These were published a while back but I didn't see them until now. Nonetheless, they seem to be the first major forecaster to have either candidate above the 270 EV threshold this cycle.
What are your thoughts on their
preliminary electoral map for the 2024 presidential race?
Total EVs by candidate:
Trump 272, Biden 225, toss-up 41Safe Republican (188): Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arkansas (6), Idaho (4), Indiana (11), Iowa (6), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (8), Mississippi (6), Missouri (10), Montana (4), Nebraska at-large (2), Nebraska's first Congressional District (1), Nebraska's third Congressional District (1), North Dakota (3), Ohio (17), Oklahoma (7), South Carolina (9), South Dakota (3), Tennessee (11), Texas (40), Utah (6), West Virginia (4), Wyoming (3)
Lean Republican (84): Florida (30), Georgia (16), Maine's second Congressional District (1), Michigan (15), Nevada (6), North Carolina (16)
Toss-up (41): Arizona (11), Nebraska's second Congressional District (1), Pennsylvania (19), Wisconsin (10)
Lean Democratic (50): Colorado (10), Minnesota (10), New Hampshire (4), New Mexico (5), Oregon (8), Virginia (13)
Safe Democratic (175): California (54), Connecticut (7), Delaware (3), DC (3), Hawaii (4), Illinois (19), Maine at-large (2), Maine's first Congressional District (1), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (11), New Jersey (14), New York (28), Rhode Island (4), Vermont (3), Washington (12)
Analysis article here: