Started by beaver2.0 - Last post by TDAS04
Maps based on Trump 2020 voters

as

Maps of based Trump 2020 voters

 9 
 on: Today at 09:26:58 PM 
Started by Lykaon - Last post by Fuzzy Bear
Woody has done nothing to merit a ban.

No one's really saying he has.

 10 
 on: Today at 09:26:18 PM 
Started by Tekken_Guy - Last post by cherry mandarin
Quote from: Kamala's side hoe on Today at 08:04:38 PM
This isn't a clear indicator that 2024-PRES polls will underestimate Trump, given how "Trump overperforms teh pollz" has sort of become conventional wisdom.

I think they’re trying to say that Biden should be expected to outperform his polling, based on Silver’s own “rule”.

Anyways, did 538 have Trump or Biden favoured in GA?

Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 10


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