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May 21, 2024, 07:55:20 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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 1 
 on: Today at 07:54:57 PM 
Started by Hnv1 - Last post by LAKISYLVANIA
Again, any of these countries will be informed in no uncertain terms that they are to release their Israeli captives or face massive retaliation. So it's likely that they'll simply choose not to host them.

Retaliation?

In what way?

Throwing a nuke on belgium?

Well, that seems radical! And would be counterproductive if Israeli officials are being held there!

I think Israel would be far more likely to just take them back. Potentially immediately, given the quality of security force they would likely have on hand.

That would be the violation of our integrity and would result in a direct war.

Did Spain declare war on us when we gave political asylum to Catalan separatist leader Carles Puigdemont.

Did we bomb Iran in threatening them to release European held prisoners in Iran?

This is not how you do diplomatics, but apparently warfare is the only vocabulary you are familiar with.


 2 
 on: Today at 07:54:56 PM 
Started by Woody - Last post by Arizona Iced Tea
Nothing. Voters are likely picking randomly.

Not quite randomly.  Uncontroversial incumbents almost always do well.  Pinson was tagged as the incumbent on the ballot, and I'd bet that was the deciding factor for a lot of voters -- not that they know who he is.  Barrow is doing well in areas he used to represent, where he has high name recognition and was a popular congressman for years.  This doesn't 100% explain the weird-looking split in this election, but it explains a lot of it.

I’m confused by Barrow doing so well in mostly White places he didn’t represent. It’s clear that Black voters are choosing Pinson in large part due to incumbency, but then Pinson is doing a lot worse in NW Georgia than Trump. Pinson only at 63% in Cherokee County stands out, where it almost seems like Pinson is suffering due to incumbency. If no one knows anything, then I guess it makes sense that it would tend to a 60-40 type split.
Black areas along with a few educated suburban whites is why Pinson is dominating. The more African American a place is (outside of the old GA-12) the worse Barrow does relative to Biden.

 3 
 on: Today at 07:54:00 PM 
Started by Mr. Smith - Last post by Mr. Smith

This is what I went with

 4 
 on: Today at 07:53:51 PM 
Started by GAinDC - Last post by JMT
My thoughts: uncontroversial incumbents almost always do well.  The incumbent tag powered Pinson, but this was mitigated by Barrow's higher name recognition in the areas he used to represent.
Do you know why Barrow chose to run against Pinson? There were three other justices seeking re-election today as well who were left uncontested.

I have no idea.

I’m also not certain, but my guess is that Barrow ran for Pinson’s seat because Pinson hasn’t stood for election before, so maybe Barrow thought Pinson would be easier to defeat. The three other justices were all elected in 2018 (and perhaps have higher name recognition), whereas this was the first Supreme Court race Pinson ran in (he was appointed to his seat in 2022).

 5 
 on: Today at 07:52:53 PM 
Started by Hnv1 - Last post by Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
Again, any of these countries will be informed in no uncertain terms that they are to release their Israeli captives or face massive retaliation. So it's likely that they'll simply choose not to host them.

Where do these delusions of grandeur about Israel's non-existent superpower status come from? If any of the indicted are stupid enough to actually go to France and get themselves arrested, Israel won't be able to do anything. The IDF hasn't been able to capture more than half of Gaza, a miniscule patch of land on their borders, in nearly 8 months. This isn't 1967. What on Earth do you think they are going to do to a European power with a functioning army, navy, air force, and nuclear weapons program?

I mean, let's be real, Israel's forces are overwhelming compared to Gaza. If they had any intention of such, there simply wouldn't be a Gaza right now. They're being hamstrung by the desire to get the hostages back alive, but Gaza/Hamas isn't actually putting up anything near a real fight against them.

And there are only two western European nations with nuclear programs, both of which are highly unlikely to actually pick this fight. One would have to be extremely stupid to try to kidnap the Prime Minister of a nuclear nation, which is why this is likely to be a cold diplomatic standoff.

 6 
 on: Today at 07:52:40 PM 
Started by GAinDC - Last post by emailking
If you're saying I shouldn't say it's the most important election because if the campaign did that it might turn off voters, well no I won't not say it lol.

It's always the most important election. It's a hyperbole that is used to drive out turnout and enthusiasm but it won't always be as effective if it's used every election over & over again.

I find it ironic the one election they said was not the most important ended up being 2000 .

If they is me I included 2000.

 7 
 on: Today at 07:52:38 PM 
Started by SnowLabrador - Last post by Secretary of State Liberal Hack
Thanks, feeling more confident Biden will win after this thread.

 8 
 on: Today at 07:52:07 PM 
Started by Lykaon - Last post by LAKISYLVANIA
I object to banning Woodbury. I have not seen any personal attacks from him directed to someone else, neither have I seen him post pro-Putin content (?).

If cheerleading on a genocidal maniac is bannable, than I believe 25% of posters in Israël-Gaza thread should be banned from the forum as well, including some users who recommended OP.

Some users are really keen on making this into an echo chamber and banning all people who diverge of opinion on some topic or issue.

 9 
 on: Today at 07:51:12 PM 
Started by Hnv1 - Last post by OSR stands with Israel
Again, any of these countries will be informed in no uncertain terms that they are to release their Israeli captives or face massive retaliation. So it's likely that they'll simply choose not to host them.

Who are you expecting massive retaliation from if Netanyahu were arrested in, say, Norway? (Agreed that he just won't visit the countries abiding by the laws they abide to by participating in the ICC)

The invade The Hague act applies to our Allies as well .

 10 
 on: Today at 07:49:59 PM 
Started by Hnv1 - Last post by Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
Again, any of these countries will be informed in no uncertain terms that they are to release their Israeli captives or face massive retaliation. So it's likely that they'll simply choose not to host them.

Retaliation?

In what way?

Throwing a nuke on belgium?

Well, that seems radical! And would be counterproductive if Israeli officials are being held there!

I think Israel would be far more likely to just take them back. Potentially immediately, given the quality of security force they would likely have on hand.

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