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My ratings as of today would be this:

That's close to where I see it, except I think AZ is is Lean Biden. The recent 19th century abortion debacle, combined with Kari Lake being on the ballot again and the general shift in AZ will likely sink Trump unless Biden has such poor performance nationwide that AZ doesn't matter anyway. I.e. I think AZ will vote to the left of all the other undecided states.

Yes, I'm well aware of the polling that shows a strong Trump lead in AZ. I will believe it if I see it in November.

If I am correct, that means Biden needs GA or MI or WI+NV to win, while Trump needs MI and GA and WI or NV.

It is, of course, possible there's a significant nationwide swing for or against either candidate by November and the above becomes most irrelevant as, for example Trump wins PA or Biden wins NC. But if nothing significantly changes between now and November, I think the election is Lean Biden.

I definitely don't find it "impossible" to believe those things. (I assume what he means is the he thinks it's impossible that Alito would know that. Which I also disagree with.) If he said they flew the flag upside as by mistake and corrected it as soon as they realized it that's one thing and we could debate the likelihood of that, but that's not what he said lol.

Liberal MP for Cloverdale-Langley City is resigning his seat to run for the BC NDP in this year's election. Should be a relatively easy CPC pickup.

Leverkusen finish the Bundesliga season unbeaten, as they beat Augsburg 2-1. 2 more games to go for a full season unbeaten record.

Bizarre that the most obviously true part of his speech - “Being a mother and homemaker is important and rewarding, and you shouldn’t let your career get in the way of that if it’s what you really want” - is the most controversial. I’d think that the parts where he explicitly attacks political and church leaders would get more attention.

If he said parent then it wouldn’t have been as controversial. The role of a father is extremely important as well

https://twitter.com/the_law_boy/status/1791882011067424886

Some lawyers saying the guy "Appeared to be in good spirits" and that "We didn’t see any indication he would take his own life. No one can believe it" is not enough evidence on its own to be seriously suspicious of a murder. Especially when IIRC there are a lot of other people giving evidence that are not dead, and the guy was allegedly being harassed by boeing or people hired by them.

Oh, and Xiao Hua Gong, the guy who ran in the Toronto mayoral by-election by spamming the city with his election signs and his AI generated campaign speeches is also running.

Godspeed, Mr. Gong. Hopefully the deep state doesn't cheat him out of Mississauga the way they cheated him out of Toronto.

https://twitter.com/Gong4Mayor/status/1673766797936304128

NZ - 95.37% native Anglo speakers
Aus - 72.0% native Anglo speakers
Can - 58.1% native Anglo speakers
USA - 78.0% native Anglo speakers

The answer is New Zealand by far, followed by USA and Australia roughly close together, and dead last being Canada. Makes sense, considering so much of Canada is Francophone and immigrant languages like Spanish and Chinese are widely spoken throughout America and Australia while being almost completely absent in NZ. The only real non-English linguistic influence on New Zealand is Maori, spoken by about 4% of the population.

The 95.37% statistic is not about native language and is from a question where people could choose multiple options (I believe it just asked about languages spoken overall) which means the total add up to more than 100, therefore the comparison is faulty. In fact I'm fairly certain NZ has a higher proportion of Chinese speakers than the USA.

And for that matter, there a lot of immigrant languages being spoken in the UK as well.

Bizarre that the most obviously true part of his speech - “Being a mother and homemaker is important and rewarding, and you shouldn’t let your career get in the way of that if it’s what you really want” - is the most controversial. I’d think that the parts where he explicitly attacks political and church leaders would get more attention.